CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs OlyBet SB (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #5 Group D
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x118ec6abd204d02c9a8196a7cd511f8fcdd4d1d9c55bcb79820034d40308afc7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-MANA eSportsof ex-MANA eSports, OlyBet SB
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,795
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,552
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,795 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7add…7a7bbacked OlyBet SB | 36c | 1,210$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.49 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed OlyBet SB | 27c | 912.81$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.46 | 392 | 45.9%180 W · 212 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30dc…f26ebacked OlyBet SB | 35c | 808.79$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.47 | 162 | 36.4%59 W · 103 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a70…0519backed OlyBet SB | 31c | 676.33$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.32 | 388 | 35.6%138 W · 250 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4994…3e36backed OlyBet SB | 36c | 547.73$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.71 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed ex-MANA eSports | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 375 | 57.3%215 W · 160 L | -16.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce3f…3543backed ex-MANA eSports | 65c | 495.01$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.81 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aca…c347backed OlyBet SB | 36c | 408.2$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.87 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -86.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3995…47edbacked ex-MANA eSports | 64c | 304.11$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.71 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cf…2224backed ex-MANA eSports | 72c | 276.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.86 | 225 | 67.1%151 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf48…36c2backed ex-MANA eSports | 60c | 265$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.98 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -6.3wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed ex-MANA eSports | 65c | 257.55$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.01 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed ex-MANA eSports | 65c | 242$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.21 | 256 | 34.4%88 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed ex-MANA eSports | 64c | 219.23$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.52 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd84d…cc32backed OlyBet SB | 37c | 199.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 330 | 48.8%161 W · 169 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd09f…521abacked ex-MANA eSports | 64c | 187.81$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.81 | 115 | 36.5%42 W · 73 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9417…bbd3backed ex-MANA eSports | 64c | 184.54$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.9 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked OlyBet SB | 24c | 179.3$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.64 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b17…d36dbacked ex-MANA eSports | 64c | 153.89$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.89 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -8.5wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…1523backed ex-MANA eSports | 64c | 117.39$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.39 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd7…7842backed OlyBet SB | 43c | 115.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked OlyBet SB | 28c | 111.88$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.85 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeac7…3eaabacked OlyBet SB | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed OlyBet SB | 39c | 92.47$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.71 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd85…1d60backed OlyBet SB | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 201 | 47.3%95 W · 106 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked OlyBet SB | 32c | 81.41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.41 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked ex-MANA eSports | 62c | 81.3$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.89 | 384 | 69.5%267 W · 117 L | +31.6wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde30…3159backed ex-MANA eSports | 71c | 78.6$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 242 | 60.3%146 W · 96 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked ex-MANA eSports | 62c | 75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.44 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb186…a946backed OlyBet SB | 42c | 72.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd83…d102backed ex-MANA eSports | 64c | 64.27$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.27 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…11b8backed ex-MANA eSports | 64c | 51.7$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7126…bfcbbacked OlyBet SB | 38c | 47.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked OlyBet SB | 38c | 45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 445 | 63.8%284 W · 161 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…1f52backed ex-MANA eSports | 64c | 39.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 280 | 52.9%148 W · 132 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked OlyBet SB | 37c | 37.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 238 | 35.3%84 W · 154 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed ex-MANA eSports | 70c | 28.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 413 | 72.2%298 W · 115 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3f…6816backed ex-MANA eSports | 64c | 27.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecf3…35aabacked ex-MANA eSports | 73c | 27.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a80…df6dbacked ex-MANA eSports | 75c | 26.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 108 | 67.6%73 W · 35 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed ex-MANA eSports | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9051…32d2backed ex-MANA eSports | 63c | 26.14$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 308 | 59.1%182 W · 126 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…9a01backed ex-MANA eSports | 60c | 19.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 287 | 61.3%176 W · 111 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs OlyBet SB (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #5 Group Dthis page
- Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs OlyBet SB - Map 2 WinnerOlyBet SB won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.