TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: FALKE Esports vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
UCAM Esports Clubof FALKE Esports, UCAM Esports Club
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$12,245
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$13,181

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,245 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf257…ba86backed FALKE Esports18c2,641$475 inLost-$475.420%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8ca…cccbbacked FALKE Esports8c725.71$58 inLost-$58.065651.8%29 W · 27 L+6.8wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+24.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed FALKE Esports2c699.98$14 inLost-$141,5173.3%50 W · 1,467 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-74.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed FALKE Esports18c628$113 inLost-$113.0418829.8%56 W · 132 L-11.1wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0550…1c84backed FALKE Esports18c607.85$109 inLost-$109.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed FALKE Esports4c497.37$18 inLost-$18.313,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0341…a679backed FALKE Esports17c386.33$66 inLost-$65.8519042.1%80 W · 110 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6742…fdf7backed FALKE Esports18c375.04$68 inLost-$67.5130%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3bbe…03c5backed FALKE Esports18c309.46$55 inLost-$55.295046%23 W · 27 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+76%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed FALKE Esports9c268.53$24 inLost-$24.176142.6%26 W · 35 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ea2…370cbacked FALKE Esports9c208$19 inLost-$18.9147434.8%165 W · 309 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked FALKE Esports12c161.32$19 inLost-$19.361,36837.7%516 W · 852 L-6.8wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed FALKE Esports10c148.91$15 inLost-$15.351,53943.7%673 W · 866 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e86…2db2backed FALKE Esports13c112.37$14 inLost-$14.2124629.7%73 W · 173 L-18.3wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-20.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x24fb…93e3backed FALKE Esports17c97.9$17 inLost-$17.11933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-40.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b70…ab35backed FALKE Esports18c92.23$17 inLost-$16.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-47.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed FALKE Esports16c87.47$14 inLost-$142,22637.5%834 W · 1,392 L-29.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee05…d6ccbacked FALKE Esports18c75.81$14 inLost-$13.652839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.