CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs FarmVille (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #3 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3ea03b7981fa75a6042a77c402be6e3378996672b9fe941a0d607537c1ddc61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- F5 Esportsof F5 Esports, FarmVille
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,242
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,661
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,242 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked FarmVille | 41c | 1,176$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.6 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed F5 Esports | 35c | 845.44$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.29 | 1,548 | 33.9%524 W · 1,024 L | -73.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed FarmVille | 48c | 726.55$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.79 | 576 | 41.5%239 W · 337 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked F5 Esports | 49c | 517.07$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.18 | 192 | 31.3%60 W · 132 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed F5 Esports | 68c | 437.17$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.47 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ecb…52a5backed F5 Esports | 71c | 389.02$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.62 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked FarmVille | 45c | 360.2$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.94 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked FarmVille | 37c | 356.45$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.31 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked F5 Esports | 69c | 276.01$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.61 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed F5 Esports | 68c | 247.05$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.36 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked F5 Esports | 39c | 208.47$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.51 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed F5 Esports | 67c | 172.73$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.75 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed FarmVille | 74c | 157.5$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.55 | 392 | 39.8%156 W · 236 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed FarmVille | 32c | 150$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 2,456 | 44.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L | -67.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed FarmVille | 68c | 138.41$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.62 | 198 | 50.5%100 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed FarmVille | 48c | 137.81$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.61 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed FarmVille | 42c | 124.43$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 2,393 | 46.7%1,118 W · 1,275 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x640b…ec00backed F5 Esports | 46c | 116.07$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.68 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed FarmVille | 35c | 108.02$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.28 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed FarmVille | 36c | 99.94$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.86 | 168 | 29.2%49 W · 119 L | -14.4wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed F5 Esports | 57c | 91.63$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.81 | 468 | 43.4%203 W · 265 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed FarmVille | 30c | 83.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.06 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e0…7349backed FarmVille | 68c | 80$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae60…1f06backed FarmVille | 70c | 75.26$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.34 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf11a…1002backed FarmVille | 35c | 70.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.53 | 280 | 48.6%136 W · 144 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked F5 Esports | 25c | 69.57$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.15 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked FarmVille | 34c | 64.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c83…8c5fbacked F5 Esports | 58c | 58.55$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.59 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked F5 Esports | 27c | 58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.08 | 1,723 | 46.8%807 W · 916 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed FarmVille | 33c | 51.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddb…513dbacked F5 Esports | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe658…2c42backed FarmVille | 67c | 48$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee4…471fbacked FarmVille | 75c | 47.48$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.61 | 357 | 52.9%189 W · 168 L | +22.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed FarmVille | 64c | 47.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…e3bbbacked FarmVille | 76c | 46.54$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.37 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…dca3backed F5 Esports | 72c | 45.06$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 303 | 54.5%165 W · 138 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…c6b6backed F5 Esports | 29c | 42.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.32 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked F5 Esports | 67c | 33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13af…b19fbacked F5 Esports | 32c | 32.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.27 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed FarmVille | 38c | 30.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 106 | 55.7%59 W · 47 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed F5 Esports | 64c | 29.23$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 104 | 26%27 W · 77 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed FarmVille | 38c | 26.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3a…f788backed FarmVille | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 163 | 38.7%63 W · 100 L | -13.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7d…6af8backed FarmVille | 72c | 17.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked FarmVille | 77c | 14.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs FarmVille (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #3 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs FarmVille - Map 1 WinnerF5 Esports won
- Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs FarmVille - Map 2 WinnerF5 Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.