NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Celtics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd78a5f8cb1926dfb49d6c35820bd9ddfbbdd874467abe7ebc78cee0c619498e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rocketsof Rockets, Celtics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $245,965
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $260,261
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $245,965 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 397 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Rockets | 39c | 22,004$8,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,483.21 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Celtics | 62c | 20,048$12,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,478.11 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Celtics | 68c | 11,000$7,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,479.99 | 126 | 63.5%80 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9483…39b2backed Celtics | 59c | 9,496$5,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,638.25 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Rockets | 38c | 8,875$3,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,502.38 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Rockets | 32c | 8,679$2,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,881.59 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8258…f208backed Rockets | 48c | 8,540$4,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,401.92 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Rockets | 71c | 6,403$4,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,869.61 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Rockets | 40c | 5,121$2,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,065.2 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Rockets | 26c | 5,000$1,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,705.2 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Rockets | 10c | 4,960$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,460.44 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Rockets | 32c | 4,668$1,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,174.41 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6410…1ff4backed Celtics | 68c | 4,512$3,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,090.43 | 111 | 64%71 W · 40 L | +13.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rockets | 44c | 4,368$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,447.25 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Rockets | 7c | 4,205$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,905.91 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Rockets | 42c | 3,734$1,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,158.24 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85de…87e5backed Celtics | 4c | 3,617$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.12 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Rockets | 32c | 3,592$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,442.5 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15c9…e725backed Rockets | 19c | 3,452$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,790.12 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Rockets | 32c | 3,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Celtics | 68c | 3,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.99 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…b703backed Celtics | 2c | 2,400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 61 | 6.6%4 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Rockets | 46c | 2,089$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121.1 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Celtics | 67c | 2,071$1,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,386.74 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Celtics | 68c | 1,965$1,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,336.06 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8a…9aeabacked Rockets | 31c | 1,895$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307.43 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Rockets | 46c | 1,664$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.22 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Celtics | 46c | 1,604$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.37 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa633…4d27backed Celtics | 68c | 1,500$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd837…ba4abacked Rockets | 32c | 1,500$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.99 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42d9…0293backed Celtics | 68c | 1,500$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Rockets | 31c | 1,500$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.99 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcf…7400backed Celtics | 67c | 1,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…ac36backed Celtics | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Celtics | 75c | 1,334$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 214 | 55.1%118 W · 96 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Celtics | 75c | 1,333$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 162 | 61.7%100 W · 62 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…74f3backed Celtics | 62c | 1,235$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.77 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Celtics | 64c | 1,225$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.71 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c4…8441backed Celtics | 68c | 1,177$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.73 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Celtics | 67c | 1,110$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.2 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…1cc6backed Celtics | 1c | 1,011$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Celtics | 3c | 1,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Rockets | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 296 | 35.8%106 W · 190 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Celtics | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb58f…a5a5backed Rockets | 6c | 999.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Celtics | 61c | 999.98$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.98 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e0…68a8backed Rockets | 32c | 978.6$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.45 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Rockets | 33c | 978.36$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.5 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Rockets | 32c | 959$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.12 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Rockets | 33c | 909.09$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.09 | 277 | 35.4%98 W · 179 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Celtics | 57c | 906.14$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.32 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Rockets | 38c | 900$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Celtics | 67c | 895.99$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.31 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb586…7f97backed Rockets | 39c | 887.56$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.41 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…76fabacked Celtics | 68c | 860.59$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.2 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Rockets | 33c | 853$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.51 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Rockets | 55c | 852.56$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.68 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd3…7214backed Rockets | 40c | 799.1$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.15 | 186 | 32.8%61 W · 125 L | -12.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Celtics | 69c | 757$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.33 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Celtics | 69c | 754.54$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.63 | 278 | 40.6%113 W · 165 L | -22.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4a…15c7backed Celtics | 68c | 718.63$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Rockets | 32c | 707.41$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.04 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…7300backed Rockets | 38c | 689.58$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.6 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +52%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x558e…9d39backed Rockets | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.06 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Celtics | 69c | 599.99$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.99 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Celtics | 68c | 590$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.2 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2af0…f713backed Rockets | 32c | 554.92$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.92 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Rockets | 31c | 528.58$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.72 | 313 | 47%147 W · 166 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Celtics | 54c | 513.12$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.73 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Rockets | 32c | 500$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 178 | 38.2%68 W · 110 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc277…9d94backed Celtics | 68c | 500$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Rockets | 9c | 497.01$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.01 | 381 | 32.8%125 W · 256 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Rockets | 45c | 491.7$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.7 | 269 | 34.9%94 W · 175 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b4…cf0bbacked Celtics | 62c | 484.81$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.58 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08a8…adcebacked Rockets | 51c | 461.7$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.76 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Celtics | 67c | 459.97$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.18 | 280 | 63.9%179 W · 101 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Celtics | 27c | 441$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.63 | 250 | 16.8%42 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce7…fd4abacked Rockets | 55c | 440.99$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.45 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Celtics | 68c | 439.71$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Rockets | 30c | 403.9$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.53 | 192 | 31.3%60 W · 132 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Celtics | 61c | 350$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.5 | 319 | 35.1%112 W · 207 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Rockets | 42c | 343.73$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.45 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Rockets | 47c | 325$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.62 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…d15ebacked Celtics | 62c | 322.93$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…3113backed Rockets | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 233 | 59.7%139 W · 94 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x722c…515fbacked Celtics | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -42%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x62c0…3c9abacked Rockets | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8c…028abacked Rockets | 31c | 308.85$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.72 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +220.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…97b3backed Celtics | 49c | 304.98$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 213 | 38%81 W · 132 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rockets | 33c | 300$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Rockets | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Celtics | 63c | 282.97$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.89 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf691…c596backed Celtics | 67c | 270$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.75 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11f1…34e9backed Celtics | 57c | 265.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…3c12backed Rockets | 39c | 260$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.9 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Celtics | 48c | 256.3$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.75 | 277 | 39.4%109 W · 168 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Rockets | 33c | 250$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.5 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Celtics | 5c | 240$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Rockets | 33c | 226.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.46 | 366 | 43.2%158 W · 208 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0564…ce95backed Celtics | 70c | 225.02$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.51 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -7.5wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.