CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffs

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab95442df18e48546c7c1fbb1f64063bd0422098c30028cdd9866a9be1653b05

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Heroicof Team Nemesis, Heroic
Resolved: Apr 2, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $51,891
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $60,767

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,891 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc257…358ebacked Heroic	72c	11,623$8,368 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,254.36	392	49%192 W · 200 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Team Nemesis	27c	9,441$2,549 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,548.99	220	49.1%108 W · 112 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x582a…ae39backed Team Nemesis	28c	7,197$2,015 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,015.02	72	50%36 W · 36 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Team Nemesis	29c	7,163$2,074 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,073.54	5,095	55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L	+119.3wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7193…ae51backed Heroic	73c	3,835$2,799 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,035.36	298	58.4%174 W · 124 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf394…cdb1backed Heroic	73c	3,369$2,460 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$909.68	66	50%33 W · 33 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Heroic	71c	2,984$2,119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$865.37	670	41.8%280 W · 390 L	-5.9wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5674…8b14backed Team Nemesis	16c	2,837$452 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$451.66	367	42.8%157 W · 210 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2606…ba10backed Heroic	70c	1,878$1,315 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$563.5	39	56.4%22 W · 17 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	61cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Heroic	72c	1,100$791 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$309.11	576	41.5%239 W · 337 L	-8.3wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Team Nemesis	27c	1,036$279 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$279.3	196	45.4%89 W · 107 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Team Nemesis	18c	997.04$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.47	5,876	37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L	+71.9wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Team Nemesis	7c	938.19$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.67	496	46.6%231 W · 265 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked Team Nemesis	29c	860.13$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.6	529	36.3%192 W · 337 L	+18.1wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Team Nemesis	13c	757.78$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.91	4,238	49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L	+60.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Heroic	77c	753.03$578 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$175.08	4,038	48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L	-23.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26ac…a735backed Team Nemesis	28c	683.43$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.36	244	29.5%72 W · 172 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked Heroic	71c	630$447 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$182.7	383	58.7%225 W · 158 L	-7.9wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Heroic	72c	533.82$384 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$149.47	653	51.9%339 W · 314 L	+10.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5021…21b9backed Team Nemesis	28c	483.12$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.27	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.13per pick	46cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb6c…d38ebacked Heroic	73c	454.52$332 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.72	79	40.5%32 W · 47 L	-6.5wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa53e…f9f6backed Team Nemesis	28c	392.9$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.01	31	19.4%6 W · 25 L	-6.1wins	-0.20per pick	39cpaid	-64.7%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe2cc…893cbacked Team Nemesis	24c	381.46$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.41	393	42.5%167 W · 226 L	-10.6wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-20%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Heroic	71c	367.85$263 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.27	1,723	46.8%807 W · 916 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7129…4517backed Team Nemesis	28c	354.02$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.12	1,087	37.5%408 W · 679 L	+33.8wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86f8…b0f3backed Heroic	73c	322.9$236 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.18	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-2.6wins	-0.12per pick	55cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Team Nemesis	9c	319.61$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.63	1,181	22.5%266 W · 915 L	+3.6wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Heroic	71c	300$213 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87	285	49.5%141 W · 144 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Team Nemesis	8c	295.25$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.62	352	36.4%128 W · 224 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	+3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Heroic	72c	273.11$197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.47	285	49.5%141 W · 144 L	+7.0wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Heroic	73c	269.56$197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.78	604	51%308 W · 296 L	+8.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Heroic	71c	248.89$177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.18	178	49.4%88 W · 90 L	+5.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d2a…9ee3backed Heroic	73c	244.67$179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.06	216	50.9%110 W · 106 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x847e…235cbacked Team Nemesis	17c	242.51$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.36	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd07…8d16backed Team Nemesis	6c	239.08$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.17	119	47.1%56 W · 63 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Heroic	72c	206.27$149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.75	221	53.4%118 W · 103 L	+5.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x563d…0f60backed Team Nemesis	28c	183.33$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.33	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-2.2wins	-0.22per pick	52cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d06…ca6ebacked Team Nemesis	25c	152.8$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.2	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3eb3…4d75backed Team Nemesis	13c	147.98$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.95	50	50%25 W · 25 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Team Nemesis	18c	142.8$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.79	762	48.4%369 W · 393 L	+13.2wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0c8…97b4backed Heroic	73c	134.77$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.39	476	65.1%310 W · 166 L	+4.5wins	+0.01per pick	64cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe81e…3640backed Heroic	73c	134.77$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.39	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Team Nemesis	12c	126.51$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.59	664	46.4%308 W · 356 L	-11.6wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaee4…471fbacked Team Nemesis	30c	124.5$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.05	357	52.9%189 W · 168 L	+22.6wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf7d9…2331backed Heroic	73c	107.6$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.05	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.5wins	-0.30per pick	50cpaid	-72.