Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47973ffc8a231488f2c8e29f61f2ac19cbc798678ace0b953b4a96fdc8de9b5d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,378
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,072
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,378 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Under | 75c | 4,999$3,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,746.67 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Under | 66c | 2,085$1,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,376.09 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Over | 34c | 1,770$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.21 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -27.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Over | 25c | 844.22$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.17 | 592 | 48.3%286 W · 306 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Over | 25c | 819.93$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.95 | 780 | 50%390 W · 390 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Over | 45c | 678.64$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.36 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa033…4938backed Over | 25c | 595.92$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.94 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb126…9848backed Over | 28c | 580.91$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.26 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7add…7a7bbacked Over | 25c | 531.61$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.71 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Over | 25c | 519.79$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.84 | 240 | 41.3%99 W · 141 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed Over | 26c | 496.16$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.12 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -8.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe081…fc19backed Over | 35c | 447.76$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.1 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -8.8wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 65c | 435.06$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.79 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 33c | 241.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.28 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 63c | 204.9$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.33 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a08…5627backed Over | 25c | 202.46$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.85 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe04…1481backed Over | 25c | 152.8$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.6 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbb…39dabacked Under | 71c | 151.36$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.57 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c8…86b4backed Under | 72c | 116.03$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.52 | 191 | 57.1%109 W · 82 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Over | 34c | 110.16$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.71 | 905 | 37.5%339 W · 566 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…dd23backed Over | 25c | 107.62$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.71 | 131 | 35.1%46 W · 85 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Over | 36c | 100.81$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.65 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 37c | 96.24$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.31 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6f…3be7backed Over | 25c | 95.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.63 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 68c | 89.12$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.28 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Over | 25c | 80.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.17 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb297…db87backed Over | 25c | 76.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…cefdbacked Under | 69c | 69.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed Over | 26c | 60.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.01 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe741…fc1abacked Over | 25c | 58.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.24 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Over | 25c | 57.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.97 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec17…5c42backed Under | 39c | 51.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d30…11f1backed Over | 25c | 46.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Over | 23c | 43.01$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.95 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Over | 33c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 390 | 44.6%174 W · 216 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under | 54c | 35.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 464 | 52.4%243 W · 221 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 416 | 51.2%213 W · 203 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x301f…2ddfbacked Under | 67c | 28.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Under | 73c | 13.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: SU (-1.5) vs Bushido Wildcats (+1.5)Bushido Wildcats won
- LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs SU Esports (BO3) - TCL Regular SeasonSU Esports won
- LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs SU Esports - Game 1 WinnerBushido Wildcats won
- LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs SU Esports - Game 2 WinnerSU Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.