TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: K27 vs Walczaki (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
K27of K27, Walczaki
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$48,630
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$57,753

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,630 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4b59…3aa6backed K2751c3,576$1,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,744.2284958.3%495 W · 354 L+60.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed K2753c3,537$1,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,662.4766851.8%346 W · 322 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked K2753c2,763$1,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,296.415,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xedcc…41a1backed Walczaki49c2,690$1,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,305.0221953.4%117 W · 102 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Walczaki47c2,104$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$986.5821945.7%100 W · 119 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked K2751c2,031$1,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$994.981,01152.3%529 W · 482 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd761…56e3backed Walczaki34c2,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68024746.2%114 W · 133 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1529…a7babacked Walczaki48c2,000$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.541136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-33.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Walczaki47c1,250$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.51,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed Walczaki48c1,250$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.9749935.1%175 W · 324 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf424…9723backed K2767c1,002$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.0721135.5%75 W · 136 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ff4…d731backed Walczaki45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45019840.9%81 W · 117 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed Walczaki1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105740%0 W · 574 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18f3…0c20backed K2754c800$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36826155.2%144 W · 117 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked Walczaki26c799.97$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.9994645.8%433 W · 513 L+18.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x206c…2b8dbacked Walczaki47c609.53$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.486744.8%30 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed Walczaki46c572.82$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.7335839.4%141 W · 217 L+1.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed Walczaki47c554$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.5332139.9%128 W · 193 L-13.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb40e…7787backed K2753c499.99$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23520743%89 W · 118 L-14.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x71cf…10fdbacked Walczaki46c499.94$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.971947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03c5…5f61backed Walczaki46c496.4$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.5123732.9%78 W · 159 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed K2755c472.63$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.2550051.4%257 W · 243 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed K2752c427.04$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.942,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Walczaki43c426.15$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.9623245.3%105 W · 127 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fa2…6df9backed Walczaki46c419.57$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19316245.7%74 W · 88 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b0c…d43abacked Walczaki47c412.69$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.6846447.6%221 W · 243 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed K2753c399.99$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1885,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x996c…2bf1backed Walczaki46c393.59$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed K2752c384.54$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.541,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x83c4…3212backed K2754c367.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.6231761.2%194 W · 123 L+22.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+11.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed K2772c357.4$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.042,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Walczaki48c352.82$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.373,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3f17…7035backed K2763c350$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.545465.9%299 W · 155 L+20.8wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaaeb…9ec2backed Walczaki48c329.42$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.825257.7%30 W · 22 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd02a…4771backed Walczaki48c329.17$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15819245.8%88 W · 104 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed K2753c329$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15337949.3%187 W · 192 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2f4…cddbbacked K2765c319.64$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.8713371.4%95 W · 38 L+11.8wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+15.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf7da…43d9backed K2761c300$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11727156.1%152 W · 119 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Walczaki49c290.17$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.1891945.8%421 W · 498 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba23…cd7ebacked K2752c290$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.215455.2%85 W · 69 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86ca…bc47backed Walczaki45c288.82$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.976741.8%28 W · 39 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed K2754c287.04$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.0447447.5%225 W · 249 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Walczaki47c282.3$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.6848240%193 W · 289 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0862…dc29backed Walczaki22c260$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.2348635.4%172 W · 314 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed K2741c258$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.582,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6691…5a83backed Walczaki47c254.26$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.54841.7%20 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x906f…2877backed K2752c243.32$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.7264854.3%352 W · 296 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x186a…559dbacked Walczaki50c241.64$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.828960.7%54 W · 35 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Walczaki44c227.02$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.46,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e31…0e6ebacked K2773c226.9$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.944675.3%336 W · 110 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c98…186dbacked Walczaki49c225.91$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.135947.9%172 W · 187 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x304f…af95backed K2755c223.64$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.6423757%135 W · 102 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce7c…17cfbacked Walczaki49c217.86$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.753348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed K2773c216.06$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.134,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed K2749c215.19$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.181,62052.7%853 W · 767 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1c7…38e1backed Walczaki47c214.91$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.015547.3%26 W · 29 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+31%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc910…8bbcbacked Walczaki47c214.85$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.376744.8%30 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefa3…7585backed K2748c208.42$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.4277351.2%396 W · 377 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7de0…7429backed Walczaki48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010556.2%59 W · 46 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed K2753c207.55$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.5522253.2%118 W · 104 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43fd…021fbacked Walczaki49c204$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.962343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+42.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed K2751c196.2$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.742,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb87…a45dbacked K2753c195.19$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.5430450.7%154 W · 150 L-0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f46…9097backed Walczaki49c191.84$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9410249%50 W · 52 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd382…9835backed Walczaki49c189.98$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.091844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-27.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Walczaki26c184$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.125,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7add…7a7bbacked Walczaki46c176.03$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.976245.2%28 W · 34 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x86aa…0d32backed K2762c162.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.492360.9%14 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x050e…d92fbacked K2763c157.79$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.7922257.2%127 W · 95 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe601…84ecbacked Walczaki48c152.37$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.1448845.7%223 W · 265 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Walczaki19c150.15$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.732,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2ca8…7e67backed Walczaki47c149.99$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7112343.9%54 W · 69 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Walczaki32c147.06$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.564,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x860d…3c72backed Walczaki47c145$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.159549.5%47 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x969f…cbdcbacked Walczaki30c143.71$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7162738.8%243 W · 384 L-31.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked Walczaki48c141.98$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.1595642.6%407 W · 549 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a8b…6a9fbacked K2754c141.76$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.211275%9 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+27.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked K2774c136.63$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.525,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Walczaki32c130.15$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.212,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xb373…d97cbacked Walczaki49c127.15$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.0358745.5%267 W · 320 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4db1…528cbacked Walczaki47c124.26$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.457150.7%36 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ffb…f7f0backed Walczaki48c123.9$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.4730951.5%159 W · 150 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bfe…5c6cbacked K2764c120$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.6922954.6%125 W · 104 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x077f…b971backed Walczaki49c120$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.81428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-46.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed K2754c116.92$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.6234750.7%176 W · 171 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Walczaki46c111.11$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.1157641.1%237 W · 339 L-21.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked K2769c110.5$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.472,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked K2767c105.14$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.364,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked K2754c101.39$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.641,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Walczaki42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed K2752c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4836057.5%207 W · 153 L+13.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed K2753c99.99$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4765946.6%307 W · 352 L+12.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0241…fd36backed Walczaki46c99.99$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.9940155.1%221 W · 180 L+1.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d65…6a04backed Walczaki26c99.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268542.4%36 W · 49 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8359…5944backed Walczaki13c98$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7469732%223 W · 474 L-46.0wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-32.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc29c…1e43backed K2751c97.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.5223654.7%129 W · 107 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x20c4…f632backed K2752c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.156761.2%41 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8da3…7c12backed K2765c89$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.0752369.4%363 W · 160 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick71cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2b7…7619backed K2763c88.44$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.441442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.19per pick62cpaid-35.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe34c…ca55backed Walczaki46c77.39$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.728035%28 W · 52 L-13.4wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-38.8%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.