Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or higher on March 13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1146dcd3451dc0bad54066d20fa14fb5d99aa9976cc8bae77d38f0302741170
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,500
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,500 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1fd2…b7f8backed Yes | 69c | 1,876$1,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.95 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d87…f13cbacked Yes | 74c | 853.64$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.41 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…7ed6backed No | 46c | 705.78$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.04 | 919 | 67%616 W · 303 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 58c | 696.34$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.04 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec3a…a709backed Yes | 77c | 596.49$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.59 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96e5…1d85backed No | 30c | 559.95$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.67 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c78…42e6backed No | 9c | 535.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 597 | 42%251 W · 346 L | +96.8wins | +0.16per pick | 26cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xe013…6c26backed No | 77c | 469.03$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.23 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 72cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 32c | 430.53$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.84 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 59c | 414.77$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.01 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe693…dd17backed Yes | 73c | 393.41$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.89 | 278 | 41%114 W · 164 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 13c | 373.63$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 398 | 10.8%43 W · 355 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97eb…9fbebacked No | 25c | 332.94$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.4 | 299 | 22.7%68 W · 231 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb616…0086backed Yes | 66c | 311.87$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.35 | 164 | 34.1%56 W · 108 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2079…ca17backed Yes | 26c | 292.2$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.48 | 96 | 26%25 W · 71 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe63…2de4backed No | 51c | 287.92$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1b…a999backed No | 36c | 279.73$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.79 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x389e…3179backed Yes | 70c | 266.65$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.82 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked No | 21c | 237.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.19 | 346 | 18.8%65 W · 281 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe272…ac63backed Yes | 66c | 204.99$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.3 | 205 | 34.1%70 W · 135 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 29c | 184.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.65 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa96a…1377backed No | 55c | 177.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.63 | 541 | 43.6%236 W · 305 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 29c | 173.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.04 | 841 | 24%202 W · 639 L | -35.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed No | 51c | 168.46$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.87 | 318 | 68.6%218 W · 100 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e9…fb3cbacked No | 57c | 161.5$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.39 | 190 | 60.5%115 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 65c | 159.65$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.88 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 52c | 156.79$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.78 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3681…4e48backed Yes | 61c | 154.54$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 1,375 | 56%770 W · 605 L | +25.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 55c | 154.27$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.34 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…c66bbacked No | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.74 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa74…6bcbbacked Yes | 67c | 140.96$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.16 | 180 | 41.1%74 W · 106 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 25c | 136.03$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f7…bfd3backed Yes | 73c | 135.79$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.78 | 194 | 26.3%51 W · 143 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3774…b424backed Yes | 48c | 131.56$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.91 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 29c | 120.93$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.11 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf198…dfedbacked Yes | 62c | 118.35$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.88 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef0f…1dc9backed Yes | 68c | 113.88$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.89 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +11.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 70c | 113.65$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.41 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3840backed Yes | 64c | 113$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.02 | 1,153 | 27.1%312 W · 841 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 35c | 110$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 58c | 108.89$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.1 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a42…8da8backed Yes | 73c | 108.79$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 388 | 40.7%158 W · 230 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fba…3adcbacked Yes | 64c | 105.86$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc97…da82backed Yes | 71c | 104.94$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.94 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe57…4406backed Yes | 57c | 102.58$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.08 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf516…1ea1backed No | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3df9…2bddbacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 191 | 23.6%45 W · 146 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x354d…eb8fbacked No | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 701 | 33.5%235 W · 466 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb254…c972backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed No | 42c | 99.96$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.98 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x888f…23f5backed Yes | 71c | 98.73$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.72 | 173 | 38.2%66 W · 107 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb3…d405backed Yes | 52c | 96.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.42 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 26c | 94.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x4701…ca83backed No | 22c | 93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f1…946cbacked Yes | 58c | 90$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +40%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba5…dc25backed Yes | 59c | 85.37$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.86 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27fb…3f5ebacked No | 30c | 85.17$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 209 | 42.1%88 W · 121 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b0…bae1backed Yes | 65c | 84.81$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x394c…158cbacked No | 25c | 80.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 42cpaid | -73%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0a…bb29backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 114 | 25.4%29 W · 85 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce45…aa7bbacked No | 33c | 75.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x108f…ee30backed Yes | 75c | 72.23$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b40…96e3backed No | 55c | 70.78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.93 | 522 | 45%235 W · 287 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x172c…5013backed Yes | 58c | 69.22$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x500e…6118backed No | 43c | 69.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…d2f6backed Yes | 46c | 66.73$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.73 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 73c | 65$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 51c | 64$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.31 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e97…cd70backed No | 32c | 62.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea2…e97fbacked Yes | 65c | 62$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 350 | 18%63 W · 287 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 41c | 58.3$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c4…1513backed Yes | 79c | 57$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.97 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d8c…0977backed Yes | 72c | 55.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 63 | 15.9%10 W · 53 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed Yes | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 395 | 41.3%163 W · 232 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x025b…1793backed Yes | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 126 | 32.5%41 W · 85 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebe5…d852backed No | 40c | 49.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba81backed No | 33c | 49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 617 | 60.1%371 W · 246 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 51c | 48.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,002 | 60.9%610 W · 392 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x131d…2a50backed No | 45c | 48.13$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 103 | 35.9%37 W · 66 L | -15.3wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa081…e7a0backed No | 39c | 47.84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 389 | 61.7%240 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Yes | 62c | 47.51$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.26 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74be…d9dbbacked Yes | 41c | 47.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.07 | 94 | 29.8%28 W · 66 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e80…6910backed Yes | 77c | 45.53$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13e6…c310backed Yes | 62c | 45.17$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 159 | 11.3%18 W · 141 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc43c…0678backed No | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb0…0648backed No | 33c | 43.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…ad94backed Yes | 58c | 42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 331 | 39.6%131 W · 200 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2c…64f0backed No | 36c | 40.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 77 | 14.3%11 W · 66 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf3…3c08backed Yes | 64c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee89…cfb3backed Yes | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…8c52backed No | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…ae21backed Yes | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 353 | 62.9%222 W · 131 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x365a…6120backed Yes | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e73…5413backed No | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35b6…d99ebacked Yes | 50c | 39.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…9ec0backed Yes | 53c | 39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1f…9ff2backed Yes | 76c | 37.07$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 323 | 52.9%171 W · 152 L | +19.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb70c…31a9backed Yes | 70c | 35.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39f0…108fbacked No | 34c | 34.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3910…ba74backed No | 34c | 32.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 172 | 31.4%54 W · 118 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or higher on March 13?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on March 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 4°C or below on March 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on March 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on March 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on March 13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.