Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: UW (-1.5) vs KRÜ Blaze (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85ae1649e14f676acb0e13b6b460409674949701b2f69b1318de83e53b1232bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- University Warof University War, KRÜ Blaze
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,920
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,443
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,920 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcadf…1f60backed University War | 74c | 8,492$6,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,241.52 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1c…b465backed University War | 78c | 2,299$1,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.26 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed KRÜ Blaze | 25c | 1,655$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.84 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6853…f2b8backed KRÜ Blaze | 31c | 1,149$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed KRÜ Blaze | 25c | 942.3$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.78 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd2…0abfbacked KRÜ Blaze | 23c | 869.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 36cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed KRÜ Blaze | 23c | 862.3$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.33 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -32%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7add…7a7bbacked KRÜ Blaze | 29c | 777.3$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.76 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d08…5d9fbacked KRÜ Blaze | 21c | 661.72$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.34 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed KRÜ Blaze | 31c | 648.39$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 150 | 42%63 W · 87 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a4…8427backed KRÜ Blaze | 22c | 622.73$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed KRÜ Blaze | 31c | 600$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.58 | 140 | 32.9%46 W · 94 L | -11.0wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9467…98fbbacked KRÜ Blaze | 31c | 493.55$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed University War | 70c | 478.99$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.7 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f4…cddbbacked University War | 72c | 452.56$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.51 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 64cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cc…ce77backed KRÜ Blaze | 21c | 412.85$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.7 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc910…8bbcbacked KRÜ Blaze | 23c | 334.78$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe04…1481backed KRÜ Blaze | 23c | 317.39$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked KRÜ Blaze | 21c | 311.72$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.96 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed KRÜ Blaze | 31c | 280.32$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.9 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked KRÜ Blaze | 20c | 253$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked KRÜ Blaze | 26c | 239.96$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.24 | 138 | 41.3%57 W · 81 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…c5b4backed University War | 70c | 215$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed KRÜ Blaze | 20c | 199.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa14b…4ff2backed KRÜ Blaze | 23c | 197.88$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.51 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0193…bad1backed KRÜ Blaze | 25c | 183.93$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.82 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b50…b417backed KRÜ Blaze | 29c | 183.85$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed KRÜ Blaze | 23c | 183.65$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 158 | 43%68 W · 90 L | -12.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…afaebacked KRÜ Blaze | 30c | 120.89$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.27 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6efa…a0a7backed University War | 76c | 120$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked University War | 72c | 107.36$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.06 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed KRÜ Blaze | 23c | 102.36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.54 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed KRÜ Blaze | 28c | 101.1$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.31 | 639 | 48%307 W · 332 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac66…9120backed KRÜ Blaze | 23c | 96.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7160…cce2backed KRÜ Blaze | 23c | 92.39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d60…6df2backed KRÜ Blaze | 23c | 86.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…5152backed KRÜ Blaze | 30c | 74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…2ab5backed KRÜ Blaze | 23c | 66.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9632…a379backed University War | 80c | 61.72$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ff…55f2backed KRÜ Blaze | 30c | 53.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad81…d891backed KRÜ Blaze | 22c | 51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed University War | 76c | 25.31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 672 | 50.6%340 W · 332 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked University War | 62c | 16.13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e9…f1ccbacked University War | 72c | 14.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: UW (-1.5) vs KRÜ Blaze (+1.5)this page
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5Over won
- Valorant: University War vs KRÜ Blaze (BO3) - VCL Latin America South: Regular SeasonUniversity War won
- Valorant: University War vs KRÜ Blaze - Map 1 WinnerUniversity War won
- Valorant: University War vs KRÜ Blaze - Map 2 WinnerUniversity War won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.