Premier League · resolved market
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-01-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72f8c5038a64ca156fa9c96391fcd2aebd6cdad595e41bc208a439a06c2e27e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,193
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,211
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,193 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes | 39c | 4,052$1,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,483.36 | 321 | 58.9%189 W · 132 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 61c | 2,955$1,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,805.65 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 69c | 1,937$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.67 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 30c | 1,440$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.6 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 63c | 717$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.28 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 37c | 545.53$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.68 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed No | 64c | 499.99$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -6.5wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked No | 32c | 498.44$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed09…de44backed Yes | 37c | 380$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ff…150dbacked No | 63c | 375$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 58c | 320$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked No | 62c | 300$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf339…e010backed Yes | 36c | 288.05$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.1 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b90…f4f2backed No | 65c | 276.92$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 37c | 270$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.1 | 253 | 39.1%99 W · 154 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 63c | 239$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.76 | 561 | 58.6%329 W · 232 L | +29.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 35c | 230.92$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.1 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked No | 63c | 195.67$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.89 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead7…49bfbacked Yes | 38c | 170.84$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +166.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 63c | 152.48$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.48 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf713…a97bbacked Yes | 36c | 149.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 63c | 118$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.94 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc792…28bbbacked No | 64c | 107.06$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes | 71c | 105.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.32 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 36c | 98.44$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.91 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0910…b74bbacked Yes | 38c | 71.05$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.05 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9efa…f602backed No | 64c | 67.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad01…0400backed Yes | 47c | 62.94$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.22 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.25per pick | 45cpaid | +93.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce86…f868backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 62c | 48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e2…806fbacked Yes | 75c | 46.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe833…da80backed No | 64c | 44.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Yes | 30c | 44.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.83 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 38c | 39.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.61 | 327 | 37.6%123 W · 204 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a3…7838backed Yes | 38c | 37.68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.36 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb49…0c0abacked Yes | 37c | 37.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.47 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +117.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa8…4f9bbacked No | 63c | 37.26$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4f…00cebacked No | 64c | 36.65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa845…6148backed Yes | 36c | 36.65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b40…86babacked No | 63c | 35.69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02d1…1420backed Yes | 37c | 33.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +154.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c4…14bdbacked Yes | 37c | 33.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +106.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21e6…a926backed Yes | 37c | 32.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1515…c343backed Yes | 38c | 31.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9482…4192backed Yes | 37c | 30.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +129.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb7…f756backed Yes | 37c | 29.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +154.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd6…d772backed Yes | 37c | 28.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc20a…981cbacked No | 63c | 28.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x652f…8172backed No | 63c | 28.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90b3…75d4backed Yes | 37c | 28.36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.87 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07e0…76c6backed No | 64c | 25.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb9…fd64backed No | 63c | 25.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c1c…7a91backed No | 63c | 25.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aea…abf1backed No | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce0…65b9backed No | 63c | 22.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13db…c719backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d8…5646backed No | 63c | 18.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0a…8ca5backed No | 63c | 18.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7513…d71abacked No | 63c | 16.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-01-18?this page
- Will West Ham vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?No won
- Will West Ham win on 2025-01-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.