NBA · resolved market
Bulls vs. Warriors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x273ab6ad15dc7bd68d8c547f86bb4011ab8526247f39ed34f730f431ea097099
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Bulls, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $458,619
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $492,368
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $458,619 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 613 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x824c…d2bbbacked Bulls | 49c | 76,411$37,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,440.61 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Warriors | 59c | 32,719$19,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,470.58 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Warriors | 51c | 27,610$13,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,644.28 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6410…1ff4backed Warriors | 63c | 17,179$10,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,398.7 | 111 | 64%71 W · 40 L | +13.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Warriors | 51c | 10,294$5,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,992.86 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Warriors | 54c | 9,907$5,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,512.85 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Warriors | 58c | 8,572$4,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,635.25 | 126 | 63.5%80 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Bulls | 38c | 7,614$2,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,899.45 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9483…39b2backed Warriors | 62c | 7,500$4,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,850 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29e7…0832backed Bulls | 41c | 7,100$2,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,911 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Warriors | 52c | 6,805$3,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,252.96 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Bulls | 40c | 5,561$2,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,224.47 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +9.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Bulls | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Bulls | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.99 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Bulls | 48c | 4,646$2,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,234.89 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Bulls | 49c | 4,619$2,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,268.18 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Warriors | 60c | 4,497$2,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,809.73 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Warriors | 53c | 4,220$2,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,983.32 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff90…993cbacked Warriors | 59c | 4,100$2,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,676.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f5…32aebacked Warriors | 60c | 4,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.99 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Bulls | 43c | 3,154$1,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,366.57 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -17.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bc…51fdbacked Warriors | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aab…9c4cbacked Bulls | 41c | 2,934$1,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.98 | 296 | 61.5%182 W · 114 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Bulls | 47c | 2,804$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.02 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Bulls | 4c | 2,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Warriors | 61c | 2,212$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.65 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Bulls | 1c | 2,100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Bulls | 50c | 2,076$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.24 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Bulls | 48c | 2,052$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.06 | 277 | 31.4%87 W · 190 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7103…b192backed Bulls | 55c | 1,904$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.14 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Warriors | 53c | 1,899$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.83 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Warriors | 53c | 1,850$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.43 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd156…13b1backed Bulls | 60c | 1,758$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.52 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c4…8441backed Warriors | 62c | 1,500$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.99 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc4…63febacked Warriors | 62c | 1,490$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.32 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…d7cdbacked Bulls | 40c | 1,486$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf414…cd58backed Warriors | 54c | 1,400$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c93…8f21backed Bulls | 47c | 1,400$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.88 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Bulls | 25c | 1,279$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Warriors | 52c | 1,244$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.88 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Warriors | 56c | 1,228$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.97 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Bulls | 2c | 1,192$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa33…8dbcbacked Bulls | 50c | 1,110$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.51 | 294 | 50.3%148 W · 146 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Warriors | 73c | 1,101$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.53 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…74f3backed Warriors | 61c | 1,033$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.03 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…d18bbacked Warriors | 51c | 1,018$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.74 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Bulls | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 248 | 55.6%138 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…e364backed Warriors | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +55%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Bulls | 2c | 882.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Bulls | 48c | 860.9$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.93 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…3c12backed Warriors | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Warriors | 60c | 831.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.27 | 162 | 61.7%100 W · 62 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Bulls | 45c | 830.2$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.21 | 417 | 42%175 W · 242 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Warriors | 51c | 800$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Warriors | 71c | 782.59$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.07 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Bulls | 41c | 779.05$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.41 | 136 | 38.2%52 W · 84 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8db3…7febbacked Bulls | 43c | 736.41$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a6…a5e5backed Bulls | 49c | 704.62$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.94 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Warriors | 58c | 702$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.51 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc542…231bbacked Warriors | 57c | 700$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -52%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Warriors | 52c | 699.99$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Bulls | 48c | 680.27$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.72 | 277 | 35.4%98 W · 179 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked Warriors | 53c | 657.32$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.94 | 95 | 63.2%60 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdd…9df2backed Bulls | 46c | 644.32$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.39 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 39cpaid | -54%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Bulls | 47c | 605$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.35 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed5…09f3backed Warriors | 54c | 600$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +51%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc2…f361backed Bulls | 47c | 600$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +48%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Bulls | 55c | 595.25$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.59 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Bulls | 44c | 568.18$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 381 | 32.8%125 W · 256 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d9…999fbacked Bulls | 42c | 551.95$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +112.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Bulls | 39c | 534.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Bulls | 45c | 520.01$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.52 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Bulls | 38c | 517.91$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.03 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Bulls | 47c | 500.01$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.78 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed Warriors | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Warriors | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Bulls | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 278 | 40.6%113 W · 165 L | -22.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…59eabacked Bulls | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Warriors | 53c | 499.88$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.95 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Warriors | 56c | 479.74$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.74 | 514 | 51.9%267 W · 247 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa438…9b9fbacked Warriors | 52c | 469.99$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.59 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Bulls | 43c | 469.4$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.84 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Bulls | 48c | 462.71$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.31 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Warriors | 57c | 450.12$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.7 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Warriors | 47c | 449$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.21 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Bulls | 39c | 432.62$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.77 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…9702backed Bulls | 24c | 431.28$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.51 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45bc…a915backed Warriors | 70c | 430.48$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x831b…eed5backed Bulls | 48c | 419.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 157 | 42.7%67 W · 90 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee06…f8b1backed Bulls | 58c | 418.69$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0aa…27c0backed Warriors | 55c | 418.18$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.18 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…15b5backed Bulls | 50c | 410.25$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.65 | 276 | 31.2%86 W · 190 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfac8…7a9ebacked Bulls | 27c | 400$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc32b…13dfbacked Bulls | 55c | 380$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x241e…dd4dbacked Warriors | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Warriors | 60c | 375.28$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.11 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee3…45c2backed Warriors | 53c | 366$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.02 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Warriors | 61c | 350$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7737…e497backed Warriors | 69c | 337.77$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a4…eeaabacked Bulls | 12c | 310.05$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.3 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.