CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BOSS vs regain (BO3) - PGL Astana: North American Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x069fd01c28fa3ab176f2cc2e025eaee8da55d0750d04b237e971b185e7f7c6af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BOSSof BOSS, regain
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,382
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,178
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,382 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked BOSS | 77c | 1,077$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.39 | 215 | 36.3%78 W · 137 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed regain | 11c | 912.74$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.56 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed regain | 31c | 800$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked regain | 36c | 417.55$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.61 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ecb…52a5backed BOSS | 69c | 367.18$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.83 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked BOSS | 62c | 364.72$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.59 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1234…c1bbbacked regain | 40c | 271.27$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.31 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -8.1wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed regain | 35c | 260$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.67 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52aa…505ebacked regain | 20c | 238.25$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed regain | 38c | 199.85$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.94 | 384 | 52.3%201 W · 183 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked BOSS | 78c | 182.92$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.76 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed BOSS | 59c | 101.19$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.49 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed regain | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed BOSS | 60c | 88.16$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.26 | 394 | 40.4%159 W · 235 L | +30.0wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e0…7349backed BOSS | 60c | 85$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed regain | 40c | 77.12$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.85 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…68c9backed BOSS | 68c | 75.28$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.19 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed BOSS | 60c | 72.96$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.18 | 116 | 51.7%60 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed regain | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 297 | 52.2%155 W · 142 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37d7…f131backed regain | 38c | 58.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 334 | 51.5%172 W · 162 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked BOSS | 74c | 58.09$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fde…1c3cbacked BOSS | 68c | 57.86$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed regain | 40c | 51.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…8023backed BOSS | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ef…0cf9backed BOSS | 60c | 43.6$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd12…9debbacked BOSS | 61c | 39.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked BOSS | 62c | 39.09$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed BOSS | 60c | 33.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 402 | 47.8%192 W · 210 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked BOSS | 79c | 32.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked BOSS | 62c | 31.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 336 | 57.1%192 W · 144 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e97…cd70backed BOSS | 61c | 30.51$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: BOSS vs regain (BO3) - PGL Astana: North American Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: BOSS vs regain - Map 1 WinnerBOSS won
- Counter-Strike: BOSS vs regain - Map 2 WinnerBOSS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.