TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nets vs. Jazz

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jazzof Nets, Jazz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$692,619
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$712,989

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $692,619 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 326 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3eb4…5821backed Jazz63c150,000$94,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55,500683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick69cpaid+23.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc342…a335backed Nets37c150,000$55,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,50010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Nets26c42,687$10,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,974.4265642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa84b…5055backed Jazz79c25,259$19,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,304.926361.9%39 W · 24 L-6.3wins-0.10per pick72cpaid-13.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x90f6…b703backed Nets1c19,775$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246616.6%4 W · 57 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-80.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bbf…2760backed Nets43c18,799$8,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,054.5231935.1%112 W · 207 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fe0…d994backed Nets39c14,290$5,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,603.137448.7%182 W · 192 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Nets24c6,000$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4101,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe77f…4374backed Jazz65c5,340$3,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,877.0213140.5%53 W · 78 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Nets40c5,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00072241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f0a…e4eabacked Jazz60c5,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00015763.1%99 W · 58 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Jazz62c5,000$3,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,923.481,19846.8%561 W · 637 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Nets38c4,895$1,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,867.8976249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Jazz54c4,664$2,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,13063555.6%353 W · 282 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Nets41c4,366$1,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,772.1861532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Nets9c4,319$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.1370147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc338…d660backed Nets37c4,300$1,591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,591616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick49cpaid-73.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcde3…bdaebacked Jazz63c4,000$2,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,480540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-32.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2a3…1698backed Jazz61c3,975$2,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,550.239250%46 W · 46 L+10.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+30.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Nets26c3,636$962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.183,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Nets34c3,291$1,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,114.71,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc86a…bcabbacked Nets39c3,000$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1701764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+24.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9478…63f5backed Jazz59c3,000$1,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,229.991741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d62…476cbacked Jazz61c3,000$1,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,169.981190.9%10 W · 1 L+3.7wins+0.34per pick57cpaid+92.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Nets36c2,856$1,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,033.7729043.8%127 W · 163 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Nets41c2,509$1,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,028.821,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Jazz57c2,500$1,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,07537954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1484…cafebacked Jazz47c2,484$1,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,316.4629738.7%115 W · 182 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa535…6bf5backed Nets41c2,439$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009557.9%55 W · 40 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3e…b656backed Jazz61c2,148$1,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$837.545269.2%36 W · 16 L+6.3wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+30.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcd65…5726backed Nets40c2,125$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8503627.8%10 W · 26 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Nets41c2,004$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819.961,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Jazz61c2,000$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7801,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Nets1c1,984$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.91,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba68…ce61backed Jazz77c1,827$1,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.199330.1%28 W · 65 L-15.2wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-39.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Jazz56c1,822$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.9726235.9%94 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa647…64eebacked Nets45c1,799$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$810.4719350.3%97 W · 96 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Nets56c1,778$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00021455.1%118 W · 96 L-1.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Jazz56c1,700$954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74636843.8%161 W · 207 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Nets28c1,630$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.441,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Nets42c1,592$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670.725,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7310…ddfdbacked Nets39c1,540$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.891353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Nets37c1,500$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55525939%101 W · 158 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa737…cc88backed Jazz62c1,452$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.611241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid+43.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31b7…bde1backed Nets63c1,430$903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903.099739.2%38 W · 59 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6cff…c3dabacked Nets15c1,363$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.5518518.4%34 W · 151 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91b0…f0b6backed Nets24c1,267$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.648337.3%31 W · 52 L-0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-31.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30bc…2529backed Jazz59c1,255$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.556744.8%30 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Nets4c1,191$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.971,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Nets39c1,158$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.3673051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd78d…60bebacked Nets17c1,063$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.1425016.8%42 W · 208 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-38.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4818…bf0bbacked Nets38c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38014129.1%41 W · 100 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+5.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0be7…88a1backed Nets41c1,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4103467.6%23 W · 11 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+22.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xad3f…857ebacked Jazz55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4503333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-38.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Jazz79c956.5$759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.9944337.9%168 W · 275 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb34…59eabacked Jazz61c900$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3516045%27 W · 33 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6aab…9c4cbacked Jazz50c880.82$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.4529661.5%182 W · 114 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1638…339bbacked Nets39c880.31$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.329952.5%52 W · 47 L+9.6wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+28.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Jazz43c866.66$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49466744.5%297 W · 370 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fb8…e817backed Nets41c846.73$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.161533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-32.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Jazz61c813.79$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.4125651.6%132 W · 124 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked Jazz63c809.5$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.0650245.8%230 W · 272 L+2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc203…74f3backed Jazz60c790.53$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.9225957.5%149 W · 110 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedac…e765backed Jazz61c758.54$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.831040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…f35ebacked Nets41c750$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.51668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+24.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d0…9e96backed Nets55c727.27$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c57…9780backed Nets40c700$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2804045%18 W · 22 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8643…dc82backed Nets27c696$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.825827.6%16 W · 42 L+6.0wins+0.10per pick17cpaid+92.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Nets30c689.69$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.7238132.8%125 W · 256 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Jazz61c658.37$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.931,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Jazz27c603.96$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.891,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42e8…9d10backed Jazz59c599.3$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.1221357.7%123 W · 90 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc8de…e12abacked Nets37c595.67$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.4837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0c5…e717backed Jazz55c581.81$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.815532.7%18 W · 37 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x292d…2c8dbacked Nets57c544.07$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.128946.1%41 W · 48 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-17.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Jazz59c508.66$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.6627739.4%109 W · 168 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Jazz60c500$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.4289353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Jazz59c500$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.51,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbed…aa02backed Nets39c500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19522721.6%49 W · 178 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked Nets38c500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19035046%161 W · 189 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x71e9…1248backed Nets12c488.38$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607622.4%17 W · 59 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7439…40d2backed Nets55c454$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.724844%109 W · 139 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadbe…bc55backed Jazz67c442.26$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.4150453.8%271 W · 233 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf8c…eb27backed Nets39c435.9$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1706253.2%33 W · 29 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+20.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x082b…5e67backed Jazz55c430.55$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.728256.7%160 W · 122 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6e6…79b5backed Jazz74c426.08$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.7834169.5%237 W · 104 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Nets38c399.94$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.9872341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Nets38c394.96$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.082,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4cd…0516backed Nets38c392.91$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.9139843.5%173 W · 225 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe880…de2dbacked Jazz40c375.99$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.616553.9%89 W · 76 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x94a5…feedbacked Nets59c372.94$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.03560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x883d…667ebacked Jazz57c351.31$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.311861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+30.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c27…c8b4backed Jazz59c351.13$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.8917141.5%71 W · 100 L-0.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0bb…9702backed Jazz62c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.587860.3%47 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf65e…a55abacked Jazz54c321.1$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.714344.2%19 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Nets40c319$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.1647948%230 W · 249 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Nets40c316.5$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.4388053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd45…839bbacked Jazz64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Jazz80c300$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6076850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62dd…869abacked Jazz52c300$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1441936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-27.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.