Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - European Pro League Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4327f59432da3326ca5e8b799e5e577557306b702afef1c73a62b4f11cdba598
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rune Eatersof Rune Eaters, VP.Prodigy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,217
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,002
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,217 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed VP.Prodigy | 38c | 505.52$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.1 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Rune Eaters | 62c | 480$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.4 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked VP.Prodigy | 45c | 396.3$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Rune Eaters | 75c | 377.26$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.19 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe705…f910backed Rune Eaters | 60c | 278.37$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.87 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Rune Eaters | 62c | 263$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.94 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Rune Eaters | 62c | 249.82$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.93 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb2…0b31backed VP.Prodigy | 38c | 246.49$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.8 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Rune Eaters | 54c | 233.83$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.56 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked VP.Prodigy | 38c | 211.79$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.1 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…a576backed VP.Prodigy | 12c | 184.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b4…748abacked VP.Prodigy | 25c | 149.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 130 | 26.2%34 W · 96 L | -15.9wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked Rune Eaters | 66c | 147.49$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.51 | 354 | 61.3%217 W · 137 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked VP.Prodigy | 39c | 126.72$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.42 | 200 | 43.5%87 W · 113 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8681…ef99backed Rune Eaters | 58c | 119.6$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.12 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbda…8bd5backed VP.Prodigy | 39c | 113.1$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.07 | 132 | 59.8%79 W · 53 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Rune Eaters | 66c | 98.85$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.61 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Rune Eaters | 55c | 94.1$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.96 | 361 | 38.2%138 W · 223 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3e…5bc0backed Rune Eaters | 65c | 86.28$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.49 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…db89backed VP.Prodigy | 39c | 79.82$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.12 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed VP.Prodigy | 47c | 72.1$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.89 | 340 | 45.9%156 W · 184 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed VP.Prodigy | 43c | 69.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Rune Eaters | 68c | 62.47$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.73 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5f…8eadbacked VP.Prodigy | 42c | 62.05$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.06 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Rune Eaters | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13af…b19fbacked VP.Prodigy | 24c | 59.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked VP.Prodigy | 35c | 58.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 228 | 45.6%104 W · 124 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed VP.Prodigy | 34c | 57.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…efbcbacked VP.Prodigy | 49c | 53.32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 235 | 55.7%131 W · 104 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked Rune Eaters | 64c | 45.92$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Rune Eaters | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d82…3847backed Rune Eaters | 61c | 39.37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked VP.Prodigy | 42c | 38.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 125 | 68%85 W · 40 L | +12.7wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x839f…c2cebacked VP.Prodigy | 40c | 36.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78c8…9290backed VP.Prodigy | 42c | 34.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x783f…8f90backed VP.Prodigy | 47c | 32.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Rune Eaters | 62c | 31.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 107 | 66.4%71 W · 36 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…5ec2backed VP.Prodigy | 34c | 31.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed VP.Prodigy | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed VP.Prodigy | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…2e2bbacked Rune Eaters | 69c | 24.39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - European Pro League Group Bthis page
- Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs VP.Prodigy - Game 1 WinnerRune Eaters won
- Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs VP.Prodigy - Game 2 WinnerRune Eaters won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.