CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Walczaki - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf952a3839f1cd58d5eea64a6fc1512e5dc739a89e92d967c555a500ea0c28efb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- K27of K27, Walczaki
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,328
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,551
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,328 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked K27 | 52c | 6,201$3,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,987.29 | 345 | 59.1%204 W · 141 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf424…9723backed Walczaki | 46c | 3,342$1,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,544.73 | 211 | 35.5%75 W · 136 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…ed67backed Walczaki | 8c | 2,860$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.59 | 193 | 40.4%78 W · 115 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed Walczaki | 24c | 1,267$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 132 | 23.5%31 W · 101 L | -10.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Walczaki | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Walczaki | 40c | 728.8$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.66 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Walczaki | 26c | 609$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.68 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Walczaki | 24c | 598.9$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.46 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked Walczaki | 42c | 525.9$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.88 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Walczaki | 40c | 481.73$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.69 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked K27 | 53c | 402.79$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.98 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb84…5fb5backed Walczaki | 45c | 310$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.5 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedcc…41a1backed K27 | 70c | 305.5$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.38 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Walczaki | 49c | 275.05$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.53 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Walczaki | 47c | 274.38$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.96 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86aa…0d32backed K27 | 80c | 250.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.86 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Walczaki | 14c | 205.78$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Walczaki | 40c | 199.39$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed K27 | 80c | 151.7$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.06 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Walczaki | 11c | 147.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 160 | 23.8%38 W · 122 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Walczaki | 42c | 140$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.75 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Walczaki | 42c | 128$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.76 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed K27 | 53c | 94.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 500 | 51.4%257 W · 243 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b22…377ebacked K27 | 79c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 361 | 74.8%270 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6efa…a0a7backed K27 | 53c | 65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.64 | 302 | 47%142 W · 160 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e46…8c1cbacked Walczaki | 52c | 60.47$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.45 | 236 | 54.7%129 W · 107 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Walczaki | 44c | 60.04$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.44 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked K27 | 75c | 56$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Walczaki | 42c | 53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed Walczaki | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked K27 | 53c | 49.4$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed K27 | 65c | 45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x018a…4800backed K27 | 50c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4270…6168backed Walczaki | 39c | 41.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed K27 | 53c | 37.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.43 | 347 | 50.7%176 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Walczaki | 42c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked Walczaki | 42c | 31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 341 | 47.5%162 W · 179 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Walczaki | 48c | 28.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked K27 | 70c | 28.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Walczaki | 43c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs Walczaki - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs Walczaki (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series PlayoffsK27 won
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs Walczaki - Map 2 WinnerK27 won
- Map Handicap: WAL (-1.5) vs K27 (+1.5)K27 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.