Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Roar Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28b7f1abe96ca3e4aa77c5a1626bc57c7c0d1a98658601813b7f9827baea63dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rune Eatersof Rune Eaters, Roar Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,483
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,683
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,483 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2837…39d8backed Rune Eaters | 70c | 2,515$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.35 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1198…3ba5backed Roar Gaming | 30c | 1,310$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Rune Eaters | 73c | 1,236$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.4 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Roar Gaming | 30c | 622.86$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.81 | 189 | 54%102 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7add…7a7bbacked Roar Gaming | 26c | 594.28$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.14 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Roar Gaming | 29c | 454.04$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.74 | 268 | 43.7%117 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Roar Gaming | 27c | 230.93$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.21 | 131 | 45%59 W · 72 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Roar Gaming | 9c | 229.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Roar Gaming | 29c | 191.48$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.53 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d87…3f74backed Roar Gaming | 27c | 177.07$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Roar Gaming | 30c | 176.21$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.36 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Rune Eaters | 73c | 112.89$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.28 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Roar Gaming | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3177…cb28backed Rune Eaters | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Roar Gaming | 12c | 95.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 107 | 28%30 W · 77 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Rune Eaters | 77c | 52.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Rune Eaters | 67c | 47.15$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Rune Eaters | 70c | 42.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.64 | 228 | 45.6%104 W · 124 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Rune Eaters | 73c | 29.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 122 | 63.9%78 W · 44 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Rune Eaters | 71c | 29.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…9d28backed Rune Eaters | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x093b…4e14backed Rune Eaters | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22ae…920bbacked Rune Eaters | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Roar Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group Athis page
- Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Roar Gaming - Game 1 WinnerRune Eaters won
- Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Roar Gaming - Game 2 WinnerRune Eaters won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.