CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs G2 Ares - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a94337b786ff7e7968f43b47d89fd7bc76b91d674eb302774cc8d8c26e649f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Walczakiof Walczaki, G2 Ares
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,092
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,290
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,092 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7460…de6ebacked Walczaki | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.99 | 439 | 51.7%227 W · 212 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked G2 Ares | 34c | 1,052$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.6 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed G2 Ares | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Walczaki | 64c | 911.61$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.98 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed G2 Ares | 18c | 841.15$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.03 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Walczaki | 76c | 649.15$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.56 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Walczaki | 62c | 516.44$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.25 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d54…4d13backed G2 Ares | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked G2 Ares | 35c | 463.86$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.99 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe075…bf89backed G2 Ares | 47c | 419.15$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed G2 Ares | 47c | 391.64$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.07 | 312 | 41.3%129 W · 183 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked G2 Ares | 4c | 391$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ade…fb15backed G2 Ares | 47c | 356.31$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.87 | 197 | 48.7%96 W · 101 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…2748backed Walczaki | 65c | 330.71$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.94 | 161 | 55.9%90 W · 71 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Walczaki | 67c | 327.2$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.86 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Walczaki | 64c | 326.77$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.58 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Walczaki | 63c | 322.75$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.8 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…bb53backed G2 Ares | 36c | 308.88$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.53 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +139.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e99…0a26backed G2 Ares | 47c | 290$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.3 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed G2 Ares | 19c | 281.83$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.55 | 557 | 38.4%214 W · 343 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Walczaki | 69c | 204$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.84 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked G2 Ares | 47c | 202.13$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 545 | 43.5%237 W · 308 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc564…e89dbacked Walczaki | 68c | 199.98$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.99 | 209 | 44.5%93 W · 116 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed G2 Ares | 47c | 187.23$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed G2 Ares | 47c | 185.11$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed G2 Ares | 18c | 177.75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.63 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked G2 Ares | 11c | 152.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed G2 Ares | 47c | 146.44$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.83 | 406 | 39.4%160 W · 246 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed G2 Ares | 20c | 139.36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.18 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xabb5…ea33backed Walczaki | 67c | 138.36$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.66 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Walczaki | 68c | 135$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.93 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Walczaki | 68c | 126$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.07 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked G2 Ares | 32c | 111.8$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.94 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Walczaki | 76c | 102.22$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked G2 Ares | 37c | 94.12$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.13 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked G2 Ares | 21c | 92.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed G2 Ares | 40c | 76$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked G2 Ares | 55c | 65$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed G2 Ares | 42c | 59.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 317 | 31.9%101 W · 216 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e35…3655backed Walczaki | 66c | 53.76$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.28 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked G2 Ares | 37c | 50.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 421 | 49.6%209 W · 212 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x804c…548fbacked G2 Ares | 35c | 48.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Walczaki | 64c | 46$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x488a…cb68backed G2 Ares | 29c | 45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Walczaki | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5603…1683backed G2 Ares | 46c | 41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6c…5e36backed G2 Ares | 36c | 39.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 239 | 56.5%135 W · 104 L | +15.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e20…a1aabacked Walczaki | 80c | 37.68$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Walczaki | 61c | 36.54$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Walczaki | 71c | 36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd84d…cc32backed Walczaki | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 330 | 48.8%161 W · 169 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7160…cce2backed Walczaki | 66c | 29.11$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6efa…a0a7backed Walczaki | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 302 | 47%142 W · 160 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4270…6168backed Walczaki | 70c | 21.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.39 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Walczaki | 62c | 17.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 217 | 55.8%121 W · 96 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs G2 Ares - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs G2 Ares (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 PlayoffsWalczaki won
- Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs G2 Ares - Map 1 WinnerWalczaki won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: WAL (-1.5) vs G2 Ares (+1.5)Walczaki won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.