TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Wild vs. Sharks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Wildof Wild, Sharks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$25,301
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$26,433

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,301 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4673…d99bbacked Sharks35c3,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.8331849.4%157 W · 161 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90f6…b703backed Sharks2c2,275$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-36.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Sharks26c1,926$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.791,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Sharks12c1,755$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.9631334.8%109 W · 204 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Wild65c1,410$917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.520147.8%96 W · 105 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Wild64c1,130$723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.9186649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Sharks35c1,057$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.0235545.4%161 W · 194 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Wild65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.051,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Wild65c1,000$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.061,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1358…1af4backed Sharks36c1,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3601457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Wild65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35085148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x58df…76b4backed Wild64c999.99$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed Sharks9c755.47$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.6914949.7%74 W · 75 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid-0.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Sharks7c680.79$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.661,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7524…2149backed Sharks16c471.36$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754245.2%19 W · 23 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Sharks24c454.15$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.334045%18 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Sharks17c400.03$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.4891334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x62dd…869abacked Sharks15c300$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Wild63c256.66$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.691,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e09…1c3fbacked Wild64c251.15$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.419153.8%49 W · 42 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Sharks36c204.99$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.2872444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb337…5589backed Sharks36c175.45$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.1648654.1%263 W · 223 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x581c…7f94backed Sharks36c173.86$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.591428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-44.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Sharks35c171$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.8541851.4%215 W · 203 L+14.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Sharks6c164$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.387450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Sharks8c160.37$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.261643.8%7 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Wild65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8524945.8%114 W · 135 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Sharks36c153.11$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.4784051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b68…795bbacked Sharks36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504839.6%19 W · 29 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+19.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Wild62c137.65$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.3129847%140 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Wild63c133.18$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2854349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea37…e6bdbacked Sharks38c123.23$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.37366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+56.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x07d4…d433backed Sharks35c116.66$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8330%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x60de…0669backed Wild64c114.78$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.32666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b72…b462backed Sharks35c111.11$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.89475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+29.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Sharks18c106.13$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.13,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe208…2b30backed Sharks35c105.56$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.95333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Sharks35c103$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0547249.2%232 W · 240 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9da9…5257backed Wild65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe327…ec05backed Wild65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354047.5%19 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x20fa…5ed9backed Sharks36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-35.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Wild65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3550049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb72b…2f6cbacked Wild64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363336.4%12 W · 21 L-5.5wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-34.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x87c4…490ebacked Wild65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352365.2%15 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fb4…2794backed Sharks35c99.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353647.2%17 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67ab…0a40backed Sharks35c97.22$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.03560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6721…8ff7backed Wild64c85.93$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Sharks35c85$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7558346.5%271 W · 312 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325d…d576backed Wild64c78.12$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.12475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+54.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d70…120abacked Wild64c78.12$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.12250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02c7…3df7backed Wild65c76.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.729547.4%45 W · 50 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x09ef…be38backed Wild64c75.95$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.04425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-61.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa516…ba32backed Wild64c75$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bcc…5ef7backed Sharks38c65.32$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.82540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf12c…a8abbacked Wild64c62.5$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Wild65c61.54$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5470249%344 W · 358 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ee7…c797backed Wild65c58.46$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.46540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5434…1e01backed Sharks36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cd6…41e7backed Wild64c54.68$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.68475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+41.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x12e7…4164backed Sharks37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x04c2…173abacked Sharks37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bd4…8643backed Wild69c50.81$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8118259.9%109 W · 73 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe83b…ed95backed Wild62c48.35$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.17366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Wild79c47.54$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.7585464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf4de…7fd2backed Wild63c47.47$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.593100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+93.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9a15…eac3backed Wild64c46.88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.887659.2%45 W · 31 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda4f…e43bbacked Wild66c40.76$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.864852.1%25 W · 23 L-6.6wins-0.14per pick66cpaid-21.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7428…2dd8backed Wild61c39.29$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.322100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb299…4a62backed Wild63c38.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4273157.5%420 W · 311 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cd6…5a68backed Sharks37c37.17$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.76944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf35…d25bbacked Wild63c36.83$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.632100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6faf…4d74backed Sharks36c36.33$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f43…e1f9backed Sharks38c35.71$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.57250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb81…0545backed Sharks38c35.19$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.37450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c18…8052backed Sharks36c32.56$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.72757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e4a…83f2backed Wild64c32.56$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.722100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+84.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x13b4…6363backed Sharks38c32.4$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.32560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+46.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fc…579cbacked Wild63c32.2$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.92333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6942…9693backed Sharks37c32.2$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.92425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-56.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd15b…fffcbacked Wild63c32.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1096…58c5backed Sharks37c32.17$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+48.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9166…2ed3backed Wild64c31.84$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.46540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-40.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc20a…981cbacked Sharks36c31.54$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.36540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-34.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7b3…bc5fbacked Wild64c30.31$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.91366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4771…7310backed Sharks36c30.31$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9130%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf934…9f73backed Wild65c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.55046%23 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2474…4957backed Wild64c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.86168.9%42 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5362…e592backed Wild63c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.1955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+90.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c3f…b7a2backed Sharks38c29.53$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x74bf…ef11backed Wild62c29.53$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.22450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82b8…58bbbacked Wild64c29.5$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.61580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+55.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8890…f0e1backed Wild64c29.23$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.52450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a4b…0a9bbacked Wild62c29.02$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe570…8b40backed Sharks37c29$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7360%0 W · 6 L-3.4wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6053…0dc4backed Sharks36c28.89$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+53.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9827…de86backed Wild63c28.7$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.62742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6025…afa4backed Sharks37c28.7$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.62366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+25.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd11…b1fabacked Wild62c27.4$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.41560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49ae…1d5fbacked Wild64c27.01$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.73250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd430…fd68backed Wild64c24.8$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.