La Liga · resolved market
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-08-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9dbfae17f61432d3c843a6265d6b001f62eee0a1e58ce3b5a5a0dd10ebd91d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,974
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,311
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,974 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 41c | 3,659$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,158.54 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0764…e01fbacked No | 59c | 3,159$1,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,863.54 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 36c | 2,163$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377.52 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed No | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.79 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes | 40c | 1,913$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.5 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa8…645bbacked Yes | 40c | 1,150$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.22 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…425ebacked Yes | 39c | 895$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.95 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 58c | 874.76$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.65 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Yes | 78c | 553$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.57 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 41c | 525.63$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.12 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e86…93c2backed No | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked No | 59c | 500$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 60c | 462.59$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.02 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 30c | 401.25$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.61 | 269 | 30.5%82 W · 187 L | -21.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 38c | 383.46$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.21 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked No | 24c | 350$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 60c | 324.26$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.97 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 61c | 322.25$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.92 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 39c | 303$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.47 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3222…2823backed Yes | 41c | 247.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.87 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 35c | 191.69$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.69 | 283 | 42.8%121 W · 162 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed Yes | 39c | 190$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.9 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 61c | 189.98$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.25 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed No | 60c | 98.04$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.71 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a64…cd34backed Yes | 41c | 97.98$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.98 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed No | 64c | 88.89$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.89 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed No | 64c | 87$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.29 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…c622backed Yes | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed1d…8707backed Yes | 38c | 64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.41 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 34c | 60$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4045…3307backed Yes | 80c | 53.7$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12f0…6a90backed No | 28c | 53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 29cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92a5…eb80backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…04cbbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…ba40backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4c…924cbacked Yes | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 61c | 38.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.51 | 144 | 62.5%90 W · 54 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 55c | 36.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc48d…8a40backed Yes | 40c | 36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf89f…bd07backed Yes | 77c | 35.06$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 69cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x321c…18ddbacked No | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 40c | 28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked No | 65c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…bbbfbacked No | 70c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 432 | 55.6%240 W · 192 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Athletic Club win on 2025-08-31?this page
- Will Real Betis vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Real Betis win on 2025-08-31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.