MLB · resolved market
Cubs vs. Yankees
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f01ba8a397f2b7e3a445811141fa861074233ea6344f85ab6a8744f685863f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cubsof Cubs, Yankees
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $923,419
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $930,497
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $923,419 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x65e4…a3bdbacked Cubs | 47c | 834,077$393,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440,922.88 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Yankees | 53c | 248,497$131,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131,703.4 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Yankees | 52c | 101,124$53,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,055.03 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Yankees | 53c | 77,777$40,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,888.48 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Yankees | 53c | 60,000$31,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,800 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yankees | 53c | 59,000$31,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,170 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Yankees | 53c | 54,848$29,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,069.44 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Yankees | 53c | 43,000$22,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,790 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Yankees | 54c | 42,771$23,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,096.43 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yankees | 53c | 40,000$21,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,200 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Yankees | 52c | 33,907$17,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,712.3 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Yankees | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,600 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Cubs | 78c | 14,396$11,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,111.09 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yankees | 53c | 12,500$6,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,575 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Yankees | 52c | 10,701$5,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,511.97 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Cubs | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,399.99 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Yankees | 54c | 9,917$5,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,354.99 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Yankees | 52c | 9,100$4,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,765 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Yankees | 25c | 8,974$2,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,288.41 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Cubs | 46c | 7,300$3,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,942 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yankees | 54c | 7,034$3,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,774.48 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Yankees | 30c | 5,312$1,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,601.91 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Yankees | 53c | 5,060$2,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,665.2 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Yankees | 53c | 5,040$2,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,678.67 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Yankees | 39c | 4,484$1,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,742.78 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Yankees | 52c | 4,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Yankees | 52c | 3,800$1,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,976 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Yankees | 53c | 3,400$1,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,802 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yankees | 52c | 3,100$1,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,617 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Yankees | 51c | 2,800$1,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,427.76 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Yankees | 29c | 2,621$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Cubs | 49c | 2,521$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.09 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Yankees | 53c | 2,377$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.81 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Yankees | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59ee…7ad7backed Yankees | 1c | 1,709$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 46 | 10.9%5 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6966…7a8dbacked Yankees | 53c | 1,510$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.3 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Yankees | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Yankees | 23c | 873.75$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Cubs | 46c | 860$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.4 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b54…d382backed Cubs | 46c | 815$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.1 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Yankees | 50c | 773$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.26 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Yankees | 27c | 711.05$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.94 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Yankees | 55c | 703.63$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.59 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…fa04backed Cubs | 47c | 702.62$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.62 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Yankees | 55c | 636.36$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Yankees | 53c | 632.86$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.28 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Yankees | 54c | 600$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yankees | 31c | 544.78$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.21 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Yankees | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…5126backed Cubs | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 78cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd160…603dbacked Cubs | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Yankees | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65f7…86ddbacked Yankees | 47c | 489.44$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Yankees | 62c | 467.73$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.56 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Yankees | 39c | 458$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.19 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Yankees | 3c | 450$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Cubs | 46c | 444$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.76 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Cubs | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed Cubs | 45c | 429.28$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.1 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Yankees | 53c | 427$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.31 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Cubs | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 161 | 57.1%92 W · 69 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4eee…2782backed Cubs | 75c | 399.99$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Yankees | 3c | 388.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Cubs | 47c | 373.91$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.17 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Cubs | 56c | 358$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.43 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Yankees | 52c | 357.37$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.83 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Cubs | 47c | 355$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.15 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yankees | 29c | 347.74$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.7 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ed82backed Yankees | 55c | 324.03$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.9 | 259 | 52.5%136 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yankees | 39c | 296.84$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.69 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f91…fc95backed Cubs | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Yankees | 52c | 240.94$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.29 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Yankees | 53c | 220$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.6 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Cubs | 46c | 218$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.72 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Cubs | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Cubs | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cubs | 47c | 211.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.97 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…0797backed Yankees | 41c | 210$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.4 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Cubs | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cubs | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Yankees | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Cubs | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Yankees | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x235c…ba38backed Cubs | 53c | 161.21$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.96 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed Yankees | 54c | 152$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.08 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yankees | 54c | 150$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed Yankees | 53c | 149.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 179 | 54.7%98 W · 81 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Cubs | 57c | 149.62$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.62 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Yankees | 28c | 148.77$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2be…d77dbacked Cubs | 47c | 140.43$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf76d…f5fbbacked Yankees | 54c | 140.28$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Cubs | 47c | 139.31$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.31 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Cubs | 47c | 138.3$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.3 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc839…2930backed Yankees | 14c | 135.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x157b…87dcbacked Cubs | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 27 | 85.2%23 W · 4 L | +4.5wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1e…8610backed Yankees | 55c | 131.11$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe259…b890backed Yankees | 56c | 127.61$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.81 | 161 | 62.1%100 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yankees | 56c | 122.48$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.96 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39d1…5129backed Yankees | 30c | 112.87$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.84 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Yankees | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.