NBA · resolved market
Bulls vs. Raptors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4e5eaf12b672bd02c4be7eeaa3b7fe6796870b015a164d531b74a0d07b4f27b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bullsof Bulls, Raptors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $555,469
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $576,737
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $555,469 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 516 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x824c…d2bbbacked Bulls | 42c | 104,955$43,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,138.55 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Raptors | 52c | 58,807$30,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,666.62 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Bulls | 41c | 56,420$22,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,525.7 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +10.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Raptors | 54c | 34,184$18,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,429 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Raptors | 54c | 25,936$14,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,072.13 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Raptors | 28c | 20,477$5,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,730.31 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10f1…4247backed Raptors | 0c | 12,666$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6410…1ff4backed Bulls | 52c | 12,137$6,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,844.26 | 111 | 64%71 W · 40 L | +13.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Raptors | 61c | 10,879$6,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,627.27 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0360…7be1backed Raptors | 58c | 9,321$5,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,452.7 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Raptors | 49c | 7,515$3,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,664.48 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…b703backed Raptors | 1c | 7,200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 61 | 6.6%4 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Raptors | 60c | 6,499$3,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,928.05 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Raptors | 60c | 6,325$3,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,794.92 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Raptors | 62c | 5,898$3,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,654.63 | 157 | 63.1%99 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Raptors | 5c | 5,756$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.18 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…a86abacked Raptors | 50c | 5,726$2,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,879.23 | 140 | 34.3%48 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Raptors | 8c | 5,225$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.84 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Raptors | 59c | 5,135$3,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,029.77 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3656…d458backed Bulls | 41c | 4,300$1,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,537 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +92.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Bulls | 45c | 4,256$1,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,342.55 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Raptors | 51c | 4,046$2,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,044.91 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Bulls | 39c | 4,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,439.97 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Raptors | 59c | 3,948$2,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,329.56 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Raptors | 9c | 3,247$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.14 | 190 | 33.7%64 W · 126 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6660…647cbacked Raptors | 59c | 3,001$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Bulls | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 197 | 8.6%17 W · 180 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Raptors | 60c | 2,986$1,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,781.94 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Bulls | 54c | 2,978$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,357.78 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x285f…fb2bbacked Raptors | 61c | 2,797$1,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,705.94 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Raptors | 60c | 2,696$1,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,617.84 | 258 | 45%116 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x906b…fd3cbacked Raptors | 55c | 2,369$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310.27 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa075…09fdbacked Raptors | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Raptors | 36c | 1,935$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.27 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Bulls | 39c | 1,900$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.94 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Raptors | 3c | 1,859$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.45 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04a…824ebacked Raptors | 11c | 1,848$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Raptors | 2c | 1,800$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb307…5c7dbacked Raptors | 61c | 1,800$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc4…ff28backed Bulls | 39c | 1,800$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.97 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc624…106abacked Bulls | 39c | 1,799$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…7300backed Raptors | 55c | 1,768$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.81 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +52%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Raptors | 59c | 1,750$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.5 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Raptors | 60c | 1,650$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.99 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Raptors | 58c | 1,634$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.42 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d4…6f09backed Bulls | 60c | 1,510$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f05…4480backed Raptors | 61c | 1,442$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.89 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…0bb9backed Raptors | 59c | 1,387$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Raptors | 59c | 1,330$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.68 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4a…15c7backed Raptors | 60c | 1,322$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.2 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad8…da84backed Raptors | 59c | 1,300$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +209.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Raptors | 59c | 1,280$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.2 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Bulls | 40c | 1,229$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.12 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Bulls | 39c | 1,150$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.92 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Bulls | 40c | 1,051$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.31 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Bulls | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbed…aa02backed Bulls | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 227 | 21.6%49 W · 178 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…59eabacked Raptors | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Raptors | 60c | 999.97$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.98 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Raptors | 59c | 996.63$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Bulls | 40c | 940$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x769f…d2c2backed Bulls | 41c | 890.25$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Raptors | 60c | 858.99$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.7 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Raptors | 11c | 842.61$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.12 | 192 | 31.3%60 W · 132 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab7…f4ddbacked Bulls | 40c | 800$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x453c…f5eebacked Raptors | 61c | 800$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +5.2wins | +0.29per pick | 43cpaid | +92.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Raptors | 59c | 799.99$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Raptors | 20c | 770$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.4 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked Raptors | 58c | 679.27$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.74 | 141 | 61%86 W · 55 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…755dbacked Bulls | 79c | 631.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.35 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 69cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbfc…0655backed Bulls | 61c | 616.62$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.62 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +6.4wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Bulls | 40c | 504.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.09 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6012…7cd2backed Bulls | 60c | 502.9$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.23 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1a…188dbacked Raptors | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Bulls | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 262 | 35.9%94 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce38…ac3ebacked Bulls | 32c | 500$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a68…a2c1backed Bulls | 32c | 500$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777b…4ae7backed Raptors | 67c | 500$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4c…d6eabacked Bulls | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…39a8backed Raptors | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1f…bbd0backed Raptors | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8df0…87c7backed Bulls | 35c | 500$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0c…95dabacked Bulls | 36c | 500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +6.4wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1a…13babacked Raptors | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb25d…6ca5backed Bulls | 37c | 500$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578e…6b7bbacked Bulls | 32c | 500$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +38%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe197…8f94backed Bulls | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa309…66a4backed Bulls | 32c | 500$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22dd…5d99backed Bulls | 32c | 500$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdf…560cbacked Raptors | 64c | 500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x405b…e576backed Raptors | 67c | 500$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf8…db7fbacked Raptors | 62c | 500$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…ab59backed Raptors | 68c | 500$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf34e…eb5cbacked Bulls | 32c | 500$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +4.5wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f49…a680backed Bulls | 37c | 500$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a37…ebb3backed Raptors | 68c | 500$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x800d…e0b1backed Raptors | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ce…d6b4backed Raptors | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f9…a490backed Raptors | 62c | 500$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8464…0982backed Bulls | 32c | 500$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.