TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will West Ham win on 2025-01-18?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$22,759
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$22,981

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,759 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb8c4…7385backed Yes36c7,000$2,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,52032037.2%119 W · 201 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked No63c5,614$3,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,05040254.7%220 W · 182 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No64c2,250$1,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.390751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No64c1,107$709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.0683459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Yes33c945$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.474555.6%25 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes35c787.68$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.6941437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4406…4b19backed No64c696.88$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.881258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.21per pick37cpaid+36.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa7dc…9908backed Yes36c555.56$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008937.1%33 W · 56 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-19.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc6c9…bb9ebacked No64c499.99$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.23360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7bbf…2760backed Yes3c499.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157241.7%30 W · 42 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No64c469.31$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.3456158.6%329 W · 232 L+29.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6cff…c3dabacked Yes3c359.97$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.077839.7%31 W · 47 L+15.6wins+0.20per pick20cpaid+437.8%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed No69c354.65$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.637841.8%158 W · 220 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x686e…af8cbacked Yes30c337.17$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008825%22 W · 66 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No65c300$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10529653%157 W · 139 L-23.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No64c285.6$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.9460557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d4f…c049backed Yes36c280.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2453…28e2backed Yes37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025637.9%97 W · 159 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5eae…f263backed Yes38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009037.8%34 W · 56 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed No65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7042755%235 W · 192 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes20c199.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4032822.3%73 W · 255 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No64c193.99$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.8559958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x56cb…5c1bbacked Yes38c184.21$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.18per pick39cpaid+52.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x33fe…0cccbacked Yes36c180.56$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6530%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ecb…070fbacked Yes37c144.78$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.181921.1%4 W · 15 L-3.3wins-0.17per pick38cpaid-65.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc224…cd43backed Yes36c144.36$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.974831.3%15 W · 33 L-6.4wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-27.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes35c141.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5024630.5%75 W · 171 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2798…3d88backed Yes36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509436.2%34 W · 60 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfeb3…a376backed Yes36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-44%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9544…f3fbbacked Yes38c132.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35d8…13e0backed Yes38c123.55$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.95475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+81.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Yes35c117.45$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.1217837.6%67 W · 111 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked No62c115$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.8440135.2%141 W · 260 L-0.7wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6218…36e8backed Yes36c109.61$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed No66c105.6$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4537652.4%197 W · 179 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No72c104.1$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.0538645.3%175 W · 211 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a0b…f974backed Yes36c70.71$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.251560%9 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked No65c69.23$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.2315636.5%57 W · 99 L-11.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc84e…4b65backed No63c66.48$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f9…004dbacked Yes38c65.79$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256051.7%31 W · 29 L+7.1wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+27.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5f44…6b77backed Yes37c64.05$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.462441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bac…bb1bbacked No60c63.11$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.23250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf634…3c9ebacked Yes33c60.6$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202045%9 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick35cpaid-4.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc94b…fd9bbacked Yes34c58.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203534.3%12 W · 23 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+22.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32f6…9538backed Yes35c58.28$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.525532.7%18 W · 37 L-5.8wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf22a…1697backed No64c58.07$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.664645.7%21 W · 25 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb82…4bf9backed Yes36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8b0…008bbacked Yes36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f58…2b48backed Yes37c54.03$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.991241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-32.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x60aa…39f4backed Yes38c52.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.78250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x039f…e417backed Yes39c51.54$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd92…9e72backed Yes36c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182931%9 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc54c…7ceabacked Yes45c44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202138.1%8 W · 13 L-3.9wins-0.18per pick57cpaid-46%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb511…670ebacked No61c40.33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.732100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+98.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9016…2858backed No62c39.61$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b77…438bbacked Yes40c39.16$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.67333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-55%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbad5…386bbacked No61c39.02$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.22580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+29.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7032…aac9backed Yes38c38.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6120%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x206c…44e3backed Yes38c38.34$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x652f…8172backed No63c37.92$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.03450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21be…8c3bbacked Yes37c37.92$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc147…6976backed No64c37.42$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.472100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+78.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x481f…f5a3backed No62c37.36$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3da…0088backed Yes35c37.29$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.054628.3%13 W · 33 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c46…a843backed Yes38c36.95$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc8f…9070backed Yes39c36.85$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf202…4c1fbacked No62c36.79$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.98250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26a1…eeafbacked Yes38c36.79$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.98425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb666…3777backed No60c36.56$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.62366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb49…0c0abacked No62c36.46$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.853100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+117.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4b0a…c4c4backed Yes39c36.24$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.13250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06ad…e02cbacked No61c36.24$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.132100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+103.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3389…423fbacked Yes38c34.4$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.08333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c1f…a928backed No62c34.4$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.08366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick67cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fea…51f6backed Yes38c34.2$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf105…77c1backed No62c34.2$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf416…41b3backed No64c33.45$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.04450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b50…f9f9backed Yes38c33.34$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6263…35dabacked No61c33.2$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf58f…bd27backed No63c33.2$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.282100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+111%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26a5…abf8backed Yes39c33.2$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ada…e12cbacked Yes37c33.2$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2830%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb34b…23ddbacked No61c33.14$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.923100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x37d3…fe87backed Yes39c33.14$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.92250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0580…2690backed No63c33.13$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.26366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+30.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x41b0…328cbacked Yes37c33.13$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.26333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe35b…1894backed No62c33.11$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f85…897ebacked Yes38c33.11$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x77b4…3751backed No62c32.94$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.522100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+80.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1805…2adebacked Yes38c32.94$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e5d…4af9backed Yes39c32.9$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x78fe…10b5backed No62c32.59$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.38250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52ab…13cebacked No62c32.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.363100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x603c…b0fbbacked No63c32.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.012100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+122.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbda4…74dabacked No64c32.42$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.672100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbfd…923dbacked No62c32.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x89f3…7647backed No64c32.38$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.65450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5627…fad8backed Yes39c31.77$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2745…8b4fbacked Yes39c31.49$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3e9…b3eebacked Yes38c31.47$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.