TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7e97…cd70

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
36
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Valorant, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 51 out of 100; worst CS2 at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT2035%7 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-35%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: magic vs 3DMAX (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.67
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic - Map 2 Winnerbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO5) - BLAST Rivals Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.4
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group Bbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group Bbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.85
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group Abacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.29
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$38.73
Counter-Strike: G2 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+49.6%+$9.71
Counter-Strike: BOSS vs regain (BO3) - PGL Astana: North American Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked BOSS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+62.8%+$11.76
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffsbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.35
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs B8 (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship Playoffsbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$17.59
Counter-Strike: Monte vs M80 (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.26
Counter-Strike: 9z vs ODDIK (BO3) - PGL Astana: South American Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$14.48
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+58.2%+$30.49
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+35.9%+$8.83
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.99
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 20 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+74.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on May 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+390.7%+$79.62
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on May 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+748.6%+$86.77
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.65
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$63
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.3
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$6.84
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 55°F or below on April 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.7
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on April 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.6
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or higher on March 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 10 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+61.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs GLYPH (BO3) - BLAST Slam Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.32
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.