TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Flames vs. Blues

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bluesof Flames, Blues
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$30,343
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$33,160

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,343 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4673…d99bbacked Flames39c3,200$1,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,247.9131849.4%157 W · 161 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Flames35c3,015$1,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,052.71,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed Blues65c3,000$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,05014949.7%74 W · 75 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid-0.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x15c9…e725backed Flames17c2,176$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.165322.6%12 W · 41 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-36.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Blues61c1,971$1,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.7272847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcefa…bef8backed Blues76c1,396$1,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.966953.6%37 W · 32 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Flames29c1,380$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.0731334.8%109 W · 204 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Blues59c1,161$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.111,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Flames1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Blues61c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39085148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb13d…f35ebacked Flames39c700$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+132%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Blues50c554.97$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.4992848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Blues60c531.06$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.2735545.4%161 W · 194 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Flames41c500$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2051,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Flames40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20024945.8%114 W · 135 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Blues61c474$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.8675155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Blues62c455.62$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.513,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Flames4c409.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.97450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Flames34c349.95$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.981,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf689…8b15backed Flames39c301.61$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.611258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bd4…8643backed Blues74c222.13$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.1318259.9%109 W · 73 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x62a8…97d0backed Blues61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$786654.5%36 W · 30 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Flames39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7850049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c91…8aefbacked Flames41c146.34$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd0a…a86cbacked Blues61c145.49$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Blues61c112.78$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.1341851.4%215 W · 203 L+14.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x927f…e7e7backed Flames39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3910124.8%25 W · 76 L-11.2wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-35.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Flames18c99.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1491334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Flames39c99.98$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9981846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Blues61c98$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2279251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Blues61c86.68$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0847249.2%232 W · 240 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Flames42c80.91$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3462944%277 W · 352 L-14.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cad…4a69backed Flames24c70$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf734…c613backed Flames28c67$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.763729.7%11 W · 26 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-29.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf22a…1697backed Flames39c51.53$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.229251.1%47 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2f…9645backed Flames41c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb72b…2f6cbacked Flames38c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193336.4%12 W · 21 L-5.5wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-34.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Blues61c49$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1158346.5%271 W · 312 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd44…e2d6backed Flames42c40.94$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ed…90b7backed Blues58c40.94$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ce6…5291backed Flames42c40.88$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.17450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbee9…112dbacked Blues58c40.88$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.17250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18c7…bd47backed Blues58c40.64$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.07333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-42.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe900…ebb3backed Flames41c40.42$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.57425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-46.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a26…3865backed Blues59c40.42$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.57837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-39.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x025c…750abacked Flames40c39.95$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.98425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-59.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa58…5a8bbacked Blues60c39.95$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.98475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+48.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Flames40c39.79$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9272444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x495d…ec79backed Flames40c39.29$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.72540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b7e…16fdbacked Blues60c39.29$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.722100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x00bb…05a5backed Flames42c37.48$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.74475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+21.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3389…423fbacked Blues58c37.48$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.74520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-65.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xecc9…b71fbacked Blues60c36.99$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+21.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc796…bec2backed Flames40c36.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fab…c9bdbacked Blues58c36.99$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49ae…2b66backed Flames40c36.95$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.78250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc1d…9e8cbacked Flames41c36.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+48.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd529…7266backed Flames40c36.28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.51616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.41per pick57cpaid-77.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x98ca…a638backed Flames40c34.8$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9230%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb287…2650backed Blues60c34.8$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b0a…c4c4backed Blues58c34.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.51366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8195…ee51backed Flames42c34.55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.51520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick56cpaid-70.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e5c…ae0bbacked Blues58c34.12$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.33250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2f2…0b2dbacked Blues60c33.34$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.344050%20 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca66…fae8backed Blues61c33.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.971241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-32.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe24…3e99backed Flames42c33.13$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.92475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+51.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cba…b81ebacked Blues60c32.8$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.122100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+130.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa29c…9753backed Flames40c32.71$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.09250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6aef…323fbacked Blues60c32.58$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.03520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.38per pick58cpaid-66.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9ee4…c5dbbacked Flames41c32.54$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3450%0 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc06c…2f6ebacked Flames40c32.42$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.97366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x64d3…3476backed Blues58c31.48$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.22366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe524…f100backed Blues60c31.15$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.46560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf71c…e9eebacked Blues58c30.58$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.84250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb071…a76ebacked Blues61c30.38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.85944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2474…4957backed Blues61c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.76168.9%42 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01bd…bb9cbacked Blues60c29.38$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77f2…e6f1backed Blues59c28.26$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.59742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20c7…435bbacked Flames41c28.26$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.59850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18e4…4e50backed Blues58c28.18$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.83450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e61…a21fbacked Flames42c28.18$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.83666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+39.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1f2…ea49backed Flames41c28$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.48333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ff3…67b0backed Blues60c28$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2762…7e07backed Flames41c28$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.35475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+66.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8dd9…d9a7backed Blues60c28$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+56.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0a3…9605backed Flames41c27.94$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.46425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-59%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b6b…367cbacked Flames42c27.89$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7120%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6dd…a8a2backed Blues58c27.89$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.712100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+108.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf017…abc5backed Flames40c27.81$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1240%0 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5a70…baa3backed Flames40c27.54$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.02425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-56.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b3c…2707backed Blues60c27.04$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01e0…90a8backed Flames40c26.04$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.42616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.31per pick47cpaid-70.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1039…f860backed Flames41c25.76$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.56850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ca…cf61backed Flames42c25.39$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.66333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8af…6437backed Flames42c24.03$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cd6…5a68backed Blues60c22.68$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.08944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe359…116cbacked Blues58c22.49$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.44475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+27.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc02…ec0cbacked Blues61c21.87$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.533100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+83.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6cd8…04d7backed Blues58c21.52$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.04475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+34.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf250…6eacbacked Blues58c21.16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.89366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.