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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
GamerLegionof GamerLegion, Astralis
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$113,608
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$132,066

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,608 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0e1b…ecafbacked GamerLegion52c19,187$10,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,185.112,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed GamerLegion52c13,702$7,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,613.968043.8%35 W · 45 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Astralis50c13,140$6,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,546.0650254.2%272 W · 230 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed Astralis49c13,064$6,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,422.7475550.6%382 W · 373 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Astralis50c9,999$4,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,949.6223245.7%106 W · 126 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked Astralis48c8,000$3,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,839.9941340.2%166 W · 247 L-2.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid+2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed GamerLegion50c6,106$3,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,053.0533043.3%143 W · 187 L+1.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e53…bf9abacked GamerLegion49c5,100$2,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,600.996947.8%33 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Astralis48c4,686$2,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,249.0736152.6%190 W · 171 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked GamerLegion52c4,300$2,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,06429347.1%138 W · 155 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Astralis49c4,272$2,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1061,62944.8%730 W · 899 L+4.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe077…f5eebacked GamerLegion51c4,102$2,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,009.9620141.8%84 W · 117 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa503…c5b9backed Astralis50c3,271$1,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,634.782240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3936…366dbacked Astralis46c3,037$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4002944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed GamerLegion51c3,000$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,47078939.5%312 W · 477 L-3.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa113…284ebacked Astralis50c2,111$1,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,055.5820935.4%74 W · 135 L-21.5wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-27.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed GamerLegion27c2,041$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,494.445,34131.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L-390.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked GamerLegion50c1,958$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.141,02052.2%532 W · 488 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed GamerLegion26c1,944$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,445.62,09241.6%871 W · 1,221 L-50.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5011…94b4backed GamerLegion50c1,764$878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885.750341.6%209 W · 294 L+1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid+16.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Astralis53c1,659$871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$870.8687847.9%421 W · 457 L+16.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Astralis51c1,569$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80075545.6%344 W · 411 L-21.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e9c…1fcabacked GamerLegion51c1,561$796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.88324.1%20 W · 63 L-11.7wins-0.14per pick38cpaid-33.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Astralis78c1,441$1,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,121.562,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed GamerLegion51c1,423$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.3746246.8%216 W · 246 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Astralis42c1,411$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.031,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Astralis49c1,276$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.7723653.8%127 W · 109 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfffe…4e6cbacked Astralis50c1,250$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.5127749.5%137 W · 140 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4214…db99backed GamerLegion52c1,210$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.911740.2%47 W · 70 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Astralis49c1,170$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.351252.3%268 W · 244 L+16.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed Astralis50c1,088$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.0255343.2%239 W · 314 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ed…1ea1backed GamerLegion52c1,079$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.9114451.4%74 W · 70 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x284d…59f7backed GamerLegion51c1,050$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.321145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed GamerLegion52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48097240.7%396 W · 576 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bfe…1220backed Astralis50c969.62$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.819266.3%61 W · 31 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Astralis50c960$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48027552%143 W · 132 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked GamerLegion7c957.78$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$887.7835341.6%147 W · 206 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked GamerLegion40c915.17$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.925,58047.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L+47.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04d3…cdacbacked GamerLegion51c899.99$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.991442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacdb…48cabacked GamerLegion62c832.11$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21fe…7b71backed Astralis50c801.55$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-44.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x009b…26dabacked Astralis49c794.49$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.3510532.4%34 W · 71 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked GamerLegion52c749.98$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.4911155%61 W · 50 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0fb…b170backed GamerLegion49c739.43$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.0511442.1%48 W · 66 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Astralis41c715.19$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.951,26346.9%592 W · 671 L+18.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb963…3fa0backed Astralis50c666$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33350043%215 W · 285 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4f9…f4adbacked Astralis50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30019148.2%92 W · 99 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Astralis49c586$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.1465351.9%339 W · 314 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed GamerLegion50c585.76$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.8836845.1%166 W · 202 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed GamerLegion52c577.68$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.421,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe337…1f6fbacked Astralis48c559.99$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.7926341.1%108 W · 155 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed GamerLegion50c556.47$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.242,03053.7%1,091 W · 939 L+6.