Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: SU (-1.5) vs Bushido Wildcats (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x635ba7b17dac63c8dc07a7f096e12a73eb44504a2b5750d195a9672832094bc3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bushido Wildcatsof SU Esports, Bushido Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,005
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,320
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,005 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked SU Esports | 60c | 3,910$2,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,327.7 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Bushido Wildcats | 40c | 3,616$1,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,177.34 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -27.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked SU Esports | 61c | 1,186$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.69 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed SU Esports | 61c | 600$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd507…a6ddbacked Bushido Wildcats | 37c | 450.39$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.51 | 300 | 35%105 W · 195 L | -21.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed SU Esports | 62c | 413.55$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.86 | 181 | 39.2%71 W · 110 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5e…1468backed Bushido Wildcats | 42c | 356.19$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.66 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…954ebacked Bushido Wildcats | 42c | 306.8$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.94 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Bushido Wildcats | 39c | 285.21$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.98 | 221 | 42.5%94 W · 127 L | -13.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d18…3d29backed Bushido Wildcats | 39c | 247.64$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.31 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed Bushido Wildcats | 38c | 222.7$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.68 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed SU Esports | 61c | 205.12$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.12 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3524backed Bushido Wildcats | 39c | 197.61$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.54 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked SU Esports | 55c | 190.36$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.65 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a47…5e77backed Bushido Wildcats | 39c | 185.27$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.01 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Bushido Wildcats | 42c | 181.55$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.3 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Bushido Wildcats | 37c | 179.09$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.83 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Bushido Wildcats | 38c | 134.45$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.36 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed SU Esports | 62c | 128$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.36 | 594 | 50.2%298 W · 296 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed SU Esports | 62c | 99.94$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.36 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Bushido Wildcats | 45c | 96.67$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.62 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…8f64backed Bushido Wildcats | 41c | 91.64$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b5…5b6abacked Bushido Wildcats | 37c | 90.52$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.03 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe61a…292dbacked SU Esports | 68c | 72.2$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.05 | 461 | 54.9%253 W · 208 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked SU Esports | 62c | 69.77$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.31 | 416 | 51.2%213 W · 203 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x205a…682abacked Bushido Wildcats | 38c | 63.17$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.86 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf11e…3bc1backed Bushido Wildcats | 36c | 59.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.08 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c8…86b4backed SU Esports | 64c | 57.37$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 191 | 57.1%109 W · 82 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1c…9bb3backed Bushido Wildcats | 37c | 46.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.19 | 159 | 56%89 W · 70 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Bushido Wildcats | 45c | 45.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Bushido Wildcats | 42c | 44.84$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 242 | 35.5%86 W · 156 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Bushido Wildcats | 44c | 28.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed SU Esports | 63c | 19.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 261 | 54.8%143 W · 118 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: SU (-1.5) vs Bushido Wildcats (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs SU Esports (BO3) - TCL Regular SeasonSU Esports won
- LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs SU Esports - Game 1 WinnerBushido Wildcats won
- LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs SU Esports - Game 2 WinnerSU Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.