NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Heat
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3bd9102ae39fe9b603211a0bfdb677ff0928afc8011fbe451a71bfb2007361c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heatof Magic, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $324,592
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $322,090
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $324,592 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 264 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Heat | 33c | 26,321$8,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,716.02 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Magic | 59c | 26,054$15,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,382.52 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Heat | 41c | 25,859$10,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,299.87 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Heat | 49c | 10,709$5,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,452.46 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Magic | 52c | 9,448$4,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,895.02 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Magic | 22c | 7,256$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,579.54 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Magic | 46c | 5,255$2,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,419.81 | 191 | 52.4%100 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Heat | 46c | 5,134$2,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,781.85 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Heat | 78c | 4,794$3,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.13 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -17.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce7…fd4abacked Magic | 72c | 4,349$3,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,110.66 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…feb3backed Heat | 44c | 4,137$1,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,297.4 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Magic | 55c | 3,864$2,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,113.76 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Heat | 29c | 3,624$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,567.59 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Magic | 54c | 3,344$1,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.39 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Magic | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Heat | 49c | 2,704$1,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375.33 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Magic | 51c | 2,419$1,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,233.75 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +9.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Heat | 48c | 2,360$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.64 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Heat | 47c | 2,255$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,203.7 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…ac36backed Heat | 49c | 2,029$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.52 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6410…1ff4backed Magic | 33c | 2,013$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.41 | 111 | 64%71 W · 40 L | +13.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c4…8441backed Heat | 50c | 1,959$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.3 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Magic | 67c | 1,646$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.8 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04a…824ebacked Heat | 36c | 1,539$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.78 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Heat | 39c | 1,512$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.42 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Magic | 53c | 1,508$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.16 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Magic | 66c | 1,451$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.12 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Heat | 70c | 1,438$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.57 | 214 | 55.1%118 W · 96 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…74f3backed Magic | 64c | 1,333$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.66 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x916b…e181backed Heat | 43c | 1,277$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.68 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e2…dfd6backed Heat | 80c | 1,249$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…ce61backed Magic | 61c | 1,200$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -15.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Heat | 47c | 1,140$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.52 | 277 | 35.4%98 W · 179 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Magic | 54c | 1,120$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.82 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Magic | 7c | 1,100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e30…4441backed Magic | 52c | 1,099$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.47 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c5…90dfbacked Magic | 55c | 1,050$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…7300backed Heat | 37c | 1,006$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.55 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +52%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Magic | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 248 | 55.6%138 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Heat | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a7…2196backed Heat | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed Magic | 56c | 959.24$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.34 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e3…1b7ebacked Magic | 54c | 930.56$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Heat | 47c | 868.47$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.41 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…b703backed Magic | 2c | 825.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 61 | 6.6%4 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…48ecbacked Magic | 51c | 781.47$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.55 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd3…7214backed Heat | 38c | 757.91$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.62 | 186 | 32.8%61 W · 125 L | -12.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Magic | 54c | 700$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…97b3backed Magic | 52c | 677.69$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.4 | 213 | 38%81 W · 132 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Heat | 47c | 627.31$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.17 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Magic | 51c | 591.72$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.7 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Magic | 54c | 531.99$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.28 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Heat | 47c | 504.99$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.89 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8261…a3f1backed Heat | 49c | 408.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.15 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab15…dd2fbacked Magic | 10c | 407.29$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.53 | 47 | 12.8%6 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa438…9b9fbacked Magic | 69c | 400$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Magic | 36c | 400$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 319 | 35.1%112 W · 207 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Heat | 46c | 388$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.68 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Heat | 43c | 368.69$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.15 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Magic | 52c | 305.89$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 178 | 38.2%68 W · 110 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1f…bbd0backed Heat | 32c | 300$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ce…d6b4backed Magic | 68c | 300$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x448a…9e5ebacked Magic | 68c | 300$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x186e…2112backed Magic | 69c | 300$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -5.1wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x736b…18b2backed Magic | 68c | 300$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23af…3026backed Magic | 68c | 300$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x369a…d5adbacked Heat | 32c | 300$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4d…3b01backed Heat | 32c | 300$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb10a…178cbacked Heat | 32c | 300$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x497b…8b5abacked Magic | 68c | 300$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x722c…515fbacked Magic | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -42%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…7ff3backed Magic | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 286 | 51.4%147 W · 139 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdab…9433backed Heat | 32c | 300$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8554…61b1backed Heat | 32c | 300$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0564…e159backed Heat | 31c | 300$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac9d…8276backed Magic | 68c | 300$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7d…f776backed Heat | 50c | 297.84$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.84 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Heat | 42c | 289.59$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.94 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Magic | 46c | 289.01$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.82 | 192 | 31.3%60 W · 132 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7c…b7dbbacked Magic | 53c | 284.81$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.95 | 194 | 52.1%101 W · 93 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8c…028abacked Heat | 23c | 262$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +220.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…5241backed Heat | 53c | 251.3$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.3 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…3917backed Magic | 53c | 250.72$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.88 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69d4…6775backed Magic | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbfc…0655backed Heat | 55c | 240.15$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.19 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +6.4wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…39a8backed Heat | 23c | 240$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.8 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1a…13babacked Heat | 22c | 240$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.2 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf8…db7fbacked Heat | 20c | 240$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f49…a680backed Magic | 74c | 240$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.6 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f9…a490backed Magic | 78c | 240$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.2 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba1…8a72backed Heat | 21c | 240$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.6 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa686…6a20backed Magic | 78c | 240$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.2 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2992…22eebacked Magic | 79c | 240$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.6 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1652…c348backed Magic | 78c | 240$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.2 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb59a…0d99backed Heat | 21c | 240$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.6 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8d…b23ebacked Heat | 28c | 240$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.8 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…6b33backed Magic | 78c | 240$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.2 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb122…735bbacked Heat | 21c | 240$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.6 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +30%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e99…2d10backed Heat | 28c | 240$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.8 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fb…05a3backed Magic | 78c | 240$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.2 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.