CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Honvéd vs Julie&cie (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc7799e2cdddc4611896a9703808afff39d555a4fba716c52b44000bf33e238a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Honvédof Honvéd, Julie&cie
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,086
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,816
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,086 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Honvéd | 76c | 2,611$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.9 | 232 | 44.8%104 W · 128 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Julie&cie | 14c | 2,220$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.42 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7add…7a7bbacked Julie&cie | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Honvéd | 79c | 1,843$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.42 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked Julie&cie | 22c | 1,771$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.23 | 226 | 45.1%102 W · 124 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Julie&cie | 20c | 1,270$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.39 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…294fbacked Honvéd | 68c | 1,207$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.24 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Julie&cie | 32c | 1,207$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.24 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Honvéd | 77c | 804.54$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.8 | 284 | 55.6%158 W · 126 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Julie&cie | 19c | 742.67$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.74 | 200 | 45%90 W · 110 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Julie&cie | 20c | 718.21$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.64 | 387 | 39.5%153 W · 234 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Julie&cie | 13c | 652.29$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.96 | 215 | 36.3%78 W · 137 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec8c…3bcdbacked Julie&cie | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 351 | 31.1%109 W · 242 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Julie&cie | 15c | 499.98$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.88 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…31c4backed Julie&cie | 21c | 451.71$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.28 | 107 | 31.8%34 W · 73 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…1aecbacked Julie&cie | 21c | 450.96$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.33 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…641abacked Julie&cie | 9c | 328.66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.54 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Julie&cie | 25c | 306.48$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.45 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e83…00aabacked Julie&cie | 23c | 300$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 171 | 42.1%72 W · 99 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75c7…fcccbacked Julie&cie | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 204 | 44.1%90 W · 114 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Julie&cie | 23c | 300$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Julie&cie | 17c | 281.28$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.18 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Honvéd | 80c | 281$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.2 | 465 | 55.1%256 W · 209 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cad…48b5backed Honvéd | 69c | 262.49$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.08 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc818…1da3backed Julie&cie | 20c | 250.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 89 | 25.8%23 W · 66 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Julie&cie | 12c | 223.93$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf990…88bcbacked Julie&cie | 16c | 199.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Julie&cie | 16c | 195.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.23 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fd…9164backed Julie&cie | 8c | 194.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc2…a9ebbacked Honvéd | 70c | 160$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Julie&cie | 11c | 145$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Julie&cie | 27c | 123.17$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.85 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Julie&cie | 30c | 105.46$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.52 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd385…34fbbacked Honvéd | 78c | 103.41$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 138 | 52.9%73 W · 65 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Julie&cie | 15c | 102.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Julie&cie | 10c | 102$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Julie&cie | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68f0…c32dbacked Julie&cie | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed1…908cbacked Julie&cie | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 206 | 37.9%78 W · 128 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5a…96bcbacked Julie&cie | 19c | 99.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Julie&cie | 17c | 98.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Julie&cie | 13c | 95.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Julie&cie | 14c | 93.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Julie&cie | 18c | 91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 270 | 37.8%102 W · 168 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf9…d60bbacked Julie&cie | 22c | 81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.5wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4a…c078backed Julie&cie | 21c | 60.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 122 | 71.3%87 W · 35 L | +18.5wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x234e…1160backed Julie&cie | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 414 | 37%153 W · 261 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Honvéd | 79c | 59.41$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Julie&cie | 18c | 57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Julie&cie | 20c | 50.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -5.7wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd85…1d60backed Honvéd | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 201 | 47.3%95 W · 106 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Julie&cie | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 677 | 50.2%340 W · 337 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Julie&cie | 31c | 47.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 336 | 27.7%93 W · 243 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0c…47eabacked Honvéd | 65c | 44.9$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Honvéd | 78c | 40.51$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.79 | 758 | 33.4%253 W · 505 L | -48.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…f4a0backed Honvéd | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 838 | 56.1%470 W · 368 L | +31.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ba…6450backed Honvéd | 68c | 35.29$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b4…6815backed Honvéd | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53c9…234dbacked Honvéd | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe77…8fe4backed Honvéd | 74c | 22.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 163 | 51.5%84 W · 79 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…6167backed Honvéd | 66c | 21.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…d0c8backed Honvéd | 78c | 14.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.19 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Honvéd vs Julie&cie (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Athis page
- Counter-Strike: Honvéd vs Julie&cie - Map 1 WinnerHonvéd won
- Counter-Strike: Honvéd vs Julie&cie - Map 2 WinnerHonvéd won
- Map Handicap: Honvéd (-1.5) vs Julie&cie (+1.5)Honvéd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.