TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Kings vs. Kraken

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Krakenof Kings, Kraken
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$57,767
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$61,254

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,767 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0269…cb2dbacked Kraken39c20,660$8,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,595.0635545.4%161 W · 194 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed Kings61c20,006$12,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,203.5414949.7%74 W · 75 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid-0.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x187c…ca3cbacked Kings1c12,950$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Kings45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90085148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Kings58c1,492$867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$867.41,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Kraken71c1,433$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.124100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+68.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Kraken62c1,192$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.9485464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7eaf…e782backed Kings35c1,137$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.192619.2%5 W · 21 L-4.2wins-0.16per pick35cpaid-47.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Kings7c1,034$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.9792848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Kings1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Kings60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Kraken68c808.26$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.8913361.7%82 W · 51 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Kraken40c578.73$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.991,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Kraken40c526.81$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.081,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Kraken40c525.07$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.0497651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Kings30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15020540.5%83 W · 122 L+0.6wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Kraken76c463.78$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.328744.8%39 W · 48 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15c9…e725backed Kings28c424.98$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.995322.6%12 W · 41 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-36.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Kings11c398.14$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5531334.8%109 W · 204 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31db…79a4backed Kings28c362.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006437.5%24 W · 40 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-25%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb52…314abacked Kings26c362.15$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.4340%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Kraken41c349.99$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.572444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Kraken66c241.38$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.683,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9544…f3fbbacked Kraken52c192.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3715549.7%77 W · 78 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6218…36e8backed Kraken74c185.29$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.612751.9%14 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc94b…fd9bbacked Kings60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038040.5%154 W · 226 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb39…ed7abacked Kraken60c150$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602657.7%15 W · 11 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+42.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Kings41c149.59$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.6191334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc35b…0bdfbacked Kraken42c126.33$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.27475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+55.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8538…956cbacked Kraken42c120.52$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.9683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.26per pick58cpaid+58.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf7f…8995backed Kraken54c111.13$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.131090%9 W · 1 L+3.1wins+0.31per pick59cpaid+50.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Kraken42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5850049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf934…9f73backed Kings32c99.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.35046%23 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdce8…c1afbacked Kings59c84.49$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.85850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8153…7eb3backed Kings59c81.98$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.37714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.34per pick49cpaid-75.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7d7a…15b5backed Kings60c78.72$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.233324.2%8 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-39.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc655…70fcbacked Kraken40c63.53$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.863100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+101.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6981…8ac5backed Kings50c63.02$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5710659.4%63 W · 43 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Kraken41c62.83$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.1984051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2686…7a67backed Kraken68c58.82$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.829665.6%63 W · 33 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc84a…9099backed Kraken69c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.33781.1%30 W · 7 L+4.5wins+0.12per pick69cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2202…b157backed Kings59c41.47$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.47633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98e6…d23cbacked Kings59c40.74$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.03520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-58.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9343…873abacked Kraken41c40.74$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.033100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+103.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb039…010fbacked Kings32c40$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-69.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Kings57c40$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.81,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Kings57c39.36$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4429847%140 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb299…4a62backed Kings59c39.22$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1473157.5%420 W · 311 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9e8…7eebbacked Kraken42c38.58$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.38475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+47.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d2a…9be9backed Kings58c38.58$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3830%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa705…6273backed Kraken41c38.44$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.68250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb49…dfa1backed Kings60c38.33$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234930.6%15 W · 34 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-37.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7139…f965backed Kings59c38.2$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.54633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-54.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe981…7a92backed Kraken42c37.52$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.76366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+36.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d76…9d44backed Kings58c37.52$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.76837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ba5…3607backed Kings60c35$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.856640.9%27 W · 39 L-8.1wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-23.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf17f…f189backed Kings58c34.58$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2de5…4d5dbacked Kraken42c34.58$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.06650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bdb…22debacked Kings60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+23.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bd4…8643backed Kings60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018259.9%109 W · 73 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6cbd…a906backed Kings58c33.16$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90f6…b703backed Kraken69c32.95$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.212839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-36.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x266e…c531backed Kraken43c32.56$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.561540%6 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c44…d3acbacked Kraken43c32.56$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.561560%9 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb522…ff99backed Kings59c32.38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1140%0 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8349…93cdbacked Kings58c31.75$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.42425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick62cpaid-61.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb558…6d77backed Kraken79c31.65$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.652166.7%14 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51b5…7126backed Kings58c30.91$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.93450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbda4…74dabacked Kings59c30.02$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.71540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-34%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9df0…9706backed Kraken41c30.02$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.71250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffc5…07a0backed Kraken41c29.58$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.45333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x65db…1cd0backed Kings59c29.58$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.46333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb84…a08abacked Kraken41c27.76$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.38475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+40.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcca6…fb43backed Kraken42c27.45$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.92666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbdb7…9374backed Kraken42c27.05$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x049b…05b8backed Kings59c26.38$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x022f…1fffbacked Kings59c25.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.14666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+19.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4878…ba7fbacked Kings59c25.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.08425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-59%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c86…18e7backed Kings58c25.53$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.81450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf8c…4bc2backed Kings59c25.35$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1525358.5%148 W · 105 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e3d…a926backed Kings58c25.03$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.52850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd78d…60bebacked Kraken60c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1013241.7%55 W · 77 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+70.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x98b4…5d76backed Kings40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030155.1%166 W · 135 L+17.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x21fd…79f2backed Kraken41c24.25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+141.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x72b2…f6ccbacked Kings57c23.86$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9994…0769backed Kings59c22.18$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.08944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72e0…cd76backed Kings60c21.79$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.07450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ed6…333bbacked Kings58c21.21$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.31650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e9f…8f83backed Kings60c20.15$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.09742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8b…d419backed Kings58c19.1$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f6…42e5backed Kraken63c19.05$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.05366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85cc…b828backed Kings59c18.81$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.11145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf787…c6c4backed Kings59c18.64$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa0a…8ca5backed Kings58c18.64$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8140%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6942…9693backed Kings59c18.29$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.79425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-56.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcca9…b19cbacked Kings60c17.38$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4320%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x33b3…6f22backed Kings60c17.06$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.23250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.