La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Betis win on 2025-08-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x797a4af3d4f9ab5a5c3bb640c1410edc7f7e248def19b766afce32c698e7fcef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $116,622
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $118,080
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,622 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0764…e01fbacked Yes | 30c | 100,000$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,000 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 70c | 69,227$48,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,768 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 70c | 31,397$21,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,461.13 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d9…4ce3backed Yes | 33c | 7,000$2,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,283.77 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 31c | 4,839$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 69c | 4,000$2,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 67c | 2,467$1,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.62 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 68c | 996.43$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.86 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed No | 69c | 720.09$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.41 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed No | 77c | 529.58$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.24 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e86…93c2backed No | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 70c | 462.15$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.57 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 31c | 403$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.93 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed No | 72c | 333$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.48 | 100 | 63%63 W · 37 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed No | 70c | 315$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 67c | 304.56$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.15 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…ddd7backed Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c30…b742backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 32c | 208$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.17 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked No | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 30c | 170$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 69c | 160$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.8 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5df…fed4backed Yes | 31c | 150$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked No | 72c | 104.21$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.18 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 202 | 55%111 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked No | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 68c | 61$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98e0…bf01backed No | 74c | 47.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 65c | 45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 432 | 55.6%240 W · 192 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 69c | 44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 144 | 62.5%90 W · 54 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…bbbfbacked No | 66c | 44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed No | 72c | 43.71$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52e0…f941backed No | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b24…e303backed Yes | 31c | 33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked No | 70c | 31.62$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed No | 74c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked No | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8087…0300backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Betis win on 2025-08-31?this page
- Will Athletic Club win on 2025-08-31?Yes won
- Will Real Betis vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.