Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05c69a9a1f14715a1b8c10ed563aeaf9494ced9ab965eed5cbd55d043adbd05c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zero Tenacityof VP.Prodigy, Zero Tenacity
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,738
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,738 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked VP.Prodigy | 16c | 1,709$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.08 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed VP.Prodigy | 33c | 981.11$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.4 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked VP.Prodigy | 16c | 732.68$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.73 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked VP.Prodigy | 18c | 648.78$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.74 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Zero Tenacity | 69c | 454.99$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.75 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Zero Tenacity | 76c | 383.73$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.53 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9a41backed Zero Tenacity | 63c | 339.97$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.59 | 230 | 50.9%117 W · 113 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed VP.Prodigy | 26c | 324.23$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a4…4249backed VP.Prodigy | 45c | 195.42$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.65 | 196 | 64.8%127 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…942bbacked VP.Prodigy | 46c | 192.09$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.36 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Zero Tenacity | 60c | 162.48$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.99 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked VP.Prodigy | 13c | 102$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Zero Tenacity | 59c | 82.76$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.93 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked VP.Prodigy | 41c | 82.76$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.93 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked VP.Prodigy | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…f99abacked VP.Prodigy | 39c | 57.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…8e7ebacked Zero Tenacity | 60c | 55.03$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.01 | 338 | 54.1%183 W · 155 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed VP.Prodigy | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef0d…ef1cbacked Zero Tenacity | 50c | 45.34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.67 | 227 | 40.5%92 W · 135 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed VP.Prodigy | 55c | 44.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee59…e42abacked Zero Tenacity | 55c | 43.07$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 288 | 46.9%135 W · 153 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked VP.Prodigy | 39c | 42.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1676…ab19backed Zero Tenacity | 50c | 41.66$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.83 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81fe…4089backed Zero Tenacity | 65c | 37.19$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8b…01e9backed Zero Tenacity | 45c | 32.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…9a01backed Zero Tenacity | 60c | 31.26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 160 | 54.4%87 W · 73 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked Zero Tenacity | 65c | 28.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 149 | 63.1%94 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfff1…12e4backed Zero Tenacity | 45c | 28.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 129 | 37.2%48 W · 81 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…6237backed Zero Tenacity | 55c | 27.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1620…227bbacked Zero Tenacity | 70c | 24.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 137 | 62.8%86 W · 51 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7560…1ee1backed Zero Tenacity | 45c | 22.82$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 211 | 33.6%71 W · 140 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - European Pro League PlayoffsZero Tenacity won
- Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 WinnerZero Tenacity won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.