Champions League · resolved market
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 12.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc39c68a9ca7c9fdd187be23eb2ebb6958029b996e6a703958e908e526bd60a5c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,980
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,006
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,980 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfc1d…be30backed Under | 74c | 2,704$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.59 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed Over | 26c | 2,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.99 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22ac…7409backed Under | 76c | 1,646$1,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.99 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 73cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 69c | 999.98$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.99 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Under | 75c | 901$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.06 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…0a4cbacked Over | 25c | 720$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaed7…428dbacked Over | 27c | 596.02$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc247…d85cbacked Over | 31c | 503.23$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6503…09f6backed Under | 71c | 399.99$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecc9…4df4backed Over | 28c | 351.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0886…b3a6backed Over | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 36cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb348…35e9backed Over | 32c | 308.82$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30d2…ec2fbacked Over | 29c | 308.53$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -54%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8df…8a93backed Over | 23c | 305.24$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Over | 20c | 299.6$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.29 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Over | 21c | 232.76$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.88 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…f0bebacked Over | 31c | 226.45$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Over | 25c | 225.87$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.53 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9605…a2c4backed Over | 31c | 224.76$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.65 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 25c | 188.72$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.51 | 382 | 53.9%206 W · 176 L | +21.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 69c | 167.2$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.64 | 607 | 48.4%294 W · 313 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x597d…b97dbacked Over | 30c | 158.2$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.46 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -79%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba2…948fbacked Over | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Over | 23c | 132.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 175 | 60%105 W · 70 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…363ebacked Over | 24c | 118.72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60cb…79a4backed Over | 31c | 112.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…2b89backed Under | 73c | 109.81$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafbf…e710backed Over | 30c | 103.33$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +48%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Over | 26c | 77.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.33per pick | 51cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Over | 27c | 76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 78c | 65.93$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed Over | 31c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Under | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 132 | 61.4%81 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac50…d728backed Over | 30c | 46.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc37…fdf4backed Under | 73c | 46.66$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Under | 80c | 44.95$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.14 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b8…0590backed Under | 73c | 34.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ec…11c9backed Over | 30c | 33.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae0…0dfebacked Under | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 67c | 20.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Under | 68c | 16.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 12.5 Total Cornersthis page
- FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.