Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester United win on 2025-01-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e1255b094640fcf4d058506c42c31e3d6f33e9de619b6fa8d7856aad11b3065
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,787
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,210
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,787 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 254 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 43c | 11,651$4,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,977.99 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 56c | 6,054$3,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,668.48 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfda…bedebacked No | 56c | 4,000$2,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,759.11 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe324…9189backed Yes | 45c | 3,110$1,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,398 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2e…26dfbacked Yes | 4c | 2,739$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 74c | 2,515$1,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.32 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee72…891cbacked No | 55c | 2,255$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 58c | 2,183$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.02 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes | 1c | 2,010$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 177 | 45.8%81 W · 96 L | +11.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed No | 56c | 1,949$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.95 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 56c | 1,593$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.54 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 65c | 1,471$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.96 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed No | 60c | 1,343$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.17 | 153 | 47.7%73 W · 80 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 57c | 1,305$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.6 | 213 | 53.1%113 W · 100 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30b9…9b83backed No | 56c | 1,278$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.53 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 41c | 1,197$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.17 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Yes | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 57c | 1,122$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.13 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf8…9a4fbacked Yes | 33c | 1,075$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Yes | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…ef20backed Yes | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb67…dbdebacked No | 55c | 999.93$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.97 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed No | 69c | 895$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.9 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +8.6wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +89.6%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed No | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…9702backed Yes | 24c | 866.05$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.31 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dc…9908backed No | 57c | 784.79$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.6 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1676…bcf9backed Yes | 43c | 774.7$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf713…a97bbacked Yes | 45c | 733.99$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.3 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1218…366bbacked Yes | 46c | 600$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 56c | 581.54$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.16 | 561 | 58.6%329 W · 232 L | +29.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 72c | 564.12$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.29 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 77c | 524.92$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.92 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Yes | 42c | 476.04$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.94 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 20c | 466.91$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x559e…7fe2backed Yes | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e98…c064backed Yes | 46c | 412.87$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8815…e147backed Yes | 45c | 412.01$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.4 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x834e…8015backed Yes | 30c | 403$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.64 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +6.4wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +102.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 35c | 400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed No | 78c | 395.75$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.06 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 75c | 360.23$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.21 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0c…6565backed Yes | 20c | 347.8$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes | 45c | 332.22$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.5 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 56c | 330.77$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.28 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.57 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 42c | 300$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 26c | 273.95$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.18 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Yes | 41c | 267.6$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.72 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes | 42c | 250$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 156 | 36.5%57 W · 99 L | -11.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7f…d498backed Yes | 42c | 248.65$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.43 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e09…fd64backed Yes | 27c | 240.07$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.88 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed Yes | 30c | 233.34$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.97 | 103 | 41.7%43 W · 60 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ac…00a0backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked No | 59c | 219.49$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.99 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7f…8995backed Yes | 46c | 216.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked No | 63c | 215.31$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.01 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…2486backed No | 69c | 212.5$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.75 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…f555backed No | 57c | 210$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.3 | 182 | 60.4%110 W · 72 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…35b1backed Yes | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf44d…68acbacked No | 53c | 199.99$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.99 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b1…34dabacked Yes | 42c | 181.57$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.26 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x577b…8b76backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6834…2bd2backed No | 61c | 177.48$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.71 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea0…d265backed Yes | 42c | 175.65$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71e9…1248backed Yes | 12c | 164.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe227…55d8backed No | 56c | 143.54$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.54 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf01d…4864backed Yes | 42c | 142.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -21%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf675…d31abacked Yes | 45c | 142.16$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…5460backed Yes | 15c | 130$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 67 | 29.9%20 W · 47 L | -7.8wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec89…3286backed Yes | 46c | 119.57$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c8…0656backed Yes | 45c | 119.51$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbf…de7bbacked Yes | 10c | 118.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb92e…7ca7backed No | 55c | 117.89$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd83b…8345backed Yes | 43c | 116.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4890…0968backed Yes | 46c | 109.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x722c…515fbacked Yes | 42c | 108.81$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.7 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9a…f397backed Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97ea…bbd4backed Yes | 47c | 108.38$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c16…31eabacked Yes | 42c | 106.41$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.69 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 43c | 105$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.86 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a2…ed63backed Yes | 47c | 104$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.72 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06be…8a46backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -6.4wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -42%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb606…80f6backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f1…f229backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca6…3487backed Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bff…e03abacked No | 55c | 99.98$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbda8…4058backed No | 55c | 98.64$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef7…b0debacked No | 56c | 98.21$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.21 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f4…752abacked No | 56c | 96.32$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65dc…0b11backed Yes | 36c | 92.74$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.62 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x433c…35bfbacked No | 56c | 88.54$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb165…c809backed No | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked No | 56c | 82.05$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 126 | 50%63 W · 63 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc3…fce2backed Yes | 22c | 81.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +8.1wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2a06…d20ebacked Yes | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -9.4wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 209 | 58.9%123 W · 86 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester United win on 2025-01-19?this page
- Will Brighton win on 2025-01-19?Yes won
- Will Manchester United vs. Brighton end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.