MLB · resolved market
Rays vs. Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2baf89d9497c8efed264cacaa41e490be24693e8e2ce6af71aa908e9a53bbe79
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Redsof Rays, Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,562
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,743
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,562 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x36da…e646backed Rays | 46c | 5,095$2,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,334.85 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Reds | 53c | 4,491$2,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,102.85 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Rays | 39c | 3,661$1,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,416.26 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Rays | 47c | 3,133$1,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,472.35 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Rays | 46c | 2,458$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.71 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Rays | 47c | 2,153$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.22 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Reds | 62c | 2,011$1,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.11 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Rays | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.98 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rays | 47c | 1,893$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.65 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Reds | 57c | 1,865$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.78 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Rays | 48c | 1,707$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.54 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Reds | 50c | 1,515$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.58 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dae…f8b2backed Reds | 59c | 1,472$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.92 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Rays | 49c | 1,440$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.77 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Reds | 54c | 1,389$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.89 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Reds | 53c | 1,321$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.75 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…fa1dbacked Reds | 41c | 1,233$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.44 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rays | 40c | 1,181$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.25 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7fb…7d8cbacked Reds | 53c | 1,006$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.21 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Reds | 53c | 999.99$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Rays | 47c | 999.99$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Rays | 46c | 834.31$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.44 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc4…63febacked Reds | 54c | 796.3$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.3 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 55cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…d7cdbacked Rays | 47c | 791.49$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 46cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Rays | 44c | 769.68$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.27 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…eb22backed Reds | 54c | 734.68$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.68 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Reds | 48c | 636.47$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.7 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Reds | 53c | 582.9$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.46 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Rays | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f07…9517backed Reds | 76c | 526.53$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.37 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Rays | 56c | 506.58$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.7 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Rays | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Rays | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Rays | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Rays | 49c | 499.19$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.7 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Rays | 47c | 470$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.35 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Reds | 52c | 451.98$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.95 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Rays | 59c | 425.85$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdc…15cabacked Reds | 52c | 411.97$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.75 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Rays | 43c | 408.97$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.56 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Rays | 8c | 387.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Reds | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Reds | 56c | 369.56$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.25 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…83ccbacked Rays | 46c | 332.99$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.18 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Reds | 54c | 273.52$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.89 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Reds | 52c | 227.38$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.74 | 119 | 63.9%76 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Reds | 51c | 215$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.66 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Rays | 47c | 212.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb2…01b4backed Reds | 53c | 207.55$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.55 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Rays | 48c | 206.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Reds | 53c | 205.66$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.66 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Rays | 50c | 201.84$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.1 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Reds | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Reds | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Rays | 47c | 199.98$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.99 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Reds | 54c | 194.44$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.44 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Reds | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Reds | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255e…4979backed Reds | 46c | 184.78$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.78 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…f330backed Reds | 54c | 183.15$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.25 | 146 | 49.3%72 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Reds | 66c | 182.54$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.58 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Reds | 54c | 160$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.6 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Rays | 31c | 160$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd3…1174backed Reds | 54c | 152.98$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.76 | 190 | 52.6%100 W · 90 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Rays | 48c | 151.09$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.16 | 145 | 65.5%95 W · 50 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe259…b890backed Rays | 48c | 142$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.65 | 161 | 62.1%100 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2719…28ddbacked Reds | 58c | 141.74$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.8 | 253 | 64.4%163 W · 90 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dde…8a88backed Reds | 73c | 139.73$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.73 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6254…d8b7backed Rays | 43c | 134.28$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.96 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Rays | 17c | 130$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf15a…6df2backed Rays | 48c | 126.04$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -24%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Reds | 66c | 118.46$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.46 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…3e7ebacked Rays | 48c | 113.44$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.45 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc655…8467backed Reds | 53c | 111$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.17 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Reds | 53c | 110$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.7 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Rays | 48c | 100.79$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Reds | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Rays | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Rays | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4d…2ff8backed Rays | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce93…3226backed Reds | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +107.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9623…4c52backed Reds | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac6…e75bbacked Rays | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Reds | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd920…b7b6backed Reds | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 167 | 52.1%87 W · 80 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c4…25e7backed Rays | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Reds | 54c | 82.69$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.31 | 247 | 51%126 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…9b0abacked Rays | 47c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Reds | 51c | 80$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…a9d4backed Reds | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Rays | 49c | 66$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.28 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Reds | 52c | 64.59$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.24 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Reds | 55c | 64.02$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.02 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a04…793dbacked Reds | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61cd…541ebacked Rays | 48c | 56.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 148 | 64.2%95 W · 53 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f53…46b3backed Rays | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Rays | 48c | 51.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d09…e041backed Rays | 47c | 51.36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5930…f3fdbacked Rays | 47c | 51.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…3237backed Rays | 49c | 51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.