NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Bulls
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ea40099035653b80821b24956c0e36c3fc1927af092e643925213abaa252250
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bullsof Nuggets, Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $166,486
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $187,582
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $166,486 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Nuggets | 25c | 11,100$2,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,740.56 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Nuggets | 77c | 10,022$7,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,716.9 | 126 | 63.5%80 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Bulls | 23c | 7,954$1,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,124.64 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Bulls | 23c | 6,567$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,066.78 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Bulls | 23c | 6,050$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,628.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Nuggets | 29c | 6,050$1,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,772.29 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Nuggets | 79c | 5,778$4,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,538 | 157 | 63.1%99 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Nuggets | 30c | 5,371$1,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,607.47 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Bulls | 23c | 3,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,310 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Bulls | 23c | 3,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,310 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Bulls | 30c | 2,826$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,972.09 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…b703backed Nuggets | 10c | 2,800$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.5 | 61 | 6.6%4 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Bulls | 36c | 2,469$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,589.82 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Nuggets | 36c | 2,459$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.84 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x558e…9d39backed Nuggets | 21c | 2,378$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.03 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Nuggets | 59c | 2,082$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.96 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Nuggets | 76c | 2,000$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Bulls | 21c | 1,785$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410.15 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a7…2196backed Bulls | 22c | 1,540$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.59 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Bulls | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.34 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Bulls | 35c | 1,173$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.88 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Nuggets | 77c | 1,093$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.55 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Bulls | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x542b…4b76backed Nuggets | 77c | 973.76$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa1…4340backed Bulls | 22c | 895.46$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.46 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f91…40adbacked Nuggets | 79c | 865.97$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.45 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Nuggets | 76c | 822.79$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.32 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Bulls | 24c | 800$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Nuggets | 78c | 731$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.18 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Nuggets | 69c | 699.98$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.99 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51e6…4e2abacked Nuggets | 74c | 695.5$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.63 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Nuggets | 77c | 694.82$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.89 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Bulls | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…3c12backed Bulls | 27c | 653.15$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.8 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…686cbacked Bulls | 70c | 646.48$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.94 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Nuggets | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 470 | 48.5%228 W · 242 L | -18.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed Bulls | 28c | 621.91$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.04 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Nuggets | 2c | 600$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Nuggets | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 381 | 32.8%125 W · 256 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Nuggets | 19c | 549.98$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.49 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Bulls | 23c | 504.99$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.58 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Nuggets | 71c | 500$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Nuggets | 24c | 495.83$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Nuggets | 78c | 468$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.92 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Nuggets | 79c | 427.3$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.57 | 364 | 49.7%181 W · 183 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Bulls | 21c | 400$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Nuggets | 77c | 400$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdadc…15fcbacked Nuggets | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Nuggets | 77c | 387.99$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.75 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Nuggets | 76c | 370.25$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.79 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Bulls | 22c | 341$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.98 | 366 | 43.2%158 W · 208 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8c…028abacked Bulls | 48c | 311.04$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.95 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +220.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Bulls | 20c | 303.5$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.8 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Nuggets | 76c | 300$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 238 | 35.7%85 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Nuggets | 77c | 294.03$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.4 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Nuggets | 33c | 288.85$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.9 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…1a71backed Bulls | 23c | 260.87$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.87 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…d15ebacked Nuggets | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7d…f776backed Bulls | 73c | 220.14$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.14 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x526d…73f1backed Bulls | 23c | 217.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.4 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Bulls | 23c | 213.47$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.47 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…6b67backed Nuggets | 77c | 209.97$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.52 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce3…f779backed Bulls | 27c | 200$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.3 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Bulls | 23c | 200$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…7300backed Bulls | 15c | 200$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +52%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x687f…cefebacked Nuggets | 72c | 188.65$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.83 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe815…93f4backed Nuggets | 78c | 187.18$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb58f…a5a5backed Nuggets | 24c | 180.56$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.14 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa33…8dbcbacked Bulls | 68c | 180.25$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.68 | 294 | 50.3%148 W · 146 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f4…0eb4backed Bulls | 23c | 173.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.91 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e7…daf3backed Bulls | 14c | 173.81$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.81 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 16cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aab…9c4cbacked Nuggets | 67c | 166$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.48 | 296 | 61.5%182 W · 114 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…74f3backed Bulls | 23c | 155$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.94 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4722…74b4backed Bulls | 23c | 152.19$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.19 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…c3f5backed Bulls | 63c | 150$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff00…c146backed Nuggets | 79c | 142.44$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Nuggets | 11c | 139.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…3113backed Nuggets | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 233 | 59.7%139 W · 94 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bf…c049backed Nuggets | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd3…7214backed Bulls | 32c | 124.83$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.27 | 186 | 32.8%61 W · 125 L | -12.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4c…2f6bbacked Nuggets | 76c | 120$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.2 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Bulls | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.7 | 563 | 52%293 W · 270 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Bulls | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.17 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa1…637bbacked Nuggets | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Bulls | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 388 | 45.9%178 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Nuggets | 77c | 96.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.68 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab3c…5093backed Bulls | 23c | 90$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 155 | 38.1%59 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…b387backed Bulls | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd24e…9441backed Bulls | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -8.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x102c…a24cbacked Nuggets | 78c | 69.27$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.06 | 108 | 63%68 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…ebe9backed Bulls | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.22 | 138 | 47.8%66 W · 72 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x938a…a941backed Bulls | 78c | 64.81$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed Nuggets | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 849 | 57.6%489 W · 360 L | -52.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Nuggets | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 345 | 51.3%177 W · 168 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f77…5315backed Nuggets | 22c | 63.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Nuggets | 77c | 57.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.66 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Nuggets | 78c | 52.82$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.1 | 239 | 56.1%134 W · 105 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8177…492bbacked Nuggets | 78c | 49.35$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.49 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc1…06edbacked Nuggets | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 883 | 35.3%312 W · 571 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71b1…ac2cbacked Nuggets | 23c | 46.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 243 | 34.2%83 W · 160 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.