Premier League · resolved market
Will Ipswich vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf35a5b84e5deaedb7957d212eb964e7a8ab856338604bfae83253b667735911c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,763
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,298
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,763 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed No | 41c | 1,416$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.48 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cad…7f63backed Yes | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef8…eff3backed Yes | 24c | 684.17$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.2 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b81…0683backed Yes | 30c | 584.82$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9595…1b16backed No | 73c | 376.92$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x824d…1271backed No | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 12c | 282.52$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.49 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68e5…c63abacked Yes | 79c | 253.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.95 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…cc33backed No | 76c | 230$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa40e…53ddbacked Yes | 30c | 223.57$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.7 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 25c | 220.57$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.14 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Yes | 26c | 220.57$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.35 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e0…ebcfbacked No | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -4.0wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbba9…6baabacked No | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Yes | 24c | 192.3$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.47 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86bf…2ccabacked Yes | 26c | 188.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 39c | 152.91$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.69 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 25c | 150$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.54 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed No | 73c | 145.44$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.02 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66b…0e7cbacked No | 75c | 113.73$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.73 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39bd…1027backed No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 119 | 15.1%18 W · 101 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 73c | 84.81$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.92 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22c2…3019backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4442…d5c1backed Yes | 27c | 76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 41cpaid | -64%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 25c | 68.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca03…e878backed No | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b7…bde1backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…ebe9backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e01…757abacked Yes | 26c | 57.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked No | 74c | 42.31$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked No | 75c | 40.44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2474…4957backed No | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -5.3wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ipswich vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?this page
- Will Bournemouth win on 2024-12-08?Yes won
- Will Ipswich win on 2024-12-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.