CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs G2 Ares (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xffaf7a871238f17ffd03d076e3bc17653880c239265f6001785b5ce9404493d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Walczakiof Walczaki, G2 Ares
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,907
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,799
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,907 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3ee4…ed67backed G2 Ares | 21c | 2,711$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.78 | 193 | 40.4%78 W · 115 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed G2 Ares | 13c | 1,201$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.86 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked G2 Ares | 31c | 741.44$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.13 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed G2 Ares | 16c | 696.87$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.41 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed G2 Ares | 31c | 669.21$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.54 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Walczaki | 69c | 628.78$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.92 | 251 | 45.8%115 W · 136 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…88e6backed G2 Ares | 18c | 543.72$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 120 | 27.5%33 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed G2 Ares | 28c | 400.07$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.02 | 482 | 40%193 W · 289 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Walczaki | 75c | 376$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.6 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf01f…e8fbbacked G2 Ares | 10c | 350$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Walczaki | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed G2 Ares | 8c | 266.23$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked G2 Ares | 11c | 249.54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…13dabacked Walczaki | 67c | 239.67$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.78 | 97 | 32%31 W · 66 L | -11.7wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Walczaki | 75c | 226$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.74 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc9…29a8backed G2 Ares | 9c | 225$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Walczaki | 68c | 208.13$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.47 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Walczaki | 68c | 206.1$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.1 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc564…e89dbacked Walczaki | 75c | 200$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 209 | 44.5%93 W · 116 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed G2 Ares | 32c | 194.51$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.24 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked G2 Ares | 14c | 183.79$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.38 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Walczaki | 69c | 175$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.86 | 284 | 55.6%158 W · 126 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x597d…b97dbacked G2 Ares | 11c | 172.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed G2 Ares | 32c | 162.24$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.42 | 500 | 51.4%257 W · 243 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed5a…656cbacked Walczaki | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed G2 Ares | 10c | 137.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Walczaki | 71c | 137.17$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.61 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd382…9835backed Walczaki | 70c | 126.44$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.93 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked G2 Ares | 18c | 124.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed G2 Ares | 18c | 111$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed1c…36fabacked G2 Ares | 19c | 106.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4704…515ebacked G2 Ares | 17c | 105.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 371 | 40.7%151 W · 220 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…f4a0backed G2 Ares | 30c | 100.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 838 | 56.1%470 W · 368 L | +31.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed G2 Ares | 31c | 98.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed G2 Ares | 34c | 97.24$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.06 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa2…6df9backed Walczaki | 67c | 96.27$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.77 | 162 | 45.7%74 W · 88 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9445…d90cbacked G2 Ares | 19c | 92.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Walczaki | 77c | 89$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.09 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e35…3655backed G2 Ares | 28c | 85.71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Walczaki | 72c | 83.06$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.89 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked G2 Ares | 19c | 82.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked Walczaki | 74c | 82.32$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 587 | 45.5%267 W · 320 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked G2 Ares | 13c | 80.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked G2 Ares | 26c | 80$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked G2 Ares | 25c | 74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Walczaki | 72c | 72.57$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.32 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc29c…1e43backed G2 Ares | 35c | 72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 236 | 54.7%129 W · 107 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89db…9d5dbacked G2 Ares | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa02…8b07backed Walczaki | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 497 | 66.8%332 W · 165 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20c4…f632backed Walczaki | 74c | 67.84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.84 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed G2 Ares | 32c | 58.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 347 | 50.7%176 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed G2 Ares | 32c | 58.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e8…7953backed Walczaki | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 404 | 49.8%201 W · 203 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd37…9d71backed Walczaki | 67c | 57$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0acb…05c2backed Walczaki | 70c | 55.17$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +33%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked G2 Ares | 27c | 52.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 545 | 43.5%237 W · 308 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed G2 Ares | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Walczaki | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 264 | 48.1%127 W · 137 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f53…d5abbacked G2 Ares | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 326 | 49.7%162 W · 164 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed G2 Ares | 22c | 48.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9444…048ebacked G2 Ares | 33c | 47.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d1…1ec3backed G2 Ares | 33c | 47.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Walczaki | 69c | 46.49$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.22 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…fbfabacked Walczaki | 71c | 42.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2212backed Walczaki | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…3075backed Walczaki | 74c | 22.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4567…0fd6backed Walczaki | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdd…0ecdbacked Walczaki | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 329 | 56.8%187 W · 142 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe26b…a9ecbacked Walczaki | 70c | 20.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Walczaki | 68c | 19.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 208 | 56.3%117 W · 91 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed Walczaki | 66c | 17.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Walczaki | 73c | 14.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Walczaki | 75c | 13.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.47 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs G2 Ares (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs G2 Ares - Map 1 WinnerWalczaki won
- Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs G2 Ares - Map 2 WinnerWalczaki won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: WAL (-1.5) vs G2 Ares (+1.5)Walczaki won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.