Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Dortmund eSports vs CGN Esports (BO3) - VCL DACH: Evolution Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69ea606d783812ccb9fcacca37203f9ded7c61c4674755411277f4246f3ee88d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CGN Esportsof Dortmund eSports, CGN Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,468
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,675
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,468 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed CGN Esports | 73c | 1,267$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.22 | 324 | 62.7%203 W · 121 L | +31.7wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked CGN Esports | 71c | 1,251$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.2 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Dortmund eSports | 54c | 972$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.73 | 102 | 37.3%38 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Dortmund eSports | 29c | 960.31$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.22 | 465 | 26.7%124 W · 341 L | -25.8wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked CGN Esports | 67c | 956.06$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.99 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed CGN Esports | 58c | 748.61$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.89 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Dortmund eSports | 33c | 513.82$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.64 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x448d…3adebacked Dortmund eSports | 33c | 510$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.3 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Dortmund eSports | 33c | 505$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.65 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7a…f429backed Dortmund eSports | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Dortmund eSports | 32c | 471.95$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.06 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Dortmund eSports | 27c | 449.66$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.89 | 301 | 47.2%142 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x039b…d57fbacked Dortmund eSports | 37c | 445.81$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Dortmund eSports | 34c | 291.49$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.18 | 347 | 39.8%138 W · 209 L | -13.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ca…cccbbacked CGN Esports | 41c | 259.48$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.89 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.7wins | +0.25per pick | 49cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3208…07a7backed CGN Esports | 42c | 255.08$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.95 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 41cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked CGN Esports | 63c | 181.61$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.19 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Dortmund eSports | 12c | 171.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 1,380 | 47.1%650 W · 730 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Dortmund eSports | 30c | 151.87$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed CGN Esports | 49c | 150$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.8 | 156 | 42.3%66 W · 90 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Dortmund eSports | 34c | 149.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 257 | 45.9%118 W · 139 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Dortmund eSports | 37c | 139.25$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 242 | 50.4%122 W · 120 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed CGN Esports | 71c | 136.83$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.24 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Dortmund eSports | 15c | 136.44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 418 | 35.6%149 W · 269 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Dortmund eSports | 29c | 132.02$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.29 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd74…76b9backed Dortmund eSports | 56c | 118.35$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.29 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed Dortmund eSports | 47c | 117.24$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.1 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc26…2f27backed Dortmund eSports | 37c | 114.64$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Dortmund eSports | 29c | 105.31$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.54 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Dortmund eSports | 46c | 105.23$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.84 | 112 | 58%65 W · 47 L | +12.8wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x167d…c6b2backed Dortmund eSports | 30c | 99.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked CGN Esports | 66c | 84.64$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -8.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Dortmund eSports | 37c | 84$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Dortmund eSports | 37c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 176 | 54.5%96 W · 80 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Dortmund eSports | 28c | 65.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1da…d707backed CGN Esports | 72c | 57.33$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacc…0a59backed CGN Esports | 72c | 54.84$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa80a…110abacked Dortmund eSports | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked CGN Esports | 67c | 44.04$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Dortmund eSports | 28c | 41.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -8.1wins | -0.31per pick | 50cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed CGN Esports | 57c | 39.19$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked CGN Esports | 66c | 36.25$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Dortmund eSports | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Dortmund eSports | 33c | 35.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…db89backed CGN Esports | 66c | 33.78$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13af…b19fbacked Dortmund eSports | 33c | 31.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked CGN Esports | 66c | 31.24$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -11.0wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked CGN Esports | 51c | 27.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 1,365 | 38.9%531 W · 834 L | -60.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40fc…498dbacked CGN Esports | 66c | 26.72$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…f35abacked CGN Esports | 72c | 25.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed Dortmund eSports | 48c | 24.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 247 | 51.8%128 W · 119 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4af0…7696backed CGN Esports | 65c | 24.48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed CGN Esports | 64c | 22.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed CGN Esports | 65c | 20.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1c…29dbbacked CGN Esports | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked CGN Esports | 67c | 19.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…b2bdbacked CGN Esports | 65c | 16.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 149 | 59.7%89 W · 60 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Dortmund eSports vs CGN Esports (BO3) - VCL DACH: Evolution Group Stagethis page
- Valorant: Dortmund eSports vs CGN Esports - Map 1 WinnerCGN Esports won
- Valorant: Dortmund eSports vs CGN Esports - Map 2 WinnerCGN Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.