CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Walczaki - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x465fc9ef277d1a7e93f8cf8df00423241bf5d59404cef45156ac3b33c2f5b4f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- K27of K27, Walczaki
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,077
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,020
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,077 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked K27 | 45c | 5,244$2,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,904.56 | 345 | 59.1%204 W · 141 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…ed67backed Walczaki | 5c | 1,794$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.4 | 193 | 40.4%78 W · 115 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf424…9723backed Walczaki | 56c | 1,324$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.7 | 211 | 35.5%75 W · 136 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Walczaki | 45c | 1,243$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.55 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Walczaki | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Walczaki | 38c | 820.86$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.97 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedcc…41a1backed Walczaki | 49c | 807.38$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.66 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Walczaki | 54c | 507.42$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.46 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked K27 | 53c | 495.4$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.35 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Walczaki | 40c | 360$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 432 | 37.7%163 W · 269 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Walczaki | 53c | 301$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.53 | 489 | 43.6%213 W · 276 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Walczaki | 47c | 299.97$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.98 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1522…70febacked Walczaki | 22c | 264.5$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.55 | 366 | 45.6%167 W · 199 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Walczaki | 45c | 263.95$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.63 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Walczaki | 43c | 213.92$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.43 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf186…03a9backed Walczaki | 46c | 193.8$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Walczaki | 18c | 187.38$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.18 | 160 | 23.8%38 W · 122 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked K27 | 67c | 170.48$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.04 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked K27 | 66c | 169.69$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.49 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked K27 | 74c | 164.15$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.22 | 600 | 32.3%194 W · 406 L | -49.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked K27 | 59c | 164.03$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.69 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Walczaki | 30c | 149$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.99 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Walczaki | 40c | 137.07$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.61 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Walczaki | 59c | 136.18$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.76 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Walczaki | 52c | 129.61$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.99 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed Walczaki | 54c | 126.1$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 385 | 52.7%203 W · 182 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed Walczaki | 47c | 119.13$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed K27 | 53c | 118.87$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.87 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed K27 | 55c | 112.9$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.86 | 500 | 51.4%257 W · 243 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed K27 | 64c | 92.49$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Walczaki | 48c | 91.94$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.13 | 358 | 39.4%141 W · 217 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Walczaki | 52c | 82.09$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.64 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked K27 | 48c | 78.77$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.88 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Walczaki | 34c | 74.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6efa…a0a7backed K27 | 45c | 70$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.35 | 302 | 47%142 W · 160 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Walczaki | 24c | 61.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Walczaki | 49c | 60.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e46…8c1cbacked Walczaki | 52c | 60.46$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.44 | 236 | 54.7%129 W · 107 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a89…a4d6backed Walczaki | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 238 | 42.4%101 W · 137 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed K27 | 54c | 47.96$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.12 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f5c…2406backed K27 | 48c | 46.85$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x483f…3683backed K27 | 48c | 43.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.87 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac50…d728backed Walczaki | 49c | 41.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Walczaki | 46c | 41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed K27 | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 222 | 53.2%118 W · 104 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x018a…4800backed Walczaki | 74c | 40.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b22…377ebacked Walczaki | 65c | 40.46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.09 | 361 | 74.8%270 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2d…8a1dbacked K27 | 46c | 37.6$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.2wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +119.5%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed K27 | 54c | 36.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.94 | 347 | 50.7%176 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked K27 | 61c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.97 | 397 | 72.5%288 W · 109 L | +38.5wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Walczaki | 71c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Walczaki | 40c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed K27 | 50c | 26.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc620…7a70backed K27 | 46c | 26.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 155 | 40%62 W · 93 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed Walczaki | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71db…aba8backed Walczaki | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5920…2f2abacked Walczaki | 54c | 18.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs Walczaki - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs Walczaki (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series PlayoffsK27 won
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs Walczaki - Map 1 WinnerK27 won
- Map Handicap: WAL (-1.5) vs K27 (+1.5)K27 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.