Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: UCAM (-1.5) vs FALKE Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf82ba10915f6bbcfb29508736501149b9fdf014542d1bc5f69bb5ab3a593f522
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UCAM Esports Clubof UCAM Esports Club, FALKE Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,266
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,768
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,266 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44fa…d852backed UCAM Esports Club | 74c | 55,384$41,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,166.99 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked FALKE Esports | 24c | 14,034$3,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,368.08 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3233…a4ddbacked FALKE Esports | 30c | 9,809$2,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,942.56 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec6…a2f1backed FALKE Esports | 24c | 4,104$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.94 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9f…787abacked UCAM Esports Club | 77c | 3,998$3,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.61 | 610 | 45.2%276 W · 334 L | +35.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed FALKE Esports | 23c | 3,684$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.97 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed FALKE Esports | 26c | 2,721$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.4 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed FALKE Esports | 24c | 2,567$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.38 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed FALKE Esports | 20c | 2,497$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.22 | 858 | 36.2%311 W · 547 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…172fbacked FALKE Esports | 24c | 1,957$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.74 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed FALKE Esports | 24c | 1,632$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.69 | 443 | 35.4%157 W · 286 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…fc98backed FALKE Esports | 26c | 1,615$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.41 | 88 | 35.2%31 W · 57 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa548…8149backed FALKE Esports | 30c | 1,533$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.05 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed FALKE Esports | 26c | 1,233$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.62 | 60 | 25%15 W · 45 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed FALKE Esports | 24c | 1,205$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.19 | 360 | 34.4%124 W · 236 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6c…d38ebacked FALKE Esports | 23c | 1,113$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.01 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9b…c323backed FALKE Esports | 26c | 1,103$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed FALKE Esports | 26c | 955.6$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.46 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed FALKE Esports | 26c | 634.94$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.41 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7add…7a7bbacked FALKE Esports | 26c | 625.79$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.69 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeba1…838bbacked FALKE Esports | 24c | 617.71$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.32 | 122 | 70.5%86 W · 36 L | +8.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6f…3be7backed FALKE Esports | 26c | 602.03$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.53 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72a6…cfefbacked FALKE Esports | 23c | 580.57$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.53 | 293 | 38.6%113 W · 180 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd507…a6ddbacked FALKE Esports | 24c | 511.56$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.77 | 300 | 35%105 W · 195 L | -21.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…0236backed FALKE Esports | 25c | 401.96$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.28 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed UCAM Esports Club | 75c | 399.17$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.8 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | +15.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed UCAM Esports Club | 78c | 390.37$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.76 | 549 | 44.4%244 W · 305 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e07…292bbacked FALKE Esports | 26c | 382.18$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…954ebacked FALKE Esports | 26c | 371.21$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.52 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed FALKE Esports | 26c | 367.85$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.56 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -6.8wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked FALKE Esports | 26c | 356.99$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.98 | 592 | 48.3%286 W · 306 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81ac…ae05backed FALKE Esports | 26c | 312.41$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.23 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed FALKE Esports | 26c | 311.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.03 | 525 | 38.9%204 W · 321 L | +18.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed FALKE Esports | 26c | 283$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.58 | 206 | 31.6%65 W · 141 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked UCAM Esports Club | 75c | 261.89$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.47 | 129 | 34.9%45 W · 84 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked FALKE Esports | 4c | 261.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked UCAM Esports Club | 70c | 210.95$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.29 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed UCAM Esports Club | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b70…1efebacked FALKE Esports | 24c | 190.88$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.81 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf00…d612backed FALKE Esports | 26c | 183.77$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x050c…b15fbacked FALKE Esports | 26c | 183.76$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.78 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3524backed FALKE Esports | 26c | 143.34$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.27 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa15f…ad19backed FALKE Esports | 25c | 133.59$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.43 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed FALKE Esports | 24c | 123.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c1…3e0bbacked FALKE Esports | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 636 | 46.9%298 W · 338 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7401…c482backed FALKE Esports | 26c | 88.21$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.93 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed UCAM Esports Club | 77c | 85$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 415 | 44.6%185 W · 230 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x860a…e0c2backed FALKE Esports | 24c | 75.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4238…3734backed FALKE Esports | 23c | 62.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed FALKE Esports | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a77…4fcfbacked UCAM Esports Club | 79c | 43.72$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21b8…47f4backed UCAM Esports Club | 78c | 30.22$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed UCAM Esports Club | 75c | 26.1$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 124 | 58.1%72 W · 52 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed UCAM Esports Club | 76c | 20.47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.82 | 207 | 64.7%134 W · 73 L | +24.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5170…b6b8backed UCAM Esports Club | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed UCAM Esports Club | 74c | 14.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.93 | 77 | 28.6%22 W · 55 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: UCAM (-1.5) vs FALKE Esports (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: FALKE Esports vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - LES Regular SeasonUCAM Esports Club won
- LoL: FALKE Esports vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 1 WinnerUCAM Esports Club won
- LoL: FALKE Esports vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 2 WinnerUCAM Esports Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.