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d12…0fa7backed Team Nemesis	28c	107.37$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.06	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x70db…f73fbacked Team Nemesis	28c	102.51$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.7	69	33.3%23 W · 46 L	-8.2wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked Heroic	73c	99.99$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27	700	38.9%272 W · 428 L	-29.5wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe24c…5838backed Team Nemesis	29c	99.17$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.73	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06db…1e5cbacked Team Nemesis	29c	99.04$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.72	81	46.9%38 W · 43 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed Team Nemesis	15c	90.36$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.98	1,216	40.1%488 W · 728 L	-65.0wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbdd1…ae72backed Team Nemesis	29c	88.08$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.54	288	52.1%150 W · 138 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x911f…5ed0backed Team Nemesis	27c	87.69$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.68	199	39.2%78 W · 121 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Team Nemesis	28c	85.43$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.92	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-2.6wins	-0.14per pick	48cpaid	-28%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed Heroic	79c	85.41$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.79	559	50.3%281 W · 278 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Heroic	79c	82.65$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.57	2,061	50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L	-18.7wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbc…b637backed Team Nemesis	27c	80$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.6	629	38.3%241 W · 388 L	-17.7wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41b4…51fdbacked Team Nemesis	28c	76.54$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.43	88	42%37 W · 51 L	-3.6wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e9d…1035backed Team Nemesis	28c	68.34$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.14	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.06per pick	28cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x354b…9afabacked Heroic	73c	53.91$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.55	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.17per pick	58cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f42…5b96backed Heroic	73c	53.91$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.55	174	63.8%111 W · 63 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	64cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb569…6fe0backed Heroic	71c	53$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.37	385	52.2%201 W · 184 L	+10.3wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x523e…3128backed Heroic	69c	46.94$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.55	155	44.5%69 W · 86 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e85…3015backed Team Nemesis	29c	46.33$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.4	85	63.5%54 W · 31 L	+9.2wins	+0.11per pick	53cpaid	+35%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x142d…bf73backed Team Nemesis	28c	41.01$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.48	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	-3.3wins	-0.14per pick	54cpaid	-33.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6855…ba24backed Team Nemesis	28c	41.01$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.48	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9513…1f70backed Heroic	73c	40.55$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.95	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cf0…e384backed Heroic	73c	33.69$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.1	331	53.5%177 W · 154 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xddbb…bc3abacked Heroic	73c	33.52$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.92	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	70cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e97…cd70backed Heroic	74c	33.44$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.83	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-1.6wins	-0.08per pick	43cpaid	-35%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0293…f15bbacked Heroic	73c	33.42$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.02	132	58.3%77 W · 55 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	61cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa92e…1160backed Heroic	77c	32.02$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.36	207	32.4%67 W · 140 L	-11.2wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4e5…08d4backed Heroic	73c	26.95$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.28	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9075…c21fbacked Heroic	73c	26.95$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.28	84	45.2%38 W · 46 L	-5.1wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x92bd…826dbacked Heroic	73c	24.54$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.58	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-1.7wins	-0.14per pick	64cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x13af…b19fbacked Heroic	74c	19.95$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.19	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	-3.6wins	-0.12per pick	60cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcd9d…2269backed Heroic	71c	19.91$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.77	158	64.6%102 W · 56 L	+15.3wins	+0.10per pick	55cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Heroic	73c	16.54$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.47	478	56.7%271 W · 207 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7346…5cf8backed Heroic	71c	14.74$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.27	47	61.7%29 W · 18 L	+4.7wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb376…8458backed Heroic	74c	14.57$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.79	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.17per pick	63cpaid	+22.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb716…1873backed Heroic	73c	14.31$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.86	30	76.7%23 W · 7 L	+3.6wins	+0.12per pick	65cpaid	+23.8%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffsthis page
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Heroic - Map 1 WinnerHeroic won
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Heroic - Map 2 WinnerHeroic won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Map Handicap: HERO (-1.5) vs Team Nemesis (+1.5)Heroic won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffs

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event