CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Astralis - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd1519d3b988e57afa9d03159f0a31df2d8556a48c9713bfb36b205bd0e1dd8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GamerLegionof GamerLegion, Astralis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,512
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,307
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,512 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Astralis | 78c | 3,923$3,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,071.66 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked GamerLegion | 22c | 3,165$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,471.67 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…18a4backed GamerLegion | 38c | 2,637$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,637 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…b170backed GamerLegion | 4c | 2,619$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,510.75 | 114 | 42.1%48 W · 66 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked GamerLegion | 32c | 2,481$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,694.4 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked GamerLegion | 3c | 1,260$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.2 | 401 | 40.6%163 W · 238 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc8…f527backed GamerLegion | 18c | 1,229$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.99 | 488 | 26.2%128 W · 360 L | -44.3wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked GamerLegion | 48c | 1,040$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.89 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e8…88a4backed GamerLegion | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890 | 171 | 62%106 W · 65 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Astralis | 69c | 942.43$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.37 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked GamerLegion | 11c | 837.37$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.37 | 528 | 37.1%196 W · 332 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Astralis | 65c | 764.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked Astralis | 65c | 710.1$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.57 | 410 | 40%164 W · 246 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Astralis | 61c | 600$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366 | 117 | 40.2%47 W · 70 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4449…5095backed GamerLegion | 9c | 581.11$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.11 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed Astralis | 77c | 553.49$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.67 | 550 | 43.1%237 W · 313 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Astralis | 64c | 500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 608 | 48%292 W · 316 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…e0c1backed Astralis | 53c | 470$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.4 | 365 | 55.9%204 W · 161 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Astralis | 61c | 453.16$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.28 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f4adbacked Astralis | 67c | 448.93$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed GamerLegion | 48c | 400$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…26dabacked GamerLegion | 43c | 382.35$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.8 | 105 | 32.4%34 W · 71 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Astralis | 65c | 379.21$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.06 | 203 | 44.3%90 W · 113 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Astralis | 53c | 281.48$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 500 | 50.6%253 W · 247 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Astralis | 51c | 264.94$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.12 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked GamerLegion | 36c | 217.15$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.99 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Astralis | 61c | 210.75$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.56 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0b…f901backed Astralis | 54c | 201.22$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.56 | 359 | 53.2%191 W · 168 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a479backed Astralis | 53c | 187.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.62 | 202 | 58.9%119 W · 83 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66a6…f22bbacked GamerLegion | 11c | 183.46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.46 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed GamerLegion | 11c | 165$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.87 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Astralis | 68c | 164.89$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.43 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed GamerLegion | 27c | 157.34$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.52 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked GamerLegion | 35c | 154.3$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.06 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed GamerLegion | 35c | 153.71$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.68 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…ff9bbacked Astralis | 53c | 126.41$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…1f6fbacked Astralis | 52c | 101.58$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.82 | 263 | 41.1%108 W · 155 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6f…b760backed Astralis | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 316 | 47.5%150 W · 166 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed Astralis | 68c | 95.59$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 226 | 54.9%124 W · 102 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…7e0bbacked Astralis | 53c | 90.38$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.9 | 538 | 59.3%319 W · 219 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked Astralis | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0504…3799backed GamerLegion | 48c | 63.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.84 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed GamerLegion | 40c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1866…1325backed GamerLegion | 18c | 59.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.12 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d4…2f1ebacked Astralis | 64c | 53.71$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.37 | 291 | 56.7%165 W · 126 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked Astralis | 71c | 49.97$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.48 | 117 | 40.2%47 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x389d…995fbacked Astralis | 71c | 49.97$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.48 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28dd…f376backed Astralis | 68c | 44.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bf…8ec8backed GamerLegion | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 323 | 57.6%186 W · 137 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed GamerLegion | 39c | 33.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.69 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Astralis | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61e9…b13abacked Astralis | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 199 | 54.3%108 W · 91 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d66…aa07backed Astralis | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group BGamerLegion won
- Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Astralis - Map 2 WinnerGamerLegion won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)GamerLegion won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.