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Astralis49c554.65$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.2810546.7%49 W · 56 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Astralis50c545.45$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.9643544.6%194 W · 241 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53e9…5ef8backed GamerLegion13c500$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43532136.8%118 W · 203 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe692…ea10backed GamerLegion3c500$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48317617%30 W · 146 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4c2…1e3abacked GamerLegion78c499.76$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.064575.6%34 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick70cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked Astralis50c480$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24039157.5%225 W · 166 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7c0…dadabacked GamerLegion64c464.84$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.8819342.5%82 W · 111 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75c1…22e4backed GamerLegion54c455.93$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.9310450%52 W · 52 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked GamerLegion38c402.38$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.695,03437.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L-260.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed GamerLegion50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001,28322%282 W · 1,001 L-24.2wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Astralis78c384.62$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020458.3%119 W · 85 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed Astralis49c380.77$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.5862350.9%317 W · 306 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Astralis53c369.69$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.941,79059.2%1,060 W · 730 L+106.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed GamerLegion51c362.69$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.6816047.5%76 W · 84 L+0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Astralis44c342$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.592,79837.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L-138.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c05…416cbacked Astralis71c338.34$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.073528.6%10 W · 25 L-3.5wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-44.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ee3…9d1ebacked Astralis48c334.53$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1593033.3%10 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-37.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe592…74adbacked GamerLegion50c334$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1677445.9%34 W · 40 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Astralis64c325.96$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.34,75443.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L-85.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x949e…20afbacked GamerLegion32c312.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.543437.6%163 W · 271 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed GamerLegion50c311.76$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.882,64551.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L+21.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e83…a620backed Astralis51c303.92$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1552846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac0c…739cbacked Astralis49c299.98$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.9966034.1%225 W · 435 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed Astralis51c294.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15050050.6%253 W · 247 L+2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed GamerLegion51c274.51$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.5137232.5%121 W · 251 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked GamerLegion51c274.51$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.5131451.6%162 W · 152 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked Astralis48c270.7$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.1658343.6%254 W · 329 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked GamerLegion32c218.75$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.7553737.1%199 W · 338 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6033…8a83backed Astralis50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015632.7%51 W · 105 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc882…0662backed GamerLegion54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9213333.1%44 W · 89 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed GamerLegion52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9645544.4%202 W · 253 L-0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6707…d4d8backed GamerLegion54c192.7$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.722654.9%124 W · 102 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec5a…cd56backed GamerLegion42c179.05$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0511943.7%52 W · 67 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbc…b637backed Astralis49c149.99$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.562938.3%241 W · 388 L-17.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf4c…21babacked GamerLegion50c140.12$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.12966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+71.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x34d5…e0c1backed Astralis50c140$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7036555.9%204 W · 161 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Astralis72c135.56$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.581,00355.7%559 W · 444 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked GamerLegion48c135$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.652,60552.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L+97.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7205…8e0abacked Astralis51c134.1$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.3911953.8%64 W · 55 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29de…d9e6backed Astralis49c133.84$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.695056%28 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3da2…22b6backed GamerLegion51c117.65$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.6539745.8%182 W · 215 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked GamerLegion50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501,71052.3%895 W · 815 L-73.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xddad…bce1backed Astralis50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022252.7%117 W · 105 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb223…3772backed GamerLegion51c97.06$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.567542.7%32 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0844…bf81backed GamerLegion52c93.27$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.7735848%172 W · 186 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c67…a479backed Astralis50c90$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4520258.9%119 W · 83 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x912e…0eaebacked GamerLegion50c81.96$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9836434.1%124 W · 240 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe6f…b760backed Astralis49c81.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4032047.2%151 W · 169 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.