TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Bournemouth win on 2024-12-08?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$58,615
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$61,858

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,615 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 171 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee00…cea1backed Yes17c7,956$1,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,603.7428355.5%157 W · 126 L+17.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes12c5,774$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,084.1979650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No50c4,646$2,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,332.8418950.3%95 W · 94 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No50c4,503$2,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,234.9832037.2%119 W · 201 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccb…0a10backed Yes51c4,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9601361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f33…2233backed Yes51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+54.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes49c1,964$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$998.4640254.7%220 W · 182 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8cd…3cf2backed No49c1,855$909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909.18362.7%52 W · 31 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes50c1,500$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75038649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x649f…993ebacked No49c1,490$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.258750.6%44 W · 43 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc6fe…b77fbacked No48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.1622050%110 W · 110 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48040640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a67…dc7cbacked Yes51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4907651.3%39 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3168…6734backed Yes19c1,000$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8101573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.8wins+0.26per pick48cpaid+61%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb227…3601backed Yes52c980.77$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.77837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+27.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x20cc…ebc0backed No56c974.66$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.5111657.8%67 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9055…756abacked Yes33c903.11$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.244560%27 W · 18 L+6.0wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+97.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked Yes52c890$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.24742.6%20 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1638…339bbacked Yes51c800$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3926253.2%33 W · 29 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes18c655$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.2190751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes15c588.06$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.6229643.6%129 W · 167 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3bdc…3a4ebacked Yes51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.624963.3%31 W · 18 L+6.6wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+26%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25029044.8%130 W · 160 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No59c444.32$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.1569772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x2c43…b289backed Yes4c400.58$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.1612149.6%60 W · 61 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+95.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8239…ddd7backed Yes26c392.68$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.029027.8%25 W · 65 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa40e…53ddbacked Yes51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.165337.7%20 W · 33 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa805…8d5fbacked Yes52c370$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.6666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+242.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7432…794bbacked Yes52c360.82$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.1911937%44 W · 75 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x578a…ef44backed Yes52c330$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.42536%9 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc745…9499backed Yes52c288.46$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.4611638.8%45 W · 71 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ce0…8d6fbacked Yes52c288.46$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.468633.7%29 W · 57 L-14.7wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-36.3%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes5c250.01$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.4666031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f16…5bb0backed No79c233.48$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.571050%5 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes7c230$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.511915.1%18 W · 101 L-10.4wins-0.09per pick24cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed No51c222$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.2217143.3%74 W · 97 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31cf…8834backed No51c221.13$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.599037.8%34 W · 56 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf784…f897backed Yes52c220.09$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.44955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+47.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01dc…475cbacked No50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8d3…02e4backed Yes52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.31633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-26.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes51c190.11$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.1544939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked No51c183.94$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.8117945.8%82 W · 97 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05ad…72d7backed Yes52c150.16$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.085641.1%23 W · 33 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2599…61cdbacked Yes53c150$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.5875%6 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+36.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Yes50c149.99$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.0540135.2%141 W · 260 L-0.7wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e01…757abacked Yes20c130$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.51741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc9e…d9f9backed No47c127.98$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.157967.1%53 W · 26 L+7.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+25.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe438…9471backed Yes53c114.25$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.252030%6 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-45.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x05ff…b701backed Yes49c101.78$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.786544.6%29 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Yes49c100.12$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.0818232.4%59 W · 123 L-15.9wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-23.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4842755%235 W · 192 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe534…bfafbacked Yes47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532035%7 W · 13 L-4.2wins-0.21per pick56cpaid-39.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x464e…7bd8backed Yes53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473953.8%21 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ac7…a802backed Yes49c98.98$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4114…b9acbacked No49c98.5$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2711527%31 W · 84 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcfad…ede2backed No53c97.17$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca03…e878backed Yes52c96.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.571353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d09…0baabacked Yes33c85.26$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.26650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No47c84.97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9446660.5%282 W · 184 L+30.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No50c82$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4140046%184 W · 216 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37d0…d8dabacked No54c81.31$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.28450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x716a…f6cfbacked Yes52c76.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.925242.3%22 W · 30 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb761…abe5backed No50c76.54$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.27425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-46.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2229146%134 W · 157 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9a5…154ebacked No55c60.15$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.88520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick56cpaid-63%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8140…b92fbacked Yes53c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.53748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81ee…caa4backed Yes50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd1d…b57fbacked Yes52c59.03$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.043357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae81…99eabacked Yes53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6565…124dbacked No48c56.25$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271050%5 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0da…71e3backed Yes52c53.85$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.85250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd883…6c05backed No49c53.42$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.18250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe125…6f93backed No55c51.89$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.79450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f91…5af9backed Yes46c50.04$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.87666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x185c…dee1backed Yes51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-34.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9c…e8a3backed No54c49.11$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x80ba…a1f9backed Yes51c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.021553.3%8 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b48…a6f8backed Yes46c48.81$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.361070%7 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+36.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b35…a749backed No52c48.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2512623%29 W · 97 L-11.6wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-35.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xec22…a151backed No51c47.05$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6497…7a69backed Yes49c47.05$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5708…4c79backed Yes50c44.8$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.583100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+101.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3efd…eccebacked Yes49c43.92$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.39425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick62cpaid-49%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1afb…e0c0backed No49c43.53$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.33540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-29.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33ec…16ccbacked Yes52c43.46$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.863100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+145.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x16cc…774fbacked Yes51c42.41$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.78475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+49%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd91a…96b7backed No51c42.16$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+21.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x935f…c1b6backed No52c42.08$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.88425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-40.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc17a…1db3backed No48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+27%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x33d0…36fdbacked No54c40.95$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.11366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+26.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x900b…d5c7backed Yes49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.82944.4%4 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.23per pick67cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8ea4…e097backed Yes49c40.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.516248.4%30 W · 32 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b67…c09ebacked Yes50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c28…5b54backed Yes46c39.99$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.595100%5 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+88.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Yes52c39.62$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.02933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbce…98cbbacked Yes45c39.34$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.64450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+16.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea0b…1f5bbacked Yes51c38.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.996747.8%32 W · 35 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd9a8…6b00backed Yes52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.462347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-22.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xec66…6eddbacked No54c38.25$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.66633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-49.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfc1…5acdbacked Yes52c38.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.34366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+43.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.