CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: eternal premium vs Privateer Gaming (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Closed Qualifier: Series #1 Group C
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68d7c5fd9ba6334214dc723806b02029d7451e5a514f2e227450c3471c99a89b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- eternal premiumof eternal premium, Privateer Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,086
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,344
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,086 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7add…7a7bbacked eternal premium | 45c | 1,035$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.25 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked Privateer Gaming | 55c | 760.87$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.37 | 358 | 47.5%170 W · 188 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Privateer Gaming | 55c | 562.22$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.22 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed eternal premium | 75c | 529.74$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.98 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Privateer Gaming | 11c | 495$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.43 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee83…bc59backed eternal premium | 43c | 453.04$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.23 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.6wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…7691backed eternal premium | 43c | 339$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.23 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Privateer Gaming | 38c | 303.73$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.72 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed Privateer Gaming | 23c | 299.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.75 | 394 | 40.4%159 W · 235 L | +30.0wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5f…0689backed eternal premium | 45c | 280$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked eternal premium | 58c | 223.95$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.13 | 388 | 44.3%172 W · 216 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked eternal premium | 50c | 219.39$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.68 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed Privateer Gaming | 19c | 180$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Privateer Gaming | 42c | 167.11$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.61 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Privateer Gaming | 52c | 159$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.6 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24a…8382backed eternal premium | 64c | 146.33$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.28 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed eternal premium | 51c | 137.77$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.77 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Privateer Gaming | 17c | 134$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked eternal premium | 35c | 125$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.28 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed eternal premium | 61c | 121.15$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.25 | 694 | 45%312 W · 382 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked eternal premium | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.04 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked eternal premium | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.1 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed eternal premium | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed eternal premium | 54c | 96.45$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.76 | 457 | 48.1%220 W · 237 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Privateer Gaming | 41c | 86$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.42 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Privateer Gaming | 46c | 61.12$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Privateer Gaming | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed eternal premium | 44c | 45.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.29 | 312 | 41.3%129 W · 183 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Privateer Gaming | 30c | 42.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…e27cbacked eternal premium | 43c | 41.6$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.71 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…1a7bbacked Privateer Gaming | 35c | 37.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -7.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…2ab5backed eternal premium | 52c | 36.21$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 325 | 44.3%144 W · 181 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Privateer Gaming | 58c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked eternal premium | 71c | 28.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed Privateer Gaming | 36c | 27.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 235 | 26.4%62 W · 173 L | -15.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70a0…2dc3backed Privateer Gaming | 36c | 27.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 176 | 26.1%46 W · 130 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06ad…6b2fbacked Privateer Gaming | 45c | 24.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -9.5wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed eternal premium | 62c | 20.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: eternal premium vs Privateer Gaming (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Closed Qualifier: Series #1 Group Cthis page
- Counter-Strike: eternal premium vs Privateer Gaming - Map 2 Winnereternal premium won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.