TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pelicans vs. Celtics

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Celticsof Pelicans, Celtics
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$271,884
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$311,519

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $271,884 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0269…cb2dbacked Pelicans23c8,206$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,899.9165642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Pelicans11c7,550$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$830.491,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Pelicans15c6,117$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$924.763,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Pelicans10c5,990$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.0840627.8%113 W · 293 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Celtics76c5,133$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,233.1129858.7%175 W · 123 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Pelicans8c5,022$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.3461532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Pelicans11c5,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.961,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa7e…a8a7backed Pelicans12c4,914$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Pelicans9c4,763$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.6472341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1638…339bbacked Pelicans10c4,307$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.689952.5%52 W · 47 L+9.6wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+28.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4851…16dbbacked Pelicans4c4,103$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.083528.6%10 W · 25 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-50.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3fb8…e817backed Pelicans27c4,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0801533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-32.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Pelicans16c3,849$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.811,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Pelicans13c3,793$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.131,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Pelicans14c3,694$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.2525651.6%132 W · 124 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28c1…a4ccbacked Celtics79c3,600$2,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746.675561.8%34 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Celtics69c3,242$2,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$988.981,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x85de…87e5backed Celtics74c3,076$2,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804.22860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8258…f208backed Pelicans14c3,063$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.827032.9%23 W · 47 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1484…cafebacked Pelicans13c2,939$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.0729738.7%115 W · 182 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x90f6…b703backed Pelicans4c2,844$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128616.6%4 W · 57 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-80.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54f5…e936backed Pelicans16c2,784$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.2315947.8%76 W · 83 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4cd…0516backed Pelicans11c2,210$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.5839843.5%173 W · 225 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Pelicans10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20036843.8%161 W · 207 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Pelicans29c1,724$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50025939%101 W · 158 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5303…d66ebacked Pelicans6c1,600$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008921.3%19 W · 70 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Pelicans9c1,560$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.496447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Pelicans17c1,243$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20965218.4%120 W · 532 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa33…8dbcbacked Pelicans38c1,224$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.5129450.3%148 W · 146 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Pelicans8c1,165$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.4229043.8%127 W · 163 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe1a…2c0ebacked Pelicans10c1,110$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1111450%7 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+69.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5bf…7851backed Pelicans10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-30.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf6f6…e0a1backed Pelicans14c1,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-46.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf65e…a55abacked Pelicans18c959.56$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.724344.2%19 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8eb9…20c1backed Pelicans10c850$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96fb…b2a3backed Pelicans9c750$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.51457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Celtics78c699.98$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15344337.9%168 W · 275 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6410…1ff4backed Celtics73c690.98$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.0511164%71 W · 40 L+13.0wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc935…4c02backed Pelicans9c645.18$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.071030%3 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-36.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x026a…2f8abacked Pelicans11c637.22$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.094126.8%11 W · 30 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick24cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc203…74f3backed Pelicans18c635.44$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.8625957.5%149 W · 110 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8a6…eb5ebacked Pelicans16c619.04$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10090%0 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba68…ce61backed Pelicans25c600$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.99330.1%28 W · 65 L-15.2wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-39.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x7e95…89d2backed Pelicans11c599.48$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.94944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick38cpaid-18.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…f35ebacked Celtics80c588$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.681668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+24.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Pelicans20c584.62$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.011,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Pelicans11c538$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.1877745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd6c…42b2backed Pelicans15c521.46$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.229154.9%50 W · 41 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8adc…7a1bbacked Pelicans10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016928.4%48 W · 121 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2942…59abbacked Pelicans13c500$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6418044.4%80 W · 100 L+15.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+36.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd24e…9441backed Pelicans10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011441.2%47 W · 67 L-8.2wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x23b1…8e10backed Celtics72c500$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1408937.1%33 W · 56 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb90d…7db5backed Pelicans36c490.46$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.5730954%167 W · 142 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b6a…3eedbacked Pelicans15c488.64$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.327735.4%98 W · 179 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b68…795bbacked Pelicans17c449.68$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7511130.6%34 W · 77 L+7.0wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+23.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdacd…cfb2backed Pelicans6c445.05$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286224.2%15 W · 47 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-30%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d7a…15b5backed Pelicans10c444$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.427631.2%86 W · 190 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ea7…f625backed Pelicans18c430.72$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.538232.9%27 W · 55 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x08a8…adcebacked Pelicans10c400$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3916341.1%67 W · 96 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf9b…fe0fbacked Pelicans9c400$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3613611.8%16 W · 120 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick9cpaid+41.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1772…bb32backed Pelicans13c379.54$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.3411428.9%33 W · 81 L+0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Pelicans35c378.89$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.1366744.5%297 W · 370 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Pelicans10c333$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.32,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe880…de2dbacked Celtics80c312$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.416553.9%89 W · 76 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Pelicans11c300$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7188053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb701…7cf6backed Pelicans14c300$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4330331.4%95 W · 208 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Pelicans20c247.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71e9…1248backed Pelicans17c236.39$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407622.4%17 W · 59 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb586…7f97backed Pelicans10c220$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223743.2%16 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba03…f17abacked Pelicans14c210.58$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-29.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04ed…00f0backed Pelicans12c208.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257839.7%31 W · 47 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b35…a749backed Pelicans12c205.71$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2536423.4%85 W · 279 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x33cc…a0b6backed Celtics80c205$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4118437.5%69 W · 115 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Celtics80c200$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Pelicans10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206030%18 W · 42 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4007…bb49backed Pelicans11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2220%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf92…e512backed Celtics80c200$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4019746.2%91 W · 106 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a06…d20ebacked Pelicans13c195.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2513759.1%81 W · 56 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde88…46d0backed Pelicans20c180$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361650%8 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x338b…97b3backed Pelicans24c175$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4221338%81 W · 132 L-12.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcefa…bef8backed Pelicans23c174.35$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406947.8%33 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc633…b4e7backed Pelicans21c159.58$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.1915045.3%68 W · 82 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Celtics73c157.38$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.7247229.4%139 W · 333 L-33.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd402…5a50backed Celtics77c155.84$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.8428058.2%163 W · 117 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d3f…9795backed Pelicans11c145.45$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43d3…ed8dbacked Pelicans14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35af…4655backed Pelicans28c138.46$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.774731.9%15 W · 32 L-6.1wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-36.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5b2a…460abacked Pelicans21c122.52$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.685750.9%29 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ff9…e494backed Pelicans25c120.64$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3035235.2%124 W · 228 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9228…e41abacked Pelicans10c120$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8330243.7%132 W · 170 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76c4…470bbacked Pelicans18c111.39$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021562.8%135 W · 80 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf26…9970backed Pelicans18c108.19$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-24.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc13f…c93bbacked Pelicans19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2063445.1%286 W · 348 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8047…54f4backed Pelicans13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136743.3%29 W · 38 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa784…c046backed Pelicans22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222532%8 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick23cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe028…9470backed Pelicans10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104134.1%14 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+24.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc668…117fbacked Pelicans17c88.35$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156038.3%23 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x48d3…5d66backed Pelicans14c86.44$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.14418.2%8 W · 36 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-40.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bc1…06edbacked Pelicans17c77.78$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.588335.3%312 W · 571 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3585…1595backed Pelicans19c70.01$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1726041.2%107 W · 153 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.