NHL · resolved market
Ducks vs. Lightning
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x38de38c208a7c85ca578e0f117a11465541e9d7552fc632c1b272335b38754f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lightningof Ducks, Lightning
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,080
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,367
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,080 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Ducks | 9c | 6,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Ducks | 42c | 2,883$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.6 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Ducks | 25c | 2,713$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.24 | 245 | 46.1%113 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1a…bf3abacked Lightning | 75c | 1,322$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.41 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Lightning | 52c | 1,260$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.3 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Lightning | 61c | 1,195$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.8 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Lightning | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Ducks | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 103 | 1%1 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked Ducks | 28c | 999.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…b8b4backed Lightning | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Lightning | 72c | 922.56$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.32 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Ducks | 25c | 801.75$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.44 | 298 | 47%140 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf65e…a55abacked Lightning | 67c | 794.81$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.34 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Ducks | 44c | 794.34$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.51 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Lightning | 73c | 601.19$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.32 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Lightning | 75c | 399.73$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.08 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Ducks | 22c | 376.59$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.95 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Lightning | 72c | 301.35$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.29 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Lightning | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Lightning | 74c | 299.91$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.98 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Lightning | 72c | 263.32$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.63 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Ducks | 25c | 239.17$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.77 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Ducks | 42c | 237.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 724 | 48.3%350 W · 374 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Ducks | 44c | 229.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 205 | 40.5%83 W · 122 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Ducks | 21c | 228.33$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 194 | 38.1%74 W · 120 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Lightning | 59c | 168.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.33 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…b703backed Lightning | 77c | 150$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35af…4655backed Ducks | 43c | 140.44$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.39 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +33%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…40c1backed Lightning | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.19per pick | 66cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf734…c613backed Ducks | 26c | 119.73$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.13 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Ducks | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Ducks | 27c | 117.16$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.11 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…f3fbbacked Ducks | 45c | 110.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…00e4backed Ducks | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Ducks | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Ducks | 28c | 89.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 285 | 42.1%120 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf22d…e35dbacked Lightning | 73c | 85.4$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.66 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4c…b380backed Ducks | 27c | 80.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd4…8643backed Lightning | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 182 | 59.9%109 W · 73 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6295…fcecbacked Ducks | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…fe47backed Ducks | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66e3…310ebacked Ducks | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x612a…3c9cbacked Ducks | 28c | 69.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f8…b4bbbacked Ducks | 27c | 69.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b50…aaeabacked Lightning | 75c | 69.63$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.41 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x981a…112bbacked Lightning | 75c | 60.56$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x152f…cc4ebacked Lightning | 74c | 58.24$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c0…e101backed Ducks | 27c | 57.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x514f…5e60backed Ducks | 28c | 56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Lightning | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc95…b4aebacked Lightning | 72c | 49.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…2204backed Ducks | 27c | 43.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfd…f147backed Lightning | 75c | 43.15$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…e43bbacked Lightning | 75c | 39.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -6.6wins | -0.14per pick | 66cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8d…32b2backed Ducks | 26c | 39.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf4…ed97backed Lightning | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x975a…c5e3backed Lightning | 74c | 32.16$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x142a…ef93backed Lightning | 74c | 31.28$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb629…407abacked Lightning | 73c | 30.13$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2474…4957backed Lightning | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 61 | 68.9%42 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8175…e4b8backed Lightning | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc1…caf3backed Lightning | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x535b…2056backed Lightning | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08a9…86a8backed Lightning | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099b…217dbacked Lightning | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec9f…2338backed Lightning | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +66%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c8d…6bdfbacked Lightning | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x720b…b405backed Lightning | 74c | 29.35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8047…cfe5backed Lightning | 72c | 28.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aba…aa11backed Lightning | 73c | 28.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3c…7371backed Lightning | 71c | 28.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…16a4backed Lightning | 73c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a94…4a06backed Lightning | 73c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1864…63c5backed Lightning | 73c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23a2…cac0backed Lightning | 73c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c0…7fc0backed Lightning | 73c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47a4…074cbacked Lightning | 72c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f7…ac2cbacked Lightning | 74c | 27.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 123 | 69.9%86 W · 37 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e8…2eeabacked Lightning | 73c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa7…c60abacked Lightning | 73c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…435bbacked Lightning | 73c | 25.23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb5…2664backed Lightning | 74c | 22.56$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16d5…4ca7backed Lightning | 77c | 22.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa5…f8efbacked Lightning | 73c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb89…62d0backed Lightning | 75c | 21.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.47 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 52cpaid | +86.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf147…6553backed Lightning | 75c | 20.79$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d76…af69backed Lightning | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d61…1144backed Lightning | 74c | 18.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d08…2b37backed Lightning | 74c | 17.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eed…b654backed Lightning | 74c | 16.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d3…6895backed Lightning | 74c | 16.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad2…0315backed Lightning | 74c | 16.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -3.2wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -65%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x08f0…832cbacked Lightning | 75c | 16.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.04 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…cc23backed Lightning | 72c | 15.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.43 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…7266backed Lightning | 75c | 15.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.76 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.41per pick | 57cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb9bb…547fbacked Lightning | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa32e…8084backed Lightning | 74c | 14.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5d…7a76backed Lightning | 74c | 13.93$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.62 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +41%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.