TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Ipswich win on 2024-12-08?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$51,268
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$55,674

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,268 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6dc6…01a0backed Yes51c3,626$1,864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,864.14333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1638…339bbacked Yes25c3,495$874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$873.756253.2%33 W · 29 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x73b7…9360backed No55c2,807$1,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2631546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9055…756abacked Yes53c2,734$1,446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,446.134560%27 W · 18 L+6.0wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+97.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No49c2,641$1,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,350.4179650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Yes26c2,315$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60032037.2%119 W · 201 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes24c2,000$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47568026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes21c2,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43040640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes22c1,971$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.1340254.7%220 W · 182 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f29…c510backed No78c1,882$1,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.09560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed No78c1,804$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.2839561.3%242 W · 153 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d92…4b39backed No68c1,600$1,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-19.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No75c1,500$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37538649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b5d…7e9ebacked No77c1,306$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.68366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick72cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3168…6734backed No75c1,194$894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.531573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.8wins+0.26per pick48cpaid+61%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes49c1,099$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.6969772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x68ca…6d8cbacked Yes26c1,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dc7…3a04backed No49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5101850%9 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20cc…ebc0backed Yes44c813.55$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.8811657.8%67 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Yes47c700$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33134251.8%177 W · 165 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes48c509.6$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.9137652.4%197 W · 179 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc21d…4ed8backed No34c499.98$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.981050%5 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+106.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8cd…3cf2backed No74c426.36$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.528362.7%52 W · 31 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6fe…b77fbacked Yes23c347.98$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.0422050%110 W · 110 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Yes66c329.65$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.5725339.1%99 W · 154 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1448646.5%40 W · 46 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3d53…0644backed Yes70c288.66$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.51163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x58ca…cc33backed No55c280$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1261861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+34.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes47c202.72$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.690751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed Yes26c201.99$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.5217143.3%74 W · 97 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No78c200$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4429653%157 W · 139 L-23.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x330c…2371backed No76c200$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+22.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x31b7…bde1backed Yes64c199.48$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.672941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47ee…a079backed No55c192.59$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.593652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes38c188.07$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.1629643.6%129 W · 167 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7d2…f555backed No75c187$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.7518260.4%110 W · 72 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No50c185.78$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.8918950.3%95 W · 94 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Yes24c179.61$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.1140046%184 W · 216 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x710c…ee60backed Yes50c177.78$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.892128.6%6 W · 15 L-5.9wins-0.28per pick57cpaid-58.1%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xbe34…cf4cbacked No76c163.11$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.777968.4%54 W · 25 L+8.4wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+24.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdc9e…d9f9backed No76c158$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.927967.1%53 W · 26 L+7.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+25.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Yes25c155$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1840135.2%141 W · 260 L-0.7wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed No78c150$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3342755%235 W · 192 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3cf3…3d5fbacked No76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.58785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick65cpaid+36.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x61e1…adf1backed No77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.873240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x578a…ef44backed Yes50c118$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592536%9 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a97…0fc7backed Yes70c113.23$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.26757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce86…f868backed Yes28c107.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309334.4%32 W · 61 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No76c106.81$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.746660.5%282 W · 184 L+30.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x12d8…7359backed Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-27.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f19…aec2backed No74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261573.3%11 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick68cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf59c…115bbacked Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-67.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d09…0baabacked Yes29c95.63$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa66b…0e7cbacked Yes79c95.27$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.262347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked No54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5942240.3%170 W · 252 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa75e…f537backed No78c89.74$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.74666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick77cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8c0…c88cbacked No65c80.52$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.521776.5%13 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick71cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4c1…301fbacked Yes28c78.93$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2280%0 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x24cc…d737backed Yes51c78.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa40e…53ddbacked Yes66c75.82$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.335337.7%20 W · 33 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8c8…67a5backed Yes27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201947.4%9 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-33.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4547…d380backed No77c72.35$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.752100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x438e…9704backed Yes60c70$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.14757.4%27 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7600…49e5backed Yes50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259949.5%49 W · 50 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2e7…35b1backed Yes23c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.56944.9%31 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed No76c46.05$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.053161.3%19 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ef8…eff3backed Yes23c45.52$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.473946.2%18 W · 21 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+25.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf66…e823backed Yes71c45.13$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.041258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6755…8972backed Yes27c44$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.88425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-64.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Yes48c42.85$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5728355.5%157 W · 126 L+17.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9843…b797backed Yes55c41.56$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6339…a6bdbacked No52c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+42.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0905…e5c0backed No74c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.41833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-53.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c91…0505backed Yes50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+28.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb04c…b6ccbacked No73c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81080%8 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+30.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c8c…8366backed No74c26$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.76560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb692…7c83backed No77c25.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bb8…7471backed Yes56c25.8$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3314062.9%88 W · 52 L+16.6wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+66.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6981…8ac5backed Yes67c24$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167441.9%31 W · 43 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-20.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6fba…bdbdbacked No74c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.23275%24 W · 8 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x54e7…e35fbacked No79c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.29858.2%57 W · 41 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcdf8…1fa4backed No77c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.61266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2636…0236backed No79c18.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.99966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick72cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x900b…d5c7backed No74c18.01$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.68944.4%4 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.23per pick67cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8087…0300backed No74c18$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.68650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1793…51dfbacked Yes75c17.63$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.22425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-35.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7972…d5cebacked Yes80c13.84$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0720%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.