TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Kings vs. Kraken

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kingsof Kings, Kraken
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$228,649
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$240,411

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $228,649 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 600 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe32e…890bbacked Kraken52c33,719$17,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,549.1336242%152 W · 210 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked Kings48c18,333$8,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,526.7213845.7%63 W · 75 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Kraken51c17,272$8,786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,786.4210145.5%46 W · 55 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8011…e98ebacked Kraken0c11,733$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.159863.3%62 W · 36 L+13.2wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+27.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Kraken48c10,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,799.9910745.8%49 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Kings48c9,860$4,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,127.292848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f2…5495backed Kraken58c6,801$3,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,9404151.2%21 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Kings52c6,393$3,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,042.7213754%74 W · 63 L+9.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Kraken46c5,326$2,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,445.427958.8%164 W · 115 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0269…128ebacked Kings51c5,137$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,536.552458.3%14 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Kings50c4,846$2,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,427.3549351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Kings49c4,809$2,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,463.0211354%61 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Kings51c4,300$2,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,106.9711145.9%51 W · 60 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Kraken45c3,907$1,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,758.351,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Kings55c3,000$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,35024546.1%113 W · 132 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x248c…d914backed Kings52c2,923$1,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,405.974841.7%20 W · 28 L-6.9wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-25%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Kings74c2,903$2,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.2285464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Kings62c2,844$1,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,082.883,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Kings50c2,753$1,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,377.281,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Kings40c2,338$935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,402.9913348.1%64 W · 69 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Kraken20c2,067$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.4818237.9%69 W · 113 L+29.4wins+0.16per pick22cpaid+202.9%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Kraken1c2,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf730…3de2backed Kings50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0005470.4%38 W · 16 L+6.5wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xee5b…0e96backed Kings51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9801266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+40.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7709…5852backed Kings52c1,935$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$935.415334%18 W · 35 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Kings50c1,916$958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$958.1997651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc624…106abacked Kraken49c1,822$893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892.542339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Kings50c1,712$856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$856.1916645.8%76 W · 90 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Kings48c1,666$808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$858.1672847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe206…38cebacked Kraken38c1,523$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.288959.6%53 W · 36 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Kings49c1,480$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760.2479251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Kings59c1,417$838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.6237254.3%202 W · 170 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Kraken46c1,399$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65014844.6%66 W · 82 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd33b…4e00backed Kings49c1,216$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.7415246.7%71 W · 81 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Kraken49c1,139$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.641,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Kings50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50019555.4%108 W · 87 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa99c…3070backed Kraken14c1,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14029319.8%58 W · 235 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad4a…ddb8backed Kraken40c970$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3862751.9%14 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Kings52c887.63$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.1966951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Kings48c876.93$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4561,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Kings49c822.97$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.3337738.7%146 W · 231 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43fd…021fbacked Kings60c786.23$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.634729.8%14 W · 33 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-27.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfdb8…af02backed Kings49c785.71$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.713148.4%15 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Kings50c784.74$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.5319848.5%96 W · 102 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Kings49c776.22$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.2284051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4520…b2dabacked Kraken48c706$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.88333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ed0…77f7backed Kings51c700$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3434438.6%17 W · 27 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x99cf…a86abacked Kings62c699.44$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.765754.4%31 W · 26 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3bdc…3a4ebacked Kings49c640$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.41776.5%13 W · 4 L+4.2wins+0.25per pick52cpaid+44.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Kraken4c617.7$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2754418%98 W · 446 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc623…9afdbacked Kraken31c600$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.931442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc20c…fa4bbacked Kings50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3004650%23 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b2c…284cbacked Kraken52c576.92$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006848.5%33 W · 35 L-7.5wins-0.11per pick60cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Kings52c576.92$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.927545.3%34 W · 41 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Kings50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25019548.2%94 W · 101 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2373…ddfabacked Kings49c495$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.459942.4%42 W · 57 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xff7b…52a8backed Kraken16c490$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Kraken52c388.71$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.1350049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0b2…4e3cbacked Kraken50c380$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a0f…3dadbacked Kings51c372.55$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.552100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa61d…22f6backed Kings48c339$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.2830549.2%150 W · 155 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5d2…317bbacked Kraken50c251$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.515663.5%99 W · 57 L+17.0wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+22.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Kings48c251$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.858346.5%271 W · 312 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked Kraken48c235.91$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.2429748.8%145 W · 152 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfba…9398backed Kings51c219.61$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fb4…e810backed Kraken51c215.77$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1092864.3%18 W · 10 L+3.3wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+23.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Kings49c205$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10560549.3%298 W · 307 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7fb…fb2cbacked Kings51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac41…21b2backed Kings51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x929d…1176backed Kings51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+28.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1bc…53f2backed Kings51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982060%12 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+27%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7db3…384ebacked Kings51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91d5…d0aabacked Kings51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37c5…57a3backed Kings51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982060%12 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+22%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x352f…c76cbacked Kings51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982065%13 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+23%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe73…265dbacked Kings51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x596a…e036backed Kings52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+35.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb53b…3f0bbacked Kings51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc55a…bdfebacked Kings51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982055%11 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57f3…f1fabacked Kings51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982055%11 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xede0…5cfbbacked Kings51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982564%16 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+26.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9240…8e7ebacked Kings52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962369.6%16 W · 7 L+4.2wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+44.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9090…77bbbacked Kings51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+32.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd898…f294backed Kings52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+26.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbf5…f172backed Kings51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982475%18 W · 6 L+5.8wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+59.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xc007…770ebacked Kings51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982382.6%19 W · 4 L+7.6wins+0.33per pick50cpaid+77.8%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xeabf…655cbacked Kings51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08e3…45c0backed Kings52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2496…9d99backed Kings51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+33.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3ab2…4af0backed Kraken48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962466.7%16 W · 8 L+4.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+44.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xea25…c429backed Kings51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982466.7%16 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x38b7…8e2cbacked Kings51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982075%15 W · 5 L+3.7wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+45.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x038e…1d43backed Kings51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982065%13 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+26.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf529…78bbbacked Kings52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27a2…5a69backed Kings51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bd7…4956backed Kings52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b5…8fb9backed Kings51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982070%14 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+46.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x999c…eeb8backed Kings51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982070%14 W · 6 L+3.7wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+47.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfeb6…ae02backed Kings51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982065%13 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+45.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcf2e…1e4abacked Kings52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.