TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Rangers vs. Avalanche

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Avalancheof Rangers, Avalanche
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$43,177
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$46,170

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,177 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4673…d99bbacked Avalanche61c3,500$2,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,364.931849.4%157 W · 161 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb533…26d5backed Rangers68c3,084$2,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,098.4240%0 W · 4 L-2.5wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6a14…e79fbacked Rangers39c2,778$1,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,083.591040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Rangers40c2,444$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975.621,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Avalanche40c2,301$927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,373.989747.4%46 W · 51 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Avalanche40c2,284$917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,367.1692848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Rangers68c1,790$1,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2091,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Avalanche33c1,731$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,161.2731334.8%109 W · 204 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf32b…1e55backed Avalanche32c1,539$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,045.861258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.22per pick36cpaid+42.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x49dd…2a32backed Avalanche33c1,450$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9716163.9%39 W · 22 L+8.1wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+20.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed Avalanche79c1,428$1,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.614949.7%74 W · 75 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid-0.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8cad…4a69backed Avalanche34c1,198$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$790.92955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcefa…bef8backed Rangers78c1,144$895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.46953.6%37 W · 32 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Rangers1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Avalanche59c790$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.929847%140 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x15c9…e725backed Avalanche31c569.65$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.115322.6%12 W · 41 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-36.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fd3…7214backed Avalanche59c508.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.473650%18 W · 18 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x084b…98d0backed Avalanche59c508.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.471553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Avalanche62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1901,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Rangers41c479.99$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.875155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc94b…fd9bbacked Avalanche47c421.99$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.9938040.5%154 W · 226 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Rangers52c403.24$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.463,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x945e…2acabacked Rangers48c400$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1928950.6%45 W · 44 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Avalanche52c400$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19272448.3%350 W · 374 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Avalanche59c400$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16450049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x883d…667ebacked Rangers70c370.65$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.21333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick68cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Avalanche30c319.35$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.491334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1ea…4684backed Rangers39c300$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Rangers38c285.44$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.5672444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7a7…f445backed Rangers54c277.16$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.791233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Avalanche64c259.04$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.4419150.8%97 W · 94 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90f6…b703backed Rangers65c250$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1632839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-36.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Avalanche61c249.93$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.471,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ba2…eaa7backed Avalanche52c214.25$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.921764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2686…7a67backed Avalanche62c192.08$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.089665.6%63 W · 33 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Rangers41c174.49$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.541,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Rangers41c164.96$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.4441851.4%215 W · 203 L+14.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Avalanche32c155.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.754418%98 W · 446 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Rangers41c146$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.8679251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe880…de2dbacked Rangers57c122.81$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702236.4%8 W · 14 L-4.4wins-0.20per pick56cpaid-43.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Rangers42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018136.5%66 W · 115 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…e0c9backed Rangers63c101.78$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.121127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-52.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Avalanche58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4213361.7%82 W · 51 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb299…4a62backed Avalanche59c99.97$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.4973157.5%420 W · 311 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bd4…8643backed Avalanche60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3318259.9%109 W · 73 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf22a…1697backed Rangers38c82.04$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.159251.1%47 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4975…c492backed Rangers70c78.56$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.9920%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Avalanche57c76.75$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337357.5%42 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a0e…c4f7backed Rangers67c74.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-22.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Rangers41c73$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9358346.5%271 W · 312 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf934…9f73backed Avalanche35c60$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.765046%23 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed Avalanche59c59.32$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3243256.5%244 W · 188 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Rangers38c56.36$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3784051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9362…38e9backed Avalanche63c54.52$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f86…9f1dbacked Avalanche58c53.88$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.63862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick42cpaid+30.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb558…6d77backed Rangers78c51.16$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402166.7%14 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Rangers48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2413846.4%64 W · 74 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7032…7829backed Rangers42c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc95c…cef3backed Avalanche61c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.419347.2%91 W · 102 L-14.9wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb72b…2f6cbacked Avalanche58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213336.4%12 W · 21 L-5.5wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-34.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Rangers59c42.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.121643.8%7 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x393b…d73bbacked Rangers42c40.69$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.09633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Avalanche62c40.31$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3162944%277 W · 352 L-14.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35c5…e14bbacked Avalanche28c40$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.812744.9%57 W · 70 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f05…9c86backed Rangers39c37.44$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+23.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd858…30e0backed Rangers36c36.58$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.17333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cb4…5f6abacked Rangers37c36.07$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.35333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-45.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1661…b40fbacked Rangers37c35.17$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0130%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e74…7b4abacked Avalanche63c35.17$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.01580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+40.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e0d…1598backed Avalanche51c35$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.252642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-22.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a0a…33efbacked Rangers43c34.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe814…47cabacked Rangers43c34.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0942…9630backed Rangers37c33.3$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.32366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe4c…b380backed Avalanche62c33.15$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+37.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd84a…6a94backed Rangers37c33.01$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.21633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-35.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x694d…98a9backed Rangers39c33$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e9b…5019backed Avalanche62c33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.543100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x779a…4e0ebacked Avalanche62c33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.54250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5c6…dd21backed Rangers39c33$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.87366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd55…6710backed Rangers39c32.28$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.59250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2f2…0b2dbacked Avalanche62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.264050%20 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10c6…b2e1backed Rangers37c32.22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.92450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+28.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e07…d2c8backed Avalanche63c32.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.92250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86b5…698abacked Rangers37c31.7$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.73425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-45.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x60f8…32f2backed Avalanche60c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1210941.3%45 W · 64 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2142…79fdbacked Avalanche58c29.97$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.592556%14 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Rangers38c29.75$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.347249.2%232 W · 240 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ac5…f936backed Avalanche63c29.24$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.82683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick56cpaid+47.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb9b2…570abacked Avalanche63c28.66$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe54a…fabfbacked Rangers40c26.44$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.58475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+29.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x553d…8282backed Avalanche63c25.06$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.273100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd970…3e65backed Avalanche64c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-29.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe4b9…45dcbacked Rangers43c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.75540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ee…f98ebacked Avalanche64c24.78$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.92757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18f9…5d32backed Avalanche62c24.19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.195453.7%29 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdf8…1fa4backed Avalanche62c24.19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.192360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa92e…3ff4backed Avalanche63c22.44$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.3366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1c…e856backed Avalanche63c22.34$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x020c…6a33backed Avalanche62c21.92$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.33333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-46.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8cef…2db8backed Avalanche64c21.29$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.66425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-60.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.