Champions League · resolved market
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 9.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7465b66efd4e7edf887dcad62fb9472ee02574e610e6b4f5cadbfc1990ad8555
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,260
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,634
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,260 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7767…4fb2backed Over | 65c | 3,099$2,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,026.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2393…d54dbacked Under | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3a…bfbbbacked Under | 42c | 999.98$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Over | 58c | 706.9$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Under | 33c | 449.82$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.38 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…cfb1backed Under | 39c | 399.99$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +9.4wins | +0.27per pick | 47cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 39c | 302.33$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.1 | 382 | 53.9%206 W · 176 L | +21.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Over | 61c | 295.13$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.03 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…5cb0backed Under | 38c | 262.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.04 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Over | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 132 | 61.4%81 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…d3dabacked Over | 62c | 160.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 34c | 152.37$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.57 | 607 | 48.4%294 W · 313 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Under | 35c | 139.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.99 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed Over | 60c | 106.76$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.06 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Over | 66c | 106.62$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 175 | 60%105 W · 70 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…eb9cbacked Under | 40c | 100.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.65 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3216…0cc7backed Under | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 432 | 52.3%226 W · 206 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d3f…50b1backed Over | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Over | 58c | 84$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.72 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8428…29aabacked Over | 61c | 80.33$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 44c | 70$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.3 | 601 | 36.9%222 W · 379 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd119…28abbacked Over | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Under | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +38%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed9…0e36backed Under | 39c | 41.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.03 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 62c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbecf…0f51backed Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Under | 36c | 31.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 63c | 28.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 147 | 36.1%53 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb57…e52ebacked Over | 62c | 25.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad70…4ccfbacked Over | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 60c | 21.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Over | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 60cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…46babacked Over | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersthis page
- FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.