Champions League · resolved market
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 8.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca634db5bc30012655dad6c3ad8d32db22d3558b6d3b461cfcadcd4ed294cb5f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,364
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,179
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,364 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Under | 27c | 646.84$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.51 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Under | 27c | 632.07$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.66 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 74c | 539.55$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.55 | 132 | 61.4%81 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 26c | 446.76$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.65 | 607 | 48.4%294 W · 313 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…df0ebacked Over | 73c | 390.28$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Over | 73c | 230$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.1 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d68…4354backed Under | 26c | 157.09$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…385abacked Over | 74c | 132.43$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.43 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Under | 27c | 115$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3a…bfbbbacked Under | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…76a1backed Under | 26c | 99.97$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Under | 28c | 98.36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce7a…fef0backed Under | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01dc…183ebacked Over | 73c | 82.19$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbecf…0f51backed Over | 74c | 81.42$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd71…6714backed Over | 74c | 81.08$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…30f7backed Over | 74c | 60.81$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 49c | 59.79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 147 | 36.1%53 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc165…61a9backed Over | 42c | 56.45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Under | 25c | 56.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Over | 75c | 37.09$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.09 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe21…2f9cbacked Over | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…46babacked Over | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6779…2ff6backed Over | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Over | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7311…0946backed Over | 78c | 24.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33ef…c498backed Over | 72c | 22.73$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f52…3714backed Over | 74c | 22.34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b74…4b63backed Over | 73c | 22.01$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc33…729cbacked Over | 69c | 17.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 69cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 306 | 56.9%174 W · 132 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersthis page
- FